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3118 Columbrina Cir
D Composite 41.58
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.2/15.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

3118 Columbrina Cir · Port St. Lucie, FL 34952
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · Manufactured public records · 85 Days on market
Built 1989 5,211 sqft lot Est $175k · at est. $338/mo HOA · 17% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

NEW LOW PRICE. LAND OWNED! Large 2-bedroom, 2 bath home with a direct water view. HOME HAS BEEN FRESHLY PAINTED - EXTERIOR. Complete 6/19. Super large master bedroom with an attached bathroom, Dual sinks, separate shower and soaking tub highlight the master bath. L-shaped kitchen with plenty of counter space and cabinets. Ample seating in the dining room for your guests. Breakfast area with a gorgeous view of the water. Spacious living room with glass French doors leading to your lanai. Lanai has windows and screens with a door to the carport and another to the back patio. Concrete patio overlooks the back pond. Roof replaced in 2024 as was vapor barrier. All broken tiedowns replaced in 202

Key facts

  • 5,211 sq ft lot
  • 3 parking spots
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Senior community; Pets allowed (dogs OK; pet restrictions possible)
  • HOA & community: Part of Savanna Club Home Association; Monthly HOA fee; HOA includes cable TV, internet, security, sewer, trash and common areas; Community amenities include pool, heated pool, spa/hot tub, clubhouse, fitness center, tennis and pickleball courts, basketball court, shuffleboard, bocce ball, putting green, game room, business center, library, cafe/restaurant, cabana, management/manager on site, recreation facilities, sauna, billiard room, heated pool, internet included, security, trash chute

Exterior

  • Parking: 3 total parking spaces; Attached carport (1 covered space); Driveway with 2 open spaces
  • Security: Smoke detector(s); Community security (association)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 150 amp electric service with circuit breakers; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Front entry; Faces south; Entry level: 1; Resale property
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Wood frame construction; Shingle/composition roof; Built on a single-level foundation
  • Exterior features: Open patio; Screened porch; Glass-enclosed porch; Porch; Shed(s); Landscaped lot; Asphalt/paved road; Private maintained road; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric range; Electric cooktop; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fan(s); Exhaust fan
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; Walk-in closet(s); Stacked bedroom layout; Furnished
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup on main level; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $4 ($51/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
  • Recommended offer: $169k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.9% in Port St. Lucie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Manatee Academy K-8 (math 53% / reading 51%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 1,664 students, 65% FRL); Southern Oaks Middle School (math 39% / reading 43%, grade F, #353 of 571 statewide, top 63%, 894 students, 76% FRL); Fort Pierce Central High School (math 15% / reading 45%, grade F, #441 of 667 statewide, top 67%, 3,091 students, 62% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 645 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $180k implies a 125% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $169,106 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
6.32%
Cash-on-cash
0.10%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$175,000
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8394 Delphinium Ct 0.27mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,392 (-1%) 4mo $220,000 $158 78
2948 Fiddlewood Cir 0.20mi 2/2.0 1,280 (-9%) 1mo $122,000 $95 75
3033 Satinleaf Ln 0.19mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-11%) 4mo $195,000 $156 70
3817 Sleepy Hollow Ln 0.56mi 2/2.0 1,390 (-1%) 4mo $260,000 $187 69
3005 Approach Shot Way 0.50mi 2/2.0 1,333 (-5%) 3mo $149,900 $112 66
10 Padre 0.42mi 2/2.0 1,280 (-9%) 4mo $38,000 $30 63
8504 Gallberry Cir 0.51mi 2/2.0 1,264 (-10%) 4mo $178,000 $141 56
7921 Meadowlark Ln 0.68mi 2/2.0 1,301 (-7%) 2mo $115,000 $88 54
7928 Meadowlark Ln 0.68mi 2/3.0 1,475 (+5%) 2mo $65,000 $44 54
7953 Horned Lark Cir 0.71mi 2/2.0 1,286 (-8%) 1mo $130,000 $101 52
3801 Meadowlark Cir 0.62mi 2/2.0 1,216 (-13%) 4mo $152,000 $125 46
3720 Pebble Bch 0.48mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,608 (+15%) 3mo $225,000 $140 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.5%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-30,800
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
-12.1%
Equity multiple
0.32×
Total profit
$-34,168
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34952

