14415 Alder Ave · East Cleveland, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move in ready. 3rd floor attic can be turned into a 4th bedroom.
Key facts
- Oak cabinets
- Formal dining room
- Huge eat-in kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $609 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#650 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- East Cleveland City School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #652 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 92% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Caledonia Elementary School (246 students, 0% FRL); W.H. Kirk Middle School (math 6% / reading 15%, grade F, #642 of 654 statewide, top 98%, 291 students, 0% FRL); Shaw High School (math 2% / reading 27%, grade F, #706 of 781 statewide, top 92%, 541 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 92% district-wide (92 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,482/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 1702% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $47k; list at $85k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.69%
- DSCR
- 2.37
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $35,221
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- 141.33%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1367 Shawview Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,273 (-6%) | 8mo | $22,000 | $17 | 67 |
| 1273 E 135th St | 0.40mi | 4/1.0 | 1,256 (-7%) | 3mo | $65,000 | $52 | 66 |
| 14629 Ardenall Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,384 (+2%) | 14mo | $59,000 | $43 | 66 |
| 14526 Orinoco Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,462 (+8%) | 3mo | $27,000 | $18 | 61 |
| 1227 E 135th St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,312 (-3%) | 15mo | $65,000 | $50 | 58 |
| 1282 E 137th St | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 | 1,440 (+6%) | 16mo | $78,500 | $55 | 55 |
| 13500 Claiborne Rd | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,297 (-4%) | 5mo | $44,500 | $34 | 54 |
| 13600 Graham Rd | 0.65mi | 5/1.0 (+1) | 1,380 (+2%) | 10mo | $50,100 | $36 | 53 |
| 1929 Taylor Rd | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 | 1,344 (-1%) | 15mo | $128,000 | $95 | 47 |
| 16007 Elderwood Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-12%) | 9mo | $30,000 | $25 | 45 |
| 1524 E 133rd St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,232 (-9%) | 6mo | $30,000 | $24 | 44 |
| 13411 6th Ave | 0.73mi | 4/1.0 | 1,468 (+8%) | 10mo | $113,000 | $77 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $28,288
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 36.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.73×
- Total profit
- $88,686
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44112
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,482 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $969/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $609
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $657 | -5% $633 | +0% $609 | +5% $585 | +10% $561 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $492 | -5% $550 | +0% $609 | +5% $667 | +10% $726 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $651 | -0.5pp $630 | base $609 | +0.5pp $587 | +1.0pp $564 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14813 Alder Ave Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1188 | $1,150 | $0.97 | 25d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 14205 Savannah Ave Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $1,350 | $1.16 | 17d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 13900 Potomac Ave Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1172 | $1,355 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 14312 Scioto Ave Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1090 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 6d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 14005 Scioto Ave Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,570 | $1.49 | 17d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 14200 Scioto Ave Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1256 | $1,350 | $1.07 | 17d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 14009 Mayfair Ave Unit 2 East Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,390 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 16000 Terrace Rd Cleveland, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $1,210 | $1.21 | 3d | 39 | 0.78mi |
| 12819 Edmonton Ave Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1423 | $1,795 | $1.26 | 17d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 910 Dresden Rd Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1839 | $1,800 | $0.98 | 17d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 651 E 115th St Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,800 | $1.16 | 22d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 915 Nela View Rd Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,600 | $2.00 | 17d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1024 Greyton Rd Cleveland, OH | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,500 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 983 Greyton Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1457 | $1,495 | $1.03 | 17d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 953 Whitby Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,575 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3337 Sylvanhurst Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1334 | $1,800 | $1.35 | 9d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 963 Selwyn Rd Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,650 | $2.04 | 3d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3430 Winsford Rd Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $1,590 | $0.88 | 17d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 967 Selwyn Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1214 | $1,595 | $1.31 | 17d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 14120 Superior Ave Unit 4 East Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1408 | $1,350 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 14120 Superior Ave Unit 1 East Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,350 | $0.96 | 12d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1229 Melbourne Rd Cleveland, OH | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $2,000 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 46 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $85,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $85,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-04-26$85,000 Active 695-char remark
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2025-03-10historical $1,350
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2025-02-07$1,350
-
2024-12-21historical $1,300
-
2024-11-20$1,300
-
2024-10-22status Pending 64-char remark
Show marketing remark (64 chars)
Move in ready. 3rd floor attic can be turned into a 4th bedroom.
