2312 32nd Ave N · St. Petersburg, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$320,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2143 total sq. feet. 4 bedroom, 2 bath with inside laundry room plus bonus room. Newer windows, newer roof (2014), AC 2011. Not in a flood zone. Minutes from Downtown St Pete and Beaches. Home has a large, fenced backyard with 2 sheds.
Key facts
- Quiet street
- Excellent privacy
- Quick access to i275
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $320k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-43/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $319k (0.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $303k (5.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $303k (5.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.6% in St. Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 307 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,035/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 1076% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $260k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.05%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $449,880
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2312 32nd Ave N | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,630 (0%) | 1mo | $360,000 | $221 | 99 |
| 3120 20th St N | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,562 (-4%) | 3mo | $425,000 | $272 | 72 |
| 2451 38th Ave N | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 1,650 (+1%) | 14mo | $375,000 | $227 | 66 |
| 2559 36th Ave N | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,575 (-3%) | 8mo | $446,000 | $283 | 63 |
| 2508 42nd Ave N | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 | 1,718 (+5%) | 8mo | $395,000 | $230 | 53 |
| 1834 28th Ave N | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,488 (-9%) | 10mo | $410,300 | $276 | 52 |
| 1678 27th Ave N | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,540 (-6%) | 10mo | $432,000 | $281 | 50 |
| 2869 36th Ave N | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 | 1,504 (-8%) | 12mo | $385,000 | $256 | 49 |
| 2326 28th St N | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,584 (-3%) | 8mo | $435,000 | $275 | 48 |
| 4175 20th St N | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 1,521 (-7%) | 12mo | $700,000 | $460 | 47 |
| 2156 43rd Ter N | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,561 (-4%) | 17mo | $550,000 | $352 | 40 |
| 1688 26th Ave N | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,780 (+9%) | 13mo | $640,495 | $360 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-58,872
- Equity at exit
- $47,713
- IRR
- -18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-78,127
- Equity at exit
- $27,668
Cash invested: $89,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33713
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 307
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,035 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,678
- Tax from tax record
- −$589 /mo · $7,073/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$637
- Net cashflow
- $-4
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $80,000
- Closing costs
- $9,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3113 Union St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $2,261 | $1.96 | 4d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2820 23rd St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1615 | $3,037 | $1.88 | 17d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2700 26th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1608 | $2,250 | $1.40 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1329 34th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1252 | $3,700 | $2.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1685 21st Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $2,495 | $1.82 | 4d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1221 35th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1074 | $2,900 | $2.70 | 17d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1156 37th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2178 | $3,600 | $1.65 | 10d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1935 16th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $2,345 | $1.87 | 4d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3411 Iris St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,250 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1645 15th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1146 | $3,500 | $3.05 | 4d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1171 25th Ln N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1990 | $4,500 | $2.26 | 3d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1162 25th Way N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2205 | $4,500 | $2.04 | 7d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1444 15th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1858 | $3,500 | $1.88 | 4d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3066 8th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $3,500 | $2.84 | 4d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3750 28th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $2,830 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1035 Queen St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $2,895 | $2.42 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4628 Dr Martin Luther King Jr St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1421 | $2,950 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 919 16th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $3,500 | $2.70 | 21d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5246 Neil Dr Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1713 | $3,450 | $2.01 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 622 24th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2196 | $4,600 | $2.09 | 17d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 622 24th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2196 | $4,600 | $2.09 | 20d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-04-17status Pending
-
2026-04-13$320,000 Active
-
2026-01-29historical $2,461
-
2026-01-17price $2,461
-
2026-01-13price $2,506
-
2025-12-28price $2,495
-
2025-12-12price $2,545
-
2025-11-19price $2,595
-
2025-10-31$2,610
-
2022-06-18price $2,400
-
2021-09-28soldstatus $260,400
-
2021-09-27soldstatus $260,400 Closed 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
2143 total sq. feet. 4 bedroom, 2 bath with inside laundry room plus bonus room. Newer windows, newer roof (2014), AC 2011. Not in a flood zone. Minutes from Downtown St Pete and Beaches. Home has a large, fenced backyard with 2 sheds.
-
2021-08-12status Pending 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
2143 total sq. feet. 4 bedroom, 2 bath with inside laundry room plus bonus room. Newer windows, newer roof (2014), AC 2011. Not in a flood zone. Minutes from Downtown St Pete and Beaches. Home has a large, fenced backyard with 2 sheds.
-
2021-07-19$289,900 Active 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
2143 total sq. feet. 4 bedroom, 2 bath with inside laundry room plus bonus room. Newer windows, newer roof (2014), AC 2011. Not in a flood zone. Minutes from Downtown St Pete and Beaches. Home has a large, fenced backyard with 2 sheds.
-
1992-10-01soldstatus $46,000
-
1986-07-31soldstatus $54,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,073 · $589/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,073 · $589/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,414
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,925
- − Property taxes
- −$7,073
- − Insurance
- −$1,600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,913
- − Management
- −$2,913
- − Depreciation
- −$9,309
- Taxable loss
- −$5,319
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,277
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,234/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — St. Petersburg
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Petersburg, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 249,151
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,729
- Household income
- $74,707
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1076.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9% Black 7% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -439.69%
- Current HPI
- 478.8317
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.67%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+487.2% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-13 Listed $320,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-29 Rental Removed $2,461 RENTLY
- 2026-01-17 Price Changed $2,461 RENTLY
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $2,506 RENTLY
- 2025-12-28 Price Changed $2,495 RENTLY
- 2025-12-12 Price Changed $2,545 RENTLY
- 2025-11-19 Price Changed $2,595 RENTLY
- 2025-10-31 Listed for Rent $2,610 RENTLY
- 2022-06-18 Price Changed $2,400 RENT.
- 2021-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $260,400 Public Records
- 2021-09-27 Sold (MLS) $260,400 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-12 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-19 Listed $289,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1992-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
- 1986-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $54,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.1%/yrLatest (2025): $7,073 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…