12921 Braile St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$63,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move-In Ready Detroit Ranch – Perfect Starter or Investment Opportunity! Welcome to 12921 Braile, a charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath ranch offering a great combination of comfort and value. This cozy Detroit home features an inviting open floor plan, bright living room, and updated kitchen with ample cabinet space—perfect for everyday living. The spacious bedrooms provide plenty of natural light, while the clean, refreshed bathroom adds a modern touch. Enjoy the privacy of a fenced backyard, ideal for family gatherings, pets, or outdoor relaxation. The maintenance-free exterior and vinyl windows make this home easy to care for, and the large lot provides room for future expansion or gardening. Conveniently located near major freeways, schools, shopping, and local parks, this property is an excellent choice for a first-time buyer or savvy investor looking to add a solid asset to their portfolio. Don’t wait—homes at this price and condition move fast! Schedule your showing today and make 12921 Braile your next smart move.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Large lot
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $63k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $316 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $63k).
- Recommended offer: $55k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 85% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $436 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 244 days — a 12% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 244 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.47%
- DSCR
- 1.96
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $24,276
- List price
- $63,000
- Delta
- 159.51%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12937 Trinity St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 | 729 (+4%) | 14mo | $15,500 | $21 | 74 |
| 12642 Kentfield St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 742 (+6%) | 10mo | $40,000 | $54 | 67 |
| 14128 Patton St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (-1%) | 18mo | $11,500 | $17 | 65 |
| 13540 Minock St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 709 (+1%) | 10mo | $24,000 | $34 | 62 |
| 13535 Evergreen Rd | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 754 (+8%) | 13mo | $45,700 | $61 | 58 |
| 14336 Plainview Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 736 (+5%) | 22mo | $70,000 | $95 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $9,940
- Equity at exit
- $9,394
- IRR
- 22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.97×
- Total profit
- $34,719
- Equity at exit
- $5,447
Cash invested: $17,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48223
- Active inventory
- 158
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,008 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$330
- Tax from tax record
- −$124 /mo · $1,490/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$212
- Net cashflow
- $316
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,750
- Closing costs
- $1,890
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12867 Westbrook St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $1,050 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 12880 Dolson St Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 44d | 6 | 0.58mi |
| 12850 Dolphin St Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 746 | $999 | $1.34 | 5d | 4 | 0.73mi |
| 14347 Westwood St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $1,200 | $1.70 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 12875 Faust Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $1,200 | $1.63 | 5d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 15143 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 653 | $875 | $1.34 | 22d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 15143 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 653 | $875 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 20237 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $850 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 23620 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $985 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 23612 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 23600 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $995 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 23608 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $895 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 23616 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 23604 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 23624 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 14088 Riverview St Unit 108 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 14088 Riverview St Unit 208 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $985 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 14088 Riverview St Unit 207 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $975 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 14090 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 14084 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $985 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 14094 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $795 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 23632 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 23636 Schoolcraft Rd Unit 211 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 23628 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $985 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 23636 Schoolcraft Rd Unit 109 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $975 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 23636 Schoolcraft Rd Apt 212 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $985 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 23636 Schoolcraft Rd Unit 111 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $795 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 23636 Schoolcraft Rd Unit 210 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $845 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 14108 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 14104 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 23646 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 14120 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $985 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 14116 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $795 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 14134 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $845 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 14130 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $845 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 14080 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $985 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 23654 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $985 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 14100 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $795 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 14076 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 14138 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $845 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $63,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $63,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $63,000 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $63,000 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $63,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $63,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $63,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $63,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $63,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $63,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-02price $63,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2025-10-17$65,000 Active 1054-char remark
Show marketing remark (1052 chars)
Move-In Ready Detroit Ranch – Perfect Starter or Investment Opportunity! Welcome to 12921 Braile, a charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath ranch offering a great combination of comfort and value. This cozy Detroit home features an inviting open floor plan, bright living room, and updated kitchen with ample cabinet space - perfect for everyday living. The spacious bedrooms provide plenty of natural light, while the clean, refreshed bathroom adds a modern touch. Enjoy the privacy of a fenced backyard, ideal for family gatherings, pets, or outdoor relaxation. The maintenance-free exterior and vinyl windows make this home easy to care for, and the large lot provides room for future expansion or gardening. Conveniently located near major freeways, schools, shopping, and local parks, this property is an excellent choice for a first-time buyer or savvy investor looking to add a solid asset to their portfolio. Don't wait - homes at this price and condition move fast! Schedule your showing today and make 12921 Braile your next smart move.
-
2025-10-17$65,000 Active 1052-char remark
Show marketing remark (1052 chars)
Move-In Ready Detroit Ranch – Perfect Starter or Investment Opportunity! Welcome to 12921 Braile, a charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath ranch offering a great combination of comfort and value. This cozy Detroit home features an inviting open floor plan, bright living room, and updated kitchen with ample cabinet space - perfect for everyday living. The spacious bedrooms provide plenty of natural light, while the clean, refreshed bathroom adds a modern touch. Enjoy the privacy of a fenced backyard, ideal for family gatherings, pets, or outdoor relaxation. The maintenance-free exterior and vinyl windows make this home easy to care for, and the large lot provides room for future expansion or gardening. Conveniently located near major freeways, schools, shopping, and local parks, this property is an excellent choice for a first-time buyer or savvy investor looking to add a solid asset to their portfolio. Don't wait - homes at this price and condition move fast! Schedule your showing today and make 12921 Braile your next smart move.
-
2022-11-29historical
-
2022-11-29historical
-
2022-10-12price $65,000
-
2022-10-12price $65,000
-
2022-08-21$60,000 Active
-
2022-08-21$60,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,490 · $124/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,490 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,099
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,529
- − Property taxes
- −$1,490
- − Insurance
- −$315
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$968
- − Management
- −$968
- − Depreciation
- −$1,833
- Taxable income
- $2,996
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$719
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,069/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,622
- Household income
- $44,512
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1151.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -303.41%
- Current HPI
- 138.2779
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+8.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-17 Listed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-17 Listed $65,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-11-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-11-29 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-10-12 Price Changed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-12 Price Changed $65,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-08-21 Listed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-08-21 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,490 · -38.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…