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14415 Alder Ave
B- Composite 67.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

14415 Alder Ave · East Cleveland, OH 44112
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,356 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 56 Days on market
Built 1916 4,878 sqft lot $63/sqft · 141% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move in ready. 3rd floor attic can be turned into a 4th bedroom.

Key facts

  • Oak cabinets
  • Formal dining room
  • Huge eat-in kitchen

Tags

FRONT PORCHSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMFORMAL DINING ROOMHUGE EAT-IN KITCHENOAK CABINETSSLEEK COUNTERTOPS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $609 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#650 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • East Cleveland City School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #652 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 92% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Caledonia Elementary School (246 students, 0% FRL); W.H. Kirk Middle School (math 6% / reading 15%, grade F, #642 of 654 statewide, top 98%, 291 students, 0% FRL); Shaw High School (math 2% / reading 27%, grade F, #706 of 781 statewide, top 92%, 541 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 92% district-wide (92 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,482/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 1702% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $47k; list at $85k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $82,450 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.74%
Cap rate
14.89%
Cash-on-cash
30.69%
DSCR
2.37
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$35,221
List price
$85,000
Delta
141.33%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1367 Shawview Ave 0.24mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,273 (-6%) 8mo $22,000 $17 67
1273 E 135th St 0.40mi 4/1.0 1,256 (-7%) 3mo $65,000 $52 66
14629 Ardenall Ave 0.32mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,384 (+2%) 14mo $59,000 $43 66
14526 Orinoco Ave 0.40mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,462 (+8%) 3mo $27,000 $18 61
1227 E 135th St 0.42mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,312 (-3%) 15mo $65,000 $50 58
1282 E 137th St 0.37mi 4/2.0 1,440 (+6%) 16mo $78,500 $55 55
13500 Claiborne Rd 0.64mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,297 (-4%) 5mo $44,500 $34 54
13600 Graham Rd 0.65mi 5/1.0 (+1) 1,380 (+2%) 10mo $50,100 $36 53
1929 Taylor Rd 0.75mi 4/2.0 1,344 (-1%) 15mo $128,000 $95 47
16007 Elderwood Ave 0.50mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (-12%) 9mo $30,000 $25 45
1524 E 133rd St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,232 (-9%) 6mo $30,000 $24 44
13411 6th Ave 0.73mi 4/1.0 1,468 (+8%) 10mo $113,000 $77 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.16% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.8%
Equity multiple
2.19×
Total profit
$28,288
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
36.5%
Equity multiple
4.73×
Total profit
$88,686
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44112

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,482 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$81 /mo · $969/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$311
Net cashflow
$609

Break-even live

Break-even rent $711
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $657 -5% $633 +0% $609 +5% $585 +10% $561
Rent -10% $492 -5% $550 +0% $609 +5% $667 +10% $726
Rate -1.0pp $651 -0.5pp $630 base $609 +0.5pp $587 +1.0pp $564

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14813 Alder Ave Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1188 $1,150 $0.97 25d 1 0.18mi
14205 Savannah Ave Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1160 $1,350 $1.16 17d 1 0.42mi
13900 Potomac Ave Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1172 $1,355 $1.16 25d 1 0.51mi
14312 Scioto Ave Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1090 $1,300 $1.19 6d 1 0.56mi
14005 Scioto Ave Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,570 $1.49 17d 1 0.56mi
14200 Scioto Ave Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1256 $1,350 $1.07 17d 1 0.57mi
14009 Mayfair Ave Unit 2 East Cleveland, OH 4.0 2.0 1144 $1,390 $1.22 45d 1 0.60mi
16000 Terrace Rd Cleveland, OH 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1000 $1,210 $1.21 3d 39 0.78mi
12819 Edmonton Ave Cleveland, OH 4.0 1.0 1423 $1,795 $1.26 17d 1 0.83mi
910 Dresden Rd Cleveland, OH 4.0 2.0 1839 $1,800 $0.98 17d 1 1.00mi
651 E 115th St Cleveland, OH 4.0 2.0 1550 $1,800 $1.16 22d 1 1.25mi
915 Nela View Rd Cleveland, OH 4.0 1.0 1300 $2,600 $2.00 17d 1 1.27mi
1024 Greyton Rd Cleveland, OH 5.0 2.5 1800 $2,500 $1.39 45d 1 1.34mi
983 Greyton Rd Cleveland, OH 3.0 2.0 1457 $1,495 $1.03 17d 1 1.35mi
953 Whitby Rd Cleveland, OH 3.0 2.0 1188 $1,575 $1.33 25d 1 1.38mi
3337 Sylvanhurst Rd Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1334 $1,800 $1.35 9d 1 1.42mi
963 Selwyn Rd Cleveland, OH 4.0 1.0 1300 $2,650 $2.04 3d 1 1.44mi
3430 Winsford Rd Cleveland, OH 4.0 1.5 1800 $1,590 $0.88 17d 1 1.44mi
967 Selwyn Rd Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.5 1214 $1,595 $1.31 17d 1 1.44mi
14120 Superior Ave Unit 4 East Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1408 $1,350 $0.96 45d 1 1.44mi
14120 Superior Ave Unit 1 East Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,350 $0.96 12d 1 1.44mi
1229 Melbourne Rd Cleveland, OH 5.0 1.5 1600 $2,000 $1.25 45d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 46 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $85,000 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 53 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 52 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 51 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 50 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 44 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 43 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $85,000 Active 39 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $85,000 Active 38 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 37 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 36 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 35 DOM
  16. 2026-04-26
    listed $85,000 Active 695-char remark
  17. 2025-03-10
    historical $1,350
  18. 2025-02-07
    listed $1,350
  19. 2024-12-21
    historical $1,300
  20. 2024-11-20
    listed $1,300
  21. 2024-10-22
    status Pending 64-char remark
    Show marketing remark (64 chars)

    Move in ready. 3rd floor attic can be turned into a 4th bedroom.

