611 Woodland Trl · Washington, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bdrm, 1 ba, 1 car garage ranch w/large yard & shed. Home in Estate - sold as is. Personal Belongings to be removed before closing.
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1953
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Septic system
- Home design: Single-family residence; Single-story living with additional upper, lower and basement levels noted
- Construction: Shingle roof; Built in 1953
- Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level); Each bedroom with carpet flooring and egress window
- Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms and living areas; Laminate in family room, dining room and kitchen
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric forced-air heating
- Interior features: Refrigerator included; No basement; No fireplaces
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $932 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 3.2% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#272 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Washington Chsd 308 (suburban): math 42% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #112 of 620 in IL (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Washington Comm High School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #76 of 693 statewide, top 12%, 1,484 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 77 units permitted in Tazewell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tazewell County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $69k; list at $150k implies a 117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.83% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.63%
- DSCR
- 2.18
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $211,428
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 611 Woodland Trl | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,687 (+0%) | 1mo | $157,000 | $93 | 98 |
| 1514 Sunset Dr | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,640 (-2%) | 5mo | $185,000 | $113 | 64 |
| 1107 Dixon St | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 | 1,587 (-5%) | 5mo | $199,900 | $126 | 62 |
| 1005 Peoria St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,621 (-3%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $80 | 62 |
| 306 Parkview Dr | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,559 (-7%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $119 | 61 |
| 1105 Dixon St | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 | 1,587 (-5%) | 11mo | $216,100 | $136 | 58 |
| 310 Hillcrest Dr | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,586 (-6%) | 1mo | $270,600 | $171 | 55 |
| 711 Peoria St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,580 (-6%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $57 | 53 |
| 203 Court Dr | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,797 (+7%) | 4mo | $207,500 | $115 | 51 |
| 112 Bondurant St | 0.66mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,485 (-12%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $152 | 44 |
| 1306 Bobolink Dr | 0.73mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,566 (-7%) | 6mo | $205,000 | $131 | 43 |
| 209 Hillcrest Dr | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,464 (-13%) | 9mo | $241,000 | $165 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $35,215
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 28.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.57×
- Total profit
- $107,771
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61571
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,750 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$391 /mo · $4,698/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$578
- Net cashflow
- $932
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 700 Debates St Washington, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $2,750 | $2.08 | 13d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 713 Stephanie Ct Washington, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $2,750 | $2.08 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 704 Debates St Washington, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $2,750 | $2.08 | 13d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending
-
2026-05-15$150,000 Active
-
2026-05-13historical $150,000
-
2014-05-15soldstatus $69,000 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
3 bdrm, 1 ba, 1 car garage ranch w/large yard & shed. Home in Estate - sold as is. Personal Belongings to be removed before closing.
-
2014-05-15soldstatus $69,000
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
3 bdrm, 1 ba, 1 car garage ranch w/large yard & shed. Home in Estate - sold as is. Personal Belongings to be removed before closing.
-
2013-12-09$75,000 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
3 bdrm, 1 ba, 1 car garage ranch w/large yard & shed. Home in Estate - sold as is. Personal Belongings to be removed before closing.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,698 · $391/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,698 · $391/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$4,698
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,640
- − Management
- −$2,640
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $9,507
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,282
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,902/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washington Chsd 308
- NCES district ID
- 1740980
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,029
- Composite
- 37.69/100
- National rank
- #4361
- State rank
- #112 of 620 in IL
Livability — Washington
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #272
- US rank
- #5136
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Washington, IL
- City population
- 24,544
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,544
Population outlook (Tazewell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 131,252 people
- By 2030
- 128,028 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 120,443 · -8.2%
- By 2050
- 111,872 · -14.8%
- By 2075
- 89,843 · -31.5%
- By 2100
- 66,468 · -49.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Tazewell
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.7) · D 35.8% · R 62.5% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.0pp · 2024: -26.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.7 2020: R+25.6 2016: R+28.5 2012: R+17.9 2008: R+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.85%
- Current HPI
- 149.5627
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+100.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-15 Listed $150,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-13 Coming Soon $150,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
- 2014-05-15 Sold (MLS) $69,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-12-09 Listed $75,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2024): $4,698 · +19.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…