-
2024-10-22status Active 64-char remark
Show marketing remark (64 chars)
Move in ready. 3rd floor attic can be turned into a 4th bedroom.
-
2024-10-22soldstatus $47,000
Show marketing remark (64 chars)
Move in ready. 3rd floor attic can be turned into a 4th bedroom.
-
2024-10-21soldstatus $47,000 Closed 64-char remark
Show marketing remark (64 chars)
Move in ready. 3rd floor attic can be turned into a 4th bedroom.
-
2024-09-21historical Contingent 64-char remark
Show marketing remark (64 chars)
Move in ready. 3rd floor attic can be turned into a 4th bedroom.
-
2024-09-10$55,000 Active 64-char remark
Show marketing remark (64 chars)
Move in ready. 3rd floor attic can be turned into a 4th bedroom.
-
2023-03-22historical
-
2023-03-03$65,000 Active
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2023-02-07historical
-
2023-01-28$90,000 Active
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2023-01-06historical
-
2022-12-06price $75,000
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2022-12-01price $85,000
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2022-11-27price $95,000
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2022-11-23$105,000 Active
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2022-03-16soldstatus $32,000 Closed
-
2022-03-05status Pending
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2022-02-01$35,000 Active
-
2007-11-02historical
-
2007-05-02$90,000
-
2007-03-01soldstatus $9,000
-
2007-02-15historical
-
2006-08-11$11,900
-
1995-01-18soldstatus $10,500
-
1995-01-18soldstatus $21,922
-
1976-03-01soldstatus $17,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $969 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,147 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- +$179/yr (+$15/mo · 18.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,781
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$969
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,422
- − Management
- −$1,422
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $6,308
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,514
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,790/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Cleveland City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3904390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $22,726
- Composite
- 7.38/100
- National rank
- #9954
- State rank
- #652 of 656 in OH
Livability — East Cleveland
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #650
- US rank
- #11510
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Cleveland, OH
- County
- Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
- City population
- 17,848
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,848
- Household income
- $28,799
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1702.0
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 89% White 7% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -115.61%
- Current HPI
- 67.2162
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.16%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+385.7% since first listed31 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Listed $85,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-03-10 Rental Removed $1,350 Avail
- 2025-02-07 Listed for Rent $1,350 Avail
- 2024-12-21 Rental Removed $1,300 Avail
- 2024-11-20 Listed for Rent $1,300 Avail
- 2024-10-22 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2024-10-22 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2024-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
- 2024-10-21 Sold (MLS) $47,000 MLSNOW
- 2024-09-21 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2024-09-10 Listed $55,000 MLSNOW
- 2023-03-22 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2023-03-03 Listed $65,000 MLSNOW
- 2023-02-07 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2023-01-28 Listed $90,000 MLSNOW
- 2023-01-06 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2022-12-06 Price Changed $75,000 MLSNOW
- 2022-12-01 Price Changed $85,000 MLSNOW
- 2022-11-27 Price Changed $95,000 MLSNOW
- 2022-11-23 Listed $105,000 MLSNOW
- 2022-03-16 Sold (MLS) $32,000 MLSNOW
- 2022-03-05 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2022-02-01 Listed $35,000 MLSNOW
- 2007-11-02 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2007-05-02 Listed $90,000 MLSNOW
- 2007-03-01 Sold (MLS) $9,000 MLSNOW
- 2007-02-15 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2006-08-11 Listed $11,900 MLSNOW
- 1995-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $21,922 Public Records
- 1995-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $10,500 Public Records
- 1976-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $969 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…