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809 Alpine Blvd
F Composite 20.07
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Cash flow +2.3/30.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$347,000

809 Alpine Blvd · Wilkins, PA 15221
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,064 sqft · Other public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1928 5,702 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Income on this 5 -1 bedroom unit apartment building. All fully rented. 4/5 with porch/deck. Major update including re-wired & separated electric for each unit. New boiler (common central heating), update kitchen, recent 3- story wooden deck. Coin-op Laundry with a new washer. Mostly hardwood/Ceramic - very little carpet.

Key facts

  • Convenient to 376
  • Detatched garage
  • 5,702 sq ft lot

Tags

INCOME PRODUCING PROPERTYCOIN OPERATED LAUNDRYDETATCHED GARAGESHOPPING AND RESTAURANTSCONVENIENT TO 376

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Gross annual income: $47,220; Maintenance expense: $1,200; Utilities expense: $5,500; Insurance expense: $2,200; Other expense: $250

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Off-street parking
  • Home design: Multi-unit property with 5 total units
  • Construction: Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Zoned MU (mixed use)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Five 1-bedroom units (each unit listed as 1 bedroom)
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath other listed at $347k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $156k (55.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (49.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $156k (55.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Woodland Hills SD (suburban): math 13% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #486 of 539 in PA (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $172k; list at $347k implies a 102% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $155,743 (55.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.50%
Cap rate
2.01%
Cash-on-cash
-15.30%
DSCR
0.32
GRM
16.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.86% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-44.7%
Equity multiple
-0.37×
Total profit
$-133,466
Equity at exit
$51,739
10-year hold
IRR
-73.3%
Equity multiple
-1.17×
Total profit
$-210,851
Equity at exit
$30,002

Cash invested: $97,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15221

Home prices YoY
-32.3%
Rents YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
118
Price-to-rent
16.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,739 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,820
Tax from tax record
$649 /mo · $7,787/yr
Insurance
$145
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$365
Net cashflow
$-1,239

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,308
Max offer price $155,743
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$86,750
Closing costs
$10,410
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    price $347,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $375,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $375,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $375,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $375,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 625-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $375,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,787 · $649/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,787 · $649/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,874
− Mortgage interest
−$19,437
− Property taxes
−$7,787
− Insurance
−$1,735
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,670
− Management
−$1,670
− Depreciation
−$10,095
Taxable loss
−$21,520
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,165
After-tax cash flow
$-9,703/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Woodland Hills SD
NCES district ID
4216500
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$41,803
Composite
18.31/100
National rank
#8954
State rank
#486 of 539 in PA

Livability — Wilkins

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
29,374
Household income
$55,028
Rent vs Own
55.3% rent · 44.7% own
Severe rent burden
1933.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 43% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -109.77%
Current HPI
230.0486
Rent YoY
▲ 3.86%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+525.0% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $375,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2023-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $172,000 Public Records
  • 2019-03-06 Sold (MLS) $190,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2019-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
  • 2019-02-05 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2019-01-08 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2018-12-04 Price Changed $220,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2018-10-15 Relisted West Penn MLS
  • 2018-10-04 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2018-09-28 Price Changed $225,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2018-08-16 Listed $230,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2017-08-07 Sold (MLS) $212,500 West Penn MLS
  • 2017-05-04 Price Changed $216,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2017-04-19 Listed $228,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2001-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $97,900 Public Records
  • 2001-09-04 Sold (MLS) $97,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2001-04-10 Listed $97,900 West Penn MLS
  • 1994-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $7,787 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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