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778 Dutch Hill Rd
B Composite 71.66
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,999

778 Dutch Hill Rd · South Fayette, PA 15071
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,386 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1900

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Peace and privacy and a great opportunity to be in South Fayette School District! Flexible floor plan with a main floor bedroom or dining room and 2 additional bedrooms on the second floor. Great enclosed rear porch with a wall of windows overlooking the back yard. Very large room sizes and good storage space. Huge partially finished, daylight basement with extra high ceilings just asking to be completed for a great family room. Kitchen and bath are a blank slate waiting for the new owners ideas and touches-bring your sweat equity! One car detached garage and large open shed in rear. Close to I79 and a short drive to all the major shopping and entertainment venues.

Key facts

  • Near interstate i-79
  • Very private
  • Large closet

Tags

LARGE CLOSETPARTIAL BATHNEAR INTERSTATE I-79NEAR MAJOR SHOPPING AREASALMOST 3/4 ACREVERY PRIVATE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $891 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • South Fayette Township SD (suburban): math 67% / reading 85% proficiency, ranked #12 of 539 in PA (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $60k implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $59,099 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.10%
Cap rate
24.11%
Cash-on-cash
63.63%
DSCR
3.83
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$273,042
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1298 Oakridge Rd 0.48mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,386 (0%) 22mo $270,000 $195 51
1323 Oakridge Rd 0.65mi 2/2.0 1,330 (-4%) 14mo $262,000 $197 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
62.8%
Equity multiple
3.81×
Total profit
$47,145
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
67.3%
Equity multiple
7.82×
Total profit
$114,635
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15071

Home prices YoY
-21.2%
Active inventory
66
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,859 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$238 /mo · $2,860/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$390
Net cashflow
$891

Break-even live

Break-even rent $732
Max offer price $59,999
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1318 Oakridge Rd Mc Donald, PA 3.0 3.0 1508 $2,000 $1.33 1d 1 0.60mi
2200 Alpha Dr Bridgeville, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1016 $2,228 $2.19 1d 30 1.10mi
120 Blythe Rd Morgan, PA 2.0 2.0 1288 $1,525 $1.18 43d 1 1.34mi
120 Blythe Rd Morgan, PA 2.0 2.0 1288 $1,525 $1.18 7d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,999 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,999 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,999 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,999 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,999 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,999 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,999 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,999 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,999 Active 15 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,999 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,999 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,999 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-05-20
    listed $59,999 Active
  14. 2020-05-21
    historical 675-char remark
    Show marketing remark (675 chars)

    Peace and privacy and a great opportunity to be in South Fayette School District! Flexible floor plan with a main floor bedroom or dining room and 2 additional bedrooms on the second floor. Great enclosed rear porch with a wall of windows overlooking the back yard. Very large room sizes and good storage space. Huge partially finished, daylight basement with extra high ceilings just asking to be completed for a great family room. Kitchen and bath are a blank slate waiting for the new owners ideas and touches-bring your sweat equity! One car detached garage and large open shed in rear. Close to I79 and a short drive to all the major shopping and entertainment venues.

  15. 2020-05-11
    soldstatus $22,000 Sold 675-char remark
    Show marketing remark (675 chars)

    Peace and privacy and a great opportunity to be in South Fayette School District! Flexible floor plan with a main floor bedroom or dining room and 2 additional bedrooms on the second floor. Great enclosed rear porch with a wall of windows overlooking the back yard. Very large room sizes and good storage space. Huge partially finished, daylight basement with extra high ceilings just asking to be completed for a great family room. Kitchen and bath are a blank slate waiting for the new owners ideas and touches-bring your sweat equity! One car detached garage and large open shed in rear. Close to I79 and a short drive to all the major shopping and entertainment venues.

  16. 2020-04-29
    status Under Contract 675-char remark
    Show marketing remark (675 chars)

    Peace and privacy and a great opportunity to be in South Fayette School District! Flexible floor plan with a main floor bedroom or dining room and 2 additional bedrooms on the second floor. Great enclosed rear porch with a wall of windows overlooking the back yard. Very large room sizes and good storage space. Huge partially finished, daylight basement with extra high ceilings just asking to be completed for a great family room. Kitchen and bath are a blank slate waiting for the new owners ideas and touches-bring your sweat equity! One car detached garage and large open shed in rear. Close to I79 and a short drive to all the major shopping and entertainment venues.

  17. 2020-04-24
    historical Withdrawn 675-char remark
    Show marketing remark (675 chars)

    Peace and privacy and a great opportunity to be in South Fayette School District! Flexible floor plan with a main floor bedroom or dining room and 2 additional bedrooms on the second floor. Great enclosed rear porch with a wall of windows overlooking the back yard. Very large room sizes and good storage space. Huge partially finished, daylight basement with extra high ceilings just asking to be completed for a great family room. Kitchen and bath are a blank slate waiting for the new owners ideas and touches-bring your sweat equity! One car detached garage and large open shed in rear. Close to I79 and a short drive to all the major shopping and entertainment venues.

  18. 2020-03-30
    historical Contingent 675-char remark
    Show marketing remark (675 chars)

    Peace and privacy and a great opportunity to be in South Fayette School District! Flexible floor plan with a main floor bedroom or dining room and 2 additional bedrooms on the second floor. Great enclosed rear porch with a wall of windows overlooking the back yard. Very large room sizes and good storage space. Huge partially finished, daylight basement with extra high ceilings just asking to be completed for a great family room. Kitchen and bath are a blank slate waiting for the new owners ideas and touches-bring your sweat equity! One car detached garage and large open shed in rear. Close to I79 and a short drive to all the major shopping and entertainment venues.

  19. 2020-03-08
    listed $24,900 Active 675-char remark
    Show marketing remark (675 chars)

    Peace and privacy and a great opportunity to be in South Fayette School District! Flexible floor plan with a main floor bedroom or dining room and 2 additional bedrooms on the second floor. Great enclosed rear porch with a wall of windows overlooking the back yard. Very large room sizes and good storage space. Huge partially finished, daylight basement with extra high ceilings just asking to be completed for a great family room. Kitchen and bath are a blank slate waiting for the new owners ideas and touches-bring your sweat equity! One car detached garage and large open shed in rear. Close to I79 and a short drive to all the major shopping and entertainment venues.

  20. 2018-10-27
    historical Expired 68-char remark
    Show marketing remark (68 chars)

    A two story frame single family home with a one car detached garage.

  21. 2018-07-17
    listed $100,000 Active 68-char remark
    Show marketing remark (68 chars)

    A two story frame single family home with a one car detached garage.

  22. 1979-10-19
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,860 · $238/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,860 · $238/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,311
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$2,860
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,785
− Management
−$1,785
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$10,475
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,514
After-tax cash flow
$8,176/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Fayette Township SD
NCES district ID
4220580
Math proficiency
67% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
85% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$74,409
Composite
66.61/100
National rank
#415
State rank
#12 of 539 in PA

Livability — South Fayette

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
12,455

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 8% Asian 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Scotch-Irish 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.90%
Current HPI
266.6786
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+200.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $59,999 FSBO.com
  • 2020-05-21 Delisted West Penn MLS
  • 2020-05-11 Sold (MLS) $22,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2020-04-29 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2020-04-24 Delisted West Penn MLS
  • 2020-03-30 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2020-03-08 Listed $24,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2018-10-27 Delisted West Penn MLS
  • 2018-07-17 Listed $100,000 West Penn MLS
  • 1979-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,860 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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