778 Dutch Hill Rd · South Fayette, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Peace and privacy and a great opportunity to be in South Fayette School District! Flexible floor plan with a main floor bedroom or dining room and 2 additional bedrooms on the second floor. Great enclosed rear porch with a wall of windows overlooking the back yard. Very large room sizes and good storage space. Huge partially finished, daylight basement with extra high ceilings just asking to be completed for a great family room. Kitchen and bath are a blank slate waiting for the new owners ideas and touches-bring your sweat equity! One car detached garage and large open shed in rear. Close to I79 and a short drive to all the major shopping and entertainment venues.
Key facts
- Near interstate i-79
- Very private
- Large closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $891 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- South Fayette Township SD (suburban): math 67% / reading 85% proficiency, ranked #12 of 539 in PA (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $60k implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 63.63%
- DSCR
- 3.83
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $273,042
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1298 Oakridge Rd | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,386 (0%) | 22mo | $270,000 | $195 | 51 |
| 1323 Oakridge Rd | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,330 (-4%) | 14mo | $262,000 | $197 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 62.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.81×
- Total profit
- $47,145
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 67.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.82×
- Total profit
- $114,635
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15071
- Home prices YoY
- -21.2%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,859 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$238 /mo · $2,860/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$390
- Net cashflow
- $891
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1318 Oakridge Rd Mc Donald, PA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1508 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 1d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2200 Alpha Dr Bridgeville, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1016 | $2,228 | $2.19 | 1d | 30 | 1.10mi |
| 120 Blythe Rd Morgan, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,525 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 120 Blythe Rd Morgan, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,525 | $1.18 | 7d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,999 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,999 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,999 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,999 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,999 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,999 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,999 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,999 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,999 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,999 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,999 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,999 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-20$59,999 Active
-
2020-05-21historical 675-char remark
Show marketing remark (675 chars)
Peace and privacy and a great opportunity to be in South Fayette School District! Flexible floor plan with a main floor bedroom or dining room and 2 additional bedrooms on the second floor. Great enclosed rear porch with a wall of windows overlooking the back yard. Very large room sizes and good storage space. Huge partially finished, daylight basement with extra high ceilings just asking to be completed for a great family room. Kitchen and bath are a blank slate waiting for the new owners ideas and touches-bring your sweat equity! One car detached garage and large open shed in rear. Close to I79 and a short drive to all the major shopping and entertainment venues.
-
2020-05-11soldstatus $22,000 Sold 675-char remark
Show marketing remark (675 chars)
Peace and privacy and a great opportunity to be in South Fayette School District! Flexible floor plan with a main floor bedroom or dining room and 2 additional bedrooms on the second floor. Great enclosed rear porch with a wall of windows overlooking the back yard. Very large room sizes and good storage space. Huge partially finished, daylight basement with extra high ceilings just asking to be completed for a great family room. Kitchen and bath are a blank slate waiting for the new owners ideas and touches-bring your sweat equity! One car detached garage and large open shed in rear. Close to I79 and a short drive to all the major shopping and entertainment venues.
-
2020-04-29status Under Contract 675-char remark
Show marketing remark (675 chars)
Peace and privacy and a great opportunity to be in South Fayette School District! Flexible floor plan with a main floor bedroom or dining room and 2 additional bedrooms on the second floor. Great enclosed rear porch with a wall of windows overlooking the back yard. Very large room sizes and good storage space. Huge partially finished, daylight basement with extra high ceilings just asking to be completed for a great family room. Kitchen and bath are a blank slate waiting for the new owners ideas and touches-bring your sweat equity! One car detached garage and large open shed in rear. Close to I79 and a short drive to all the major shopping and entertainment venues.
-
2020-04-24historical Withdrawn 675-char remark
Show marketing remark (675 chars)
Peace and privacy and a great opportunity to be in South Fayette School District! Flexible floor plan with a main floor bedroom or dining room and 2 additional bedrooms on the second floor. Great enclosed rear porch with a wall of windows overlooking the back yard. Very large room sizes and good storage space. Huge partially finished, daylight basement with extra high ceilings just asking to be completed for a great family room. Kitchen and bath are a blank slate waiting for the new owners ideas and touches-bring your sweat equity! One car detached garage and large open shed in rear. Close to I79 and a short drive to all the major shopping and entertainment venues.
-
2020-03-30historical Contingent 675-char remark
Show marketing remark (675 chars)
Peace and privacy and a great opportunity to be in South Fayette School District! Flexible floor plan with a main floor bedroom or dining room and 2 additional bedrooms on the second floor. Great enclosed rear porch with a wall of windows overlooking the back yard. Very large room sizes and good storage space. Huge partially finished, daylight basement with extra high ceilings just asking to be completed for a great family room. Kitchen and bath are a blank slate waiting for the new owners ideas and touches-bring your sweat equity! One car detached garage and large open shed in rear. Close to I79 and a short drive to all the major shopping and entertainment venues.
-
2020-03-08$24,900 Active 675-char remark
Show marketing remark (675 chars)
Peace and privacy and a great opportunity to be in South Fayette School District! Flexible floor plan with a main floor bedroom or dining room and 2 additional bedrooms on the second floor. Great enclosed rear porch with a wall of windows overlooking the back yard. Very large room sizes and good storage space. Huge partially finished, daylight basement with extra high ceilings just asking to be completed for a great family room. Kitchen and bath are a blank slate waiting for the new owners ideas and touches-bring your sweat equity! One car detached garage and large open shed in rear. Close to I79 and a short drive to all the major shopping and entertainment venues.
-
2018-10-27historical Expired 68-char remark
Show marketing remark (68 chars)
A two story frame single family home with a one car detached garage.
-
2018-07-17$100,000 Active 68-char remark
Show marketing remark (68 chars)
A two story frame single family home with a one car detached garage.
-
1979-10-19soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,860 · $238/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,860 · $238/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,311
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$2,860
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,785
- − Management
- −$1,785
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $10,475
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,514
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,176/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Fayette Township SD
- NCES district ID
- 4220580
- Math proficiency
- 67% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 85% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,409
- Composite
- 66.61/100
- National rank
- #415
- State rank
- #12 of 539 in PA
Livability — South Fayette
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,455
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 8% Asian 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Scotch-Irish 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.90%
- Current HPI
- 266.6786
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+200.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $59,999 FSBO.com
- 2020-05-21 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2020-05-11 Sold (MLS) $22,000 West Penn MLS
- 2020-04-29 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2020-04-24 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2020-03-30 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2020-03-08 Listed $24,900 West Penn MLS
- 2018-10-27 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2018-07-17 Listed $100,000 West Penn MLS
- 1979-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2026): $2,860 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…