26322 Brahma Dr · Wesley Chapel, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
AFFORDABLE OPPORTUNITY IN THE HEART OF FAST-GROWING WESLEY CHAPEL — FIXER UPPER OR BUILD YOUR OWN! This 2 bedroom 1 bathroom mobile home sits on an oversized 0.517-acre lot in the established Angus Valley community with NO HOA and NO flood zone. Whether you are a hands-on buyer looking for a cheap fixer upper to make your own, an investor looking to renovate and rent, or a builder ready to remove and start fresh — this property gives you options. Existing FGUA public water and septic system already in place. With over half an acre of AR-zoned land there is room for RV or boat parking, animals, storage, and more. No HOA means no restrictions on how you use your land. Located minu
Key facts
- Rv or boat parking
- Ar zoned land
- Oversized lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential mobile home; Lot size approximately 0.52 acres; Zoning: AR; Living area reported as 792 sq ft (public records); Building area reported as 1,112 sq ft (public records)
- HOA & community: No association indicated
Exterior
- Parking: Has carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Cable available; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Residential mobile home (single wide); One story; Faces northeast
- Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Built on crawlspace
- Exterior features: Private mailbox; Road surface: Other
Interior
- Kitchen: Other appliances
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Ductless heating; Central air conditioning; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Other laundry features; Crawlspace foundation (utility access)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $903 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 3.7% in Wesley Chapel — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#143 in FL, #2,137 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Quail Hollow Elementary School (math 45% / reading 49%, grade D-, #1,191 of 2,144 statewide, top 57%, 543 students, 61% FRL); Cypress Creek High School (math 48% / reading 56%, grade D+, #160 of 667 statewide, top 25%, 1,851 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $19k; list at $100k implies a 426% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.98% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.73%
- DSCR
- 2.72
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $141,768
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26627 Brahma Dr | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (-1%) | 10mo | $140,000 | $179 | 75 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $35,515
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 37.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.95×
- Total profit
- $82,570
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33544
- Home prices YoY
- -24.1%
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 187
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,982 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,170/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$416
- Net cashflow
- $903
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Address Not Available PL Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1011 | $1,676 | $1.66 | 2d | 25 | 0.86mi |
| 5561 Post Oak Blvd Wesley Chapel, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 948 | $2,030 | $2.14 | 1d | 13 | 1.10mi |
| 5291 Post Oak Blvd Wesley Chapel, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1068 | $2,009 | $1.88 | 1d | 14 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-15$99,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,170 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,170 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,784
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,170
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,903
- − Management
- −$1,903
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $9,807
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,354
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,480/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Wesley Chapel
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #143
- US rank
- #2137
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- City population
- 100,771
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,901
- Household income
- $104,573
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 378.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 20% Black 9% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -84.76%
- Current HPI
- 266.5191
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.30%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+425.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $99,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1995-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+17.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,170 · -31.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…