  22. 2024-10-22
    status Active 64-char remark
    Show marketing remark (64 chars)

    Move in ready. 3rd floor attic can be turned into a 4th bedroom.

  23. 2024-10-22
    soldstatus $47,000
    Show marketing remark (64 chars)

    Move in ready. 3rd floor attic can be turned into a 4th bedroom.

  24. 2024-10-21
    soldstatus $47,000 Closed 64-char remark
    Show marketing remark (64 chars)

    Move in ready. 3rd floor attic can be turned into a 4th bedroom.

  25. 2024-09-21
    historical Contingent 64-char remark
    Show marketing remark (64 chars)

    Move in ready. 3rd floor attic can be turned into a 4th bedroom.

  26. 2024-09-10
    listed $55,000 Active 64-char remark
    Show marketing remark (64 chars)

    Move in ready. 3rd floor attic can be turned into a 4th bedroom.

  27. 2023-03-22
    historical
  28. 2023-03-03
    listed $65,000 Active
  29. 2023-02-07
    historical
  30. 2023-01-28
    listed $90,000 Active
  31. 2023-01-06
    historical
  32. 2022-12-06
    price $75,000
  33. 2022-12-01
    price $85,000
  34. 2022-11-27
    price $95,000
  35. 2022-11-23
    listed $105,000 Active
  36. 2022-03-16
    soldstatus $32,000 Closed
  37. 2022-03-05
    status Pending
  38. 2022-02-01
    listed $35,000 Active
  39. 2007-11-02
    historical
  40. 2007-05-02
    listed $90,000
  41. 2007-03-01
    soldstatus $9,000
  42. 2007-02-15
    historical
  43. 2006-08-11
    listed $11,900
  44. 1995-01-18
    soldstatus $10,500
  45. 1995-01-18
    soldstatus $21,922
  46. 1976-03-01
    soldstatus $17,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$969 · $81/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,147 · $96/mo
Expected delta
+$179/yr (+$15/mo · 18.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,781
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$969
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,422
− Management
−$1,422
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$6,308
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,514
After-tax cash flow
$5,790/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Cleveland City School District
NCES district ID
3904390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$22,726
Composite
7.38/100
National rank
#9954
State rank
#652 of 656 in OH

Livability — East Cleveland

Score
66/100
State rank
#650
US rank
#11510

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Cleveland, OH
County
Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
City population
17,848
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
Population (ZIP)
17,848
Household income
$28,799
Rent vs Own
54.9% rent · 45.1% own
Severe rent burden
1702.0

Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,244,621 people
By 2030
1,230,093 · -1.2%
By 2040
1,189,108 · -4.5%
By 2050
1,145,706 · -7.9%
By 2075
1,076,557 · -13.5%
By 2100
978,987 · -21.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (89%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 89% White 7% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga

2024 margin
Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -115.61%
Current HPI
67.2162
Rent YoY
▲ 5.16%
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+385.7% since first listed
31 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-26 Listed $85,000 MLSNOW
  • 2025-03-10 Rental Removed $1,350 Avail
  • 2025-02-07 Listed for Rent $1,350 Avail
  • 2024-12-21 Rental Removed $1,300 Avail
  • 2024-11-20 Listed for Rent $1,300 Avail
  • 2024-10-22 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2024-10-22 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2024-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
  • 2024-10-21 Sold (MLS) $47,000 MLSNOW
  • 2024-09-21 Contingent MLSNOW
  • 2024-09-10 Listed $55,000 MLSNOW
  • 2023-03-22 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2023-03-03 Listed $65,000 MLSNOW
  • 2023-02-07 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2023-01-28 Listed $90,000 MLSNOW
  • 2023-01-06 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2022-12-06 Price Changed $75,000 MLSNOW
  • 2022-12-01 Price Changed $85,000 MLSNOW
  • 2022-11-27 Price Changed $95,000 MLSNOW
  • 2022-11-23 Listed $105,000 MLSNOW
  • 2022-03-16 Sold (MLS) $32,000 MLSNOW
  • 2022-03-05 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2022-02-01 Listed $35,000 MLSNOW
  • 2007-11-02 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2007-05-02 Listed $90,000 MLSNOW
  • 2007-03-01 Sold (MLS) $9,000 MLSNOW
  • 2007-02-15 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2006-08-11 Listed $11,900 MLSNOW
  • 1995-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $21,922 Public Records
  • 1995-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $10,500 Public Records
  • 1976-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $969 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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