809 Alpine Blvd · Wilkins, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +2.3/30.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$347,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Income on this 5 -1 bedroom unit apartment building. All fully rented. 4/5 with porch/deck. Major update including re-wired & separated electric for each unit. New boiler (common central heating), update kitchen, recent 3- story wooden deck. Coin-op Laundry with a new washer. Mostly hardwood/Ceramic - very little carpet.
Key facts
- Convenient to 376
- Detatched garage
- 5,702 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Gross annual income: $47,220; Maintenance expense: $1,200; Utilities expense: $5,500; Insurance expense: $2,200; Other expense: $250
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Off-street parking
- Home design: Multi-unit property with 5 total units
- Construction: Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Zoned MU (mixed use)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Five 1-bedroom units (each unit listed as 1 bedroom)
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath other listed at $347k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $156k (55.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (49.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $156k (55.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Woodland Hills SD (suburban): math 13% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #486 of 539 in PA (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $172k; list at $347k implies a 102% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.50% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- -15.30%
- DSCR
- 0.32
- GRM
- 16.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.86% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -44.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.37×
- Total profit
- $-133,466
- Equity at exit
- $51,739
- IRR
- -73.3%
- Equity multiple
- -1.17×
- Total profit
- $-210,851
- Equity at exit
- $30,002
Cash invested: $97,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15221
- Home prices YoY
- -32.3%
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 16.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,739 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,820
- Tax from tax record
- −$649 /mo · $7,787/yr
- Insurance
- −$145
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$365
- Net cashflow
- $-1,239
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $86,750
- Closing costs
- $10,410
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-19price $347,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $375,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $375,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-16days on market $375,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $375,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 625-char remark
-
2026-06-13$375,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,787 · $649/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,787 · $649/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,874
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,437
- − Property taxes
- −$7,787
- − Insurance
- −$1,735
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,670
- − Management
- −$1,670
- − Depreciation
- −$10,095
- Taxable loss
- −$21,520
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,165
- After-tax cash flow
- $-9,703/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Woodland Hills SD
- NCES district ID
- 4216500
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,803
- Composite
- 18.31/100
- National rank
- #8954
- State rank
- #486 of 539 in PA
Livability — Wilkins
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,374
- Household income
- $55,028
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1933.0
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 43% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -109.77%
- Current HPI
- 230.0486
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.86%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+525.0% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $375,000 West Penn MLS
- 2023-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $172,000 Public Records
- 2019-03-06 Sold (MLS) $190,000 West Penn MLS
- 2019-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
- 2019-02-05 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2019-01-08 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2018-12-04 Price Changed $220,000 West Penn MLS
- 2018-10-15 Relisted — West Penn MLS
- 2018-10-04 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2018-09-28 Price Changed $225,000 West Penn MLS
- 2018-08-16 Listed $230,000 West Penn MLS
- 2017-08-07 Sold (MLS) $212,500 West Penn MLS
- 2017-05-04 Price Changed $216,000 West Penn MLS
- 2017-04-19 Listed $228,000 West Penn MLS
- 2001-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $97,900 Public Records
- 2001-09-04 Sold (MLS) $97,900 West Penn MLS
- 2001-04-10 Listed $97,900 West Penn MLS
- 1994-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.3%/yrLatest (2026): $7,787 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…