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RC Beaumont Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 36.4
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • DSCR +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$195,943

RC Beaumont Plan · Guthrie, OK 73044
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,259 sqft · SingleFamily · 214 Days on market
Good condition 2-car garage

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This new home design provides low-maintenance, single-level living while maximizing space. Upon entry is a welcoming family room with direct access to an intimate dining room and a well-equipped kitchen with a center island. On the opposite side of the floorplan are two secondary bedrooms and a private owner's suite complete with an attached bathroom. Rounding out the home is a convenient two-car garage.

Key facts

  • Single level living
  • Family room
  • Dining room

Tags

SINGLE LEVEL LIVINGFAMILY ROOMDINING ROOMWELL EQUIPPED KITCHENCENTER ISLANDPRIVATE OWNER'S SUITE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $195,943 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $217,481.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $196k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-197 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $189k (3.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (15.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $165k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.2% in Guthrie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#15 in OK, #4,696 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Guthrie (town): math 24% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #119 of 270 in OK (top 44%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Fogarty Es (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #84 of 845 statewide, top 11%, 438 students, 0% FRL); Guthrie Jhs (math 23% / reading 19%, grade F, #149 of 345 statewide, top 44%, 496 students, 0% FRL); Guthrie Hs (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #125 of 447 statewide, top 31%, 1,025 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 55% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.2%/yr); 1357 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 47d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 102 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Logan County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 214 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $165,251 (15.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 214 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76% ✗
Cap rate
5.20%
Cash-on-cash
-3.89%
DSCR
0.83
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$217,481
List price
$195,943
Delta
-9.90%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1222 Saddle Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-1%) 4mo $200,790 $161 90
1107 Colt Dr 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-1%) 3mo $205,390 $165 86
1219 Filly Dr 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-1%) 2mo $214,000 $171 84
1115 Colt Dr 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,402 (+11%) 2mo $218,930 $156 78
1215 Saddle Dr 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,373 (+9%) 2mo $215,174 $157 77
1209 Saddle Dr 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,373 (+9%) 2mo $215,074 $157 76
1115 Saddle Dr 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,373 (+9%) 0mo $197,750 $144 75
1114 Colt Dr 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,402 (+11%) 4mo $217,605 $155 75
1213 Saddle Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,402 (+11%) 1mo $234,532 $167 74
1205 Saddle Dr 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,402 (+11%) 1mo $228,415 $163 73
1218 Saddle Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,402 (+11%) 4mo $226,926 $162 72
1025 Elmwood Dr 0.36mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,340 (+6%) 2mo $185,000 $138 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.4%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-39,061
Equity at exit
$32,427
10-year hold
IRR
-2.1%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-10,360
Equity at exit
$18,804

Cash invested: $60,895 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
28 active · 37 under contract
Months of supply
4.4 mo (23%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$208,275 ($150/sqft)
Median days on market
87 d
This list price
29% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+15.0% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 73044

Home prices YoY
-25.9%
Rents YoY
12.2%
Active inventory
1357
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,653 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,140
Tax est. 1.5%
−$272 /mo · $3,262/yr
Insurance
−$91
HOA
−$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
−$347
Net cashflow
$-197

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,902
Max offer price $188,905
Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-47 -5% $-122 +0% $-197 +5% $-273 +10% $-348
Rent -10% $-328 -5% $-263 +0% $-197 +5% $-132 +10% $-67
Rate -1.0pp $-88 -0.5pp $-142 base $-197 +0.5pp $-254 +1.0pp $-311

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,370
Closing costs
$6,524
Reserves months
—
Total cash needed
—

