CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
23555 Highway 26
D+ Composite 49.33
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$131,100

23555 Highway 26 · West Point, CA 95255
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 732 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 235 Days on market
Built 1967 1.42 ac lot $179/sqft · 13% below area Est $165k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

1.42 acre residential lot adjacent to Hwy 26. Small two bedroom cottage and detached garage/storage building have minimal value. Sloped lot, electric and communications to property. Plenty of room for new home and vehicle parking. Motivated Seller!!

Key facts

  • Adjacent to hwy 26
  • Residential lot
  • Sloped lot

Tags

RESIDENTIAL LOTADJACENT TO HWY 26SLOPED LOTELECTRIC AND COMMUNICATIONS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $131k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-27 ($-318/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $126k (3.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (10.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $115k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 41/100 on livability (#1,375 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A, cost of living B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Calaveras Unified (rural): math 16% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #436 of 517 in CA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: West Point Elementary (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #856 of 1,571 statewide, top 57%, 121 students, 69% FRL); Toyon Middle (math 14% / reading 29%, grade F, #400 of 498 statewide, top 82%, 531 students, 46% FRL); Calaveras High (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #532 of 1,170 statewide, top 48%, 746 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 77 units permitted in Calaveras County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($906 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
  • Calaveras County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 235 days — a 12% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $115,368 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 235 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.05%
Cash-on-cash
-0.87%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$165,000
List price
$131,100
Delta
-20.55%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.07% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.7%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$1,242
Equity at exit
$45,216
10-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$24,245
Equity at exit
$60,446

Cash invested: $36,708 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95255

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
37
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,170 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$688
Tax from tax record
$209 /mo · $2,507/yr
Insurance
$55
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$-27

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,204
Max offer price $126,419
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $48 -5% $11 +0% $-27 +5% $-64 +10% $-101
Rent -10% $-119 -5% $-73 +0% $-27 +5% $20 +10% $66
Rate -1.0pp $40 -0.5pp $7 base $-27 +0.5pp $-60 +1.0pp $-95

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,775
Closing costs
$3,933
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $131,100 Active 235 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $131,100 Active 233 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $131,100 Active 232 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $131,100 Active 231 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    price $131,100 Active 230 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $138,000 Active 230 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    pricestatus $138,000 Active 229 DOM
  8. 2006-10-06
    soldstatus $180,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,507 · $209/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,507 · $209/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 24 unhealthy d/yr today · 29 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,043
− Mortgage interest
−$7,344
− Property taxes
−$2,507
− Insurance
−$656
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,123
− Management
−$1,123
− Depreciation
−$3,814
Taxable loss
−$2,523
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$606
After-tax cash flow
$288/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Calaveras Unified
NCES district ID
0606870
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$55,559
Composite
20.06/100
National rank
#8654
State rank
#436 of 517 in CA

Livability — West Point

Score
41/100
State rank
#1375
US rank
#27138

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Point, CA
Population (ZIP)
1,755

Population outlook (Calaveras County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
43,163 people
By 2030
41,703 · -3.4%
By 2040
38,202 · -11.5%
By 2050
35,385 · -18.0%
By 2075
30,807 · -28.6%
By 2100
25,755 · -40.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Two or more races 30% Hispanic / Latino 24% Native American 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Serbian 2% Greek 1%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calaveras

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.1) · D 34.7% · R 62.8% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.0pp · 2024: -28.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.1 2020: R+23.8 2016: R+23.9 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+13.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.07%
Current HPI
210.0766
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2006-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,507 · -1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…