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227 Palos Verdes Dr
B Composite 70.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$229,000

227 Palos Verdes Dr · Santa Ana, CA 92704
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · Manufactured · 86 Days on market
Built 1973 $208/sqft · 66% above area ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

WOW! MUST-SEE 5 BEDROOM MOBILE HOME in Prime Santa Ana Location Looking for space, comfort, and a fantastic neighborhood? This incredible mobile home is a rare find and truly a must-see property! ?? Location, Location, Location! Situated in a highly sought-after, great neighborhood in Santa Ana, you'll enjoy convenience, community, and easy access to everything you need. ?? Key Features You Will Love: • HUGE 5 Bedrooms - Perfect for a large family, multi-generational living, or having dedicated home offices/gyms! • 2 Full Bathrooms • Master Bedroom Retreat - Features a spacious walk-in closet! • Modern Open Concept Layout - Ideal for entertaining and family gatherings. • Chef's Dream Kitchen - Boasts a big kitchen with ample counter and storage space. • Comfort Year-Round - Equipped with Central AC to keep you cool during the summer. • Sleek Design - Enhanced with modern recessed lighting throughout the main areas. This home offers the space of a traditional house with the benefits of a mobile home community. It's ready for you to move in and start making memories!

Key facts

  • Central ac
  • Chef's dream kitchen
  • Community pool

Tags

PRIME SANTA ANA LOCATIONSPACIOUS WALK-IN CLOSETMODERN OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUTCHEF'S DREAM KITCHENCENTRAL ACMODERN RECESSED LIGHTING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $229k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($26k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $229k).
  • Recommended offer: $215k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.8% vs local median 2.5% in Santa Ana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#871 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Garden Grove Unified (suburban): math 38% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #132 of 517 in CA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: James Monroe Elementary (568 students, 65% FRL); Stephen R. Fitz Intermediate (507 students, 91% FRL); Los Amigos High (math 25% / reading 64%, grade F, #434 of 1,170 statewide, top 39%, 1,604 students, 93% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 60% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 78 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,787/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($100k/yr) (locally 2188% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($215k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $215,260 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.09%
Cap rate
17.82%
Cash-on-cash
41.15%
DSCR
2.83
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$137,859
List price
$229,000
Delta
66.11%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.16% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.7%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$99,005
Equity at exit
$34,145
10-year hold
IRR
43.0%
Equity multiple
4.91×
Total profit
$250,658
Equity at exit
$19,800

Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92704

Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
78
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,787 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,201
Tax est. 1.5%
$286 /mo · $3,435/yr
Insurance
$95
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,005
Net cashflow
$2,199

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,003
Max offer price $229,000
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,357 -5% $2,278 +0% $2,199 +5% $2,120 +10% $2,041
Rent -10% $1,821 -5% $2,010 +0% $2,199 +5% $2,388 +10% $2,577
Rate -1.0pp $2,314 -0.5pp $2,257 base $2,199 +0.5pp $2,140 +1.0pp $2,079

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,250
Closing costs
$6,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
909 S Elliott Pl Santa Ana, CA 4.0 2.0 1351 $4,700 $3.48 45d 1 0.57mi
2510 W Harvard St Santa Ana, CA 4.0 2.5 1300 $3,900 $3.00 13d 1 1.14mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $229,000 Active 86 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $229,000 Active 83 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $229,000 Active 82 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $229,000 Active 81 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $229,000 Active 80 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $229,000 Active 78 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $229,000 Active 77 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $229,000 Active 74 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $229,000 Active 73 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $229,000 Active 72 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $229,000 Active 69 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $229,000 Active 68 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $229,000 Active 67 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $229,000 Active 66 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $229,000 Active 65 DOM
  16. 2026-04-26
    price $229,000 1127-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1127 chars)

    WOW! MUST-SEE 5 BEDROOM MOBILE HOME in Prime Santa Ana Location Looking for space, comfort, and a fantastic neighborhood? This incredible mobile home is a rare find and truly a must-see property! ?? Location, Location, Location! Situated in a highly sought-after, great neighborhood in Santa Ana, you'll enjoy convenience, community, and easy access to everything you need. ?? Key Features You Will Love: • HUGE 5 Bedrooms - Perfect for a large family, multi-generational living, or having dedicated home offices/gyms! • 2 Full Bathrooms • Master Bedroom Retreat - Features a spacious walk-in closet! • Modern Open Concept Layout - Ideal for entertaining and family gatherings. • Chef's Dream Kitchen - Boasts a big kitchen with ample counter and storage space. • Comfort Year-Round - Equipped with Central AC to keep you cool during the summer. • Sleek Design - Enhanced with modern recessed lighting throughout the main areas. This home offers the space of a traditional house with the benefits of a mobile home community. It's ready for you to move in and start making memories!