Home prices YoY
-29.6%
Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
645
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,007 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax est. 1.5%
$225 /mo · $2,698/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$338
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$421
Net cashflow
$4

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,002
Max offer price $179,900
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $129 -5% $66 +0% $4 +5% $-58 +10% $-120
Rent -10% $-154 -5% $-75 +0% $4 +5% $84 +10% $163
Rate -1.0pp $95 -0.5pp $50 base $4 +0.5pp $-42 +1.0pp $-90

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3784 Sapodilla Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1121 $2,300 $2.05 25d 1 0.42mi
71 W Caribbean Port St. Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1417 $1,700 $1.20 25d 1 0.52mi
1900 Bella Vista Way Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 995 $1,764 $1.77 15d 15 0.70mi
1131 SE Parrish Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 1.0 902 $2,000 $2.22 25d 1 0.75mi
1811 SE Walton Lakes Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 1.0–2.0 1117 $1,926 $1.72 15d 6 0.78mi
2082 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1524 $1,850 $1.21 25d 1 0.84mi
2058 SE Wild Meadow Cir #101 Port St Lucie, FL 2.0 2.5 1425 $2,200 $1.54 15d 1 0.84mi
2183 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1550 $1,900 $1.23 15d 1 0.85mi
1810 SE Pinewood Trl Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1013 $2,055 $2.03 15d 7 0.88mi
2130 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1440 $1,695 $1.18 15d 1 0.88mi
2209 SE East Dunbrooke Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 3.0 2.0 1212 $2,950 $2.43 15d 1 0.90mi
1455 SE Colchester Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 921 $1,795 $1.95 15d 1 1.30mi
1500 SE Tiffany Club Pl Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 895 $1,922 $2.15 15d 7 1.32mi
1516 SE Royal Green Cir #202 Port St Lucie, FL 3.0 2.0 921 $2,100 $2.28 25d 1 1.35mi
1520 SE Royal Green Cir Unit K-203 Port St. Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 886 $1,800 $2.03 25d 1 1.36mi
1537 SE Royal Green Cir Unit E204 Port St. Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 886 $1,750 $1.98 15d 1 1.47mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$338 · $4,056/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $179,900 Active 85 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,900 Active 82 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,900 Active 81 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,900 Active 80 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,900 Active 79 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $179,900 Active 77 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,900 Active 76 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $179,900 Active 74 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,900 Active 73 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,900 Active 72 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,900 Active 71 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $179,900 Active 68 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,900 Active 67 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,900 Active 66 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,900 Active 65 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,900 Active 64 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $179,900 Active 63 DOM
  19. 2026-05-22
    price $179,900
  20. 2026-03-28
    listed $189,900 Active
  21. 1989-08-30
    soldstatus $79,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,084
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$2,698
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,927
− Management
−$1,927
− HOA
−$4,056
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable loss
−$2,734
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$656
After-tax cash flow
$707/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Lucie
NCES district ID
1201770
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,737
Composite
37.28/100
National rank
#4449
State rank
#51 of 73 in FL

Livability — Port St. Lucie

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
City population
221,051
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
Population (ZIP)
42,655
Household income
$61,628
Rent vs Own
25.8% rent · 74.2% own
Severe rent burden
1759.0

Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
338,016 people
By 2030
355,687 · +5.2%
By 2040
385,521 · +14.1%
By 2050
406,106 · +20.1%
By 2075
441,054 · +30.5%
By 2100
436,885 · +29.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 10% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -155.80%
Current HPI
371.0573
Rent YoY
▲ 1.92%
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+125.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $179,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-03-28 Listed $189,900 Beaches MLS
  • 1989-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $79,800 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $339 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…