902 N 5th St · Mankato, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.8/30.0
- ARV discount +10.3/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedroom 2 story with a rental license. New furnace and central air in 2000. Electrical was updated to 200 amp in 1994. Maintenance free exterior. Zoned commercial, could be used for business.
Key facts
- Off street parking
- Solid rental history
- Rental license
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Multi-family residential income property; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Front porch; Corner lot; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with forced air; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full unfinished basement; Central air
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $154k (6.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $154k (6.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.4% in Mankato — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#133 in MN, #2,970 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, commute F.
- Mankato Public School District (urban): math 48% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #98 of 301 in MN (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.6%/yr); 359 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 269 units permitted in Blue Earth County in 2024 (154 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Blue Earth County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1876 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1876 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.28%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $175,959
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 808 N 4th St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,142 (+11%) | 9mo | $167,700 | $147 | 70 |
| 940 Marsh St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,025 (-0%) | 14mo | $229,900 | $224 | 55 |
| 1317 N 7th St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (+11%) | 23mo | $195,900 | $171 | 45 |
| 311 Thompson St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 880 (-14%) | 13mo | $177,400 | $202 | 41 |
| 1210 N 7th St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 894 (-13%) | 24mo | $100,000 | $112 | 40 |
| 230 N 6th St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,161 (+13%) | 19mo | $160,000 | $138 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-8,140
- Equity at exit
- $24,587
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $43,283
- Equity at exit
- $14,258
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56001
- Rents YoY
- 8.6%
- Active inventory
- 359
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,538 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,406/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$323
- Net cashflow
- $165
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $258 | -5% $211 | +0% $165 | +5% $118 | +10% $71 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $43 | -5% $104 | +0% $165 | +5% $225 | +10% $286 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $248 | -0.5pp $207 | base $165 | +0.5pp $122 | +1.0pp $78 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320 E Lafayette St Mankato, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $1,545 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 405 N 5th St Mankato, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 780 | $1,600 | $2.05 | 45d | 16 | 0.41mi |
| 614 N Riverfront Dr Unit 624 1/2 Mankato, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 120 Knollcrest Dr Mankato, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,020 | $1.14 | 45d | 4 | 0.43mi |
| 325 E Washington St Unit 3 Mankato, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 795 | $1,025 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1050 Marsh St Unit 326 Van Tol Mankato, MN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1461 | $2,360 | $1.62 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 235 Belgrade Ave Unit 201 North Mankato, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 101 Glenwood Ave Mankato, MN | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,330 | $1.24 | 45d | 8 | 1.08mi |
| 1111 Range St Unit 128 North Mankato, MN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,545 | $1.61 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 200 Briargate Rd Mankato, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 912 | $1,799 | $1.97 | 45d | 32 | 1.42mi |
| 1247 Range St Unit 116 Mankato, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,500 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $164,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $164,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $164,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $164,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $164,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $164,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $164,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $164,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $164,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $164,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $164,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $164,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $164,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $164,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $164,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $164,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $164,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $164,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-22$164,900 Active
-
2004-12-02soldstatus $230,000
-
2004-11-30soldstatus $89,900 193-char remark
Show marketing remark (193 chars)
3 bedroom 2 story with a rental license. New furnace and central air in 2000. Electrical was updated to 200 amp in 1994. Maintenance free exterior. Zoned commercial, could be used for business.
-
2004-10-19historical 193-char remark
Show marketing remark (193 chars)
3 bedroom 2 story with a rental license. New furnace and central air in 2000. Electrical was updated to 200 amp in 1994. Maintenance free exterior. Zoned commercial, could be used for business.
-
2004-10-13$89,900 193-char remark
Show marketing remark (193 chars)
3 bedroom 2 story with a rental license. New furnace and central air in 2000. Electrical was updated to 200 amp in 1994. Maintenance free exterior. Zoned commercial, could be used for business.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,406 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,626 · $136/mo
- Expected delta
- +$220/yr (+$18/mo · 15.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,459
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$1,406
- − Insurance
- −$824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,477
- − Management
- −$1,477
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable loss
- −$759
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$182
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,157/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mankato Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2718780
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,469
- Composite
- 44.36/100
- National rank
- #2819
- State rank
- #98 of 301 in MN
Livability — Mankato
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #133
- US rank
- #2970
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mankato, MN
- County
- Blue Earth County · 51,585 people
- City population
- 51,585
- Metro
- Mankato, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,585
- Household income
- $69,531
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2394.0
Population outlook (Blue Earth County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 70,208 people
- By 2030
- 72,708 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 77,481 · +10.4%
- By 2050
- 82,842 · +18.0%
- By 2075
- 99,990 · +42.4%
- By 2100
- 116,795 · +66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 11% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Blue Earth
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.3% · R 49.5% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.9pp · 2024: -1.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.2 2020: D+4.4 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+9.5 2008: D+12.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -192.46%
- Current HPI
- 189.8485
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.55%
- Metro
- Mankato, MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+83.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $164,900 RASM
- 2004-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $230,000 Public Records
- 2004-11-30 Sold (MLS) $89,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-10-19 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-10-13 Listed $89,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,406 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…