  17. 2026-03-27
    historical
    Show marketing remark (1127 chars)

    WOW! MUST-SEE 5 BEDROOM MOBILE HOME in Prime Santa Ana Location Looking for space, comfort, and a fantastic neighborhood? This incredible mobile home is a rare find and truly a must-see property! ?? Location, Location, Location! Situated in a highly sought-after, great neighborhood in Santa Ana, you'll enjoy convenience, community, and easy access to everything you need. ?? Key Features You Will Love: • HUGE 5 Bedrooms - Perfect for a large family, multi-generational living, or having dedicated home offices/gyms! • 2 Full Bathrooms • Master Bedroom Retreat - Features a spacious walk-in closet! • Modern Open Concept Layout - Ideal for entertaining and family gatherings. • Chef's Dream Kitchen - Boasts a big kitchen with ample counter and storage space. • Comfort Year-Round - Equipped with Central AC to keep you cool during the summer. • Sleek Design - Enhanced with modern recessed lighting throughout the main areas. This home offers the space of a traditional house with the benefits of a mobile home community. It's ready for you to move in and start making memories!

  18. 2026-03-27
    listed $235,999 Active 1127-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1127 chars)

    WOW! MUST-SEE 5 BEDROOM MOBILE HOME in Prime Santa Ana Location Looking for space, comfort, and a fantastic neighborhood? This incredible mobile home is a rare find and truly a must-see property! ?? Location, Location, Location! Situated in a highly sought-after, great neighborhood in Santa Ana, you'll enjoy convenience, community, and easy access to everything you need. ?? Key Features You Will Love: • HUGE 5 Bedrooms - Perfect for a large family, multi-generational living, or having dedicated home offices/gyms! • 2 Full Bathrooms • Master Bedroom Retreat - Features a spacious walk-in closet! • Modern Open Concept Layout - Ideal for entertaining and family gatherings. • Chef's Dream Kitchen - Boasts a big kitchen with ample counter and storage space. • Comfort Year-Round - Equipped with Central AC to keep you cool during the summer. • Sleek Design - Enhanced with modern recessed lighting throughout the main areas. This home offers the space of a traditional house with the benefits of a mobile home community. It's ready for you to move in and start making memories!

  19. 2026-01-20
    price $235,999
  20. 2025-11-11
    listed $250,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$57,441
− Mortgage interest
−$12,828
− Property taxes
−$3,435
− Insurance
−$1,145
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,595
− Management
−$4,595
− Depreciation
−$6,662
Taxable income
$24,181
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,803
After-tax cash flow
$20,584/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Garden Grove Unified
NCES district ID
0614880
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$60,089
Composite
44.89/100
National rank
#2715
State rank
#132 of 517 in CA

Livability — Santa Ana

Score
55/100
State rank
#871
US rank
#23502

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D- Employment A Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Santa Ana, CA
County
Orange County · 3,096,323 people
City population
288,255
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
82,120
Household income
$99,777
Rent vs Own
50.9% rent · 49.1% own
Severe rent burden
2188.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,477,456 people
By 2030
3,613,117 · +3.9%
By 2040
3,835,945 · +10.3%
By 2050
3,968,736 · +14.1%
By 2075
4,097,053 · +17.8%
By 2100
3,903,633 · +12.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 71% Asian 18% Two or more races 17% White 9% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 65%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
44% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
22% English-only · Spanish 61% Vietnamese 13% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -991.35%
Current HPI
449.8874
Rent YoY
▲ 2.16%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-26 Price Changed $229,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $235,999 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2026-01-20 Price Changed $235,999 CRMLS
  • 2025-11-11 Listed $250,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

+14.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $89 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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