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1221 Colt Dr Guthrie, OK 3.0 2.0 1052 $1,549 $1.47 35d 1 0.03mi
1221 Colt Dr Guthrie, OK 3.0 2.0 1051 $1,600 $1.52 112d 1 0.03mi
1201 Stallion Dr Guthrie, OK 4.0 2.0 1459 $2,000 $1.37 133d 1 0.04mi
1103 Stallion Dr Guthrie, OK 3.0 2.0 1021 $1,500 $1.47 47d 1 0.10mi
1211 Clydesdale Dr Guthrie, OK 3.0 2.0 1273 $1,625 $1.28 138d 1 0.14mi
1212 Guthrie Farms Blvd Guthrie, OK 3.0 2.0 1373 $1,595 $1.16 38d 1 0.17mi
406 S Pine St Guthrie, OK 4.0 1.0 1272 $1,400 $1.10 142d 1 0.60mi
722 E Grant Ave Guthrie, OK 3.0 2.0 1709 $1,550 $0.91 11d 1 0.65mi
722 E Grant Ave Guthrie, OK 3.0 2.0 1709 $2,000 $1.17 130d 1 0.65mi
1925 E Springer Ave Guthrie, OK 3.0 2.0 1472 $1,900 $1.29 130d 1 0.80mi
1925 E Springer Ave Guthrie, OK 3.0 2.0 1472 $1,500 $1.02 0d 1 0.80mi
520 E Springer Ave Guthrie, OK 2.0 2.0 1092 $1,300 $1.19 164d 1 0.86mi
506 E Springer Ave Guthrie, OK 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,295 $1.29 9d 1 0.87mi
506 E Springer Ave Guthrie, OK 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,295 $1.29 11d 1 0.87mi
509 E Harrison Ave Unit 2UPSTAIRS Guthrie, OK 2.0 1.0 1000 $945 $0.94 28d 1 0.96mi
214 E Vilas Ave Guthrie, OK 3.0 1.5 1164 $1,400 $1.20 30d 1 1.07mi
410 E Cleveland Ave Guthrie, OK 3.0 2.0 1678 $1,350 $0.80 122d 1 1.14mi
208 E Oklahoma Ave Guthrie, OK 2.0 2.0 1800 $1,450 $0.81 117d 1 1.18mi
117 W Harrison Ave Unit 3 Guthrie, OK 2.0 1.0 1250 $1,285 $1.03 0d 1 1.22mi
117 W Harrison Ave Unit 3 Guthrie, OK 2.0 1.0 1250 $1,285 $1.03 5d 1 1.22mi

Property features AI

Finance

Financial info
List price $213,900

Exterior

Parking
2 total parking spaces2-car garage
Home design
Single-family plan (RC Beaumont)Located at RC Beaumont Plan, Guthrie, OK
Exterior features
Living area approximately 1,259

Interior

Bedrooms
3 bedrooms
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Interior features
Active new-construction plan (RC Beaumont)

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-11-08
    days on market $195,943 Active 214 DOM
  2. 2026-11-07
    days on market $195,943 Active 213 DOM
  3. 2026-11-06
    days on market $195,943 Active 212 DOM
  4. 2026-11-05
    days on market $195,943 Active 211 DOM
  5. 2026-11-04
    days on market $195,943 Active 210 DOM
  6. 2026-11-02
    days on market $195,943 Active 208 DOM
  7. 2026-11-01
    days on market $195,943 Active 207 DOM
  8. 2026-10-31
    days on market $195,943 Active 206 DOM
  9. 2026-10-30
    days on market $195,943 Active 205 DOM
  10. 2026-10-29
    days on market $195,943 Active 204 DOM
  11. 2026-10-28
    days on market $195,943 Active 203 DOM
  12. 2026-10-27
    days on market $195,943 Active 202 DOM
  13. 2026-10-26
    days on market $195,943 Active 201 DOM
  14. 2026-10-26
    days on market $195,943 Active 200 DOM
  15. 2026-10-24
    days on market $195,943 Active 199 DOM
  16. 2026-10-23
    days on market $195,943 Active 198 DOM
  17. 2026-10-22
    days on market $195,943 Active 197 DOM
  18. 2026-10-21
    days on market $195,943 Active 196 DOM
  19. 2026-10-20
    days on market $195,943 Active 195 DOM
  20. 2026-10-19
    days on market $195,943 Active 194 DOM
  21. 2026-10-18
    days on market $195,943 Active 193 DOM
  22. 2026-10-17
    days on market $195,943 Active 192 DOM
  23. 2026-10-16
    days on market $195,943 Active 191 DOM
  24. 2026-10-15
    days on market $195,943 Active 190 DOM
  25. 2026-10-14
    days on market $195,943 Active 189 DOM
  26. 2026-10-13
    days on market $195,943 Active 188 DOM
  27. 2026-10-12
    days on market $195,943 Active 187 DOM
  28. 2026-10-11
    days on market $195,943 Active 186 DOM
  29. 2026-10-10
    days on market $195,943 Active 185 DOM
  30. 2026-10-09
    days on market $195,943 Active 184 DOM
  31. 2026-10-08
    days on market $195,943 Active 183 DOM
  32. 2026-10-07
    days on market $195,943 Active 182 DOM
  33. 2026-10-06
    days on market $195,943 Active 181 DOM
  34. 2026-10-05
    days on market $195,943 Active 180 DOM
  35. 2026-10-04
    days on market $195,943 Active 179 DOM
  36. 2026-10-03
    days on market $195,943 Active 178 DOM
  37. 2026-10-02
    days on market $195,943 Active 177 DOM
  38. 2026-10-01
    days on market $195,943 Active 176 DOM
  39. 2026-09-30
    days on market $195,943 Active 175 DOM
  40. 2026-09-29
    days on market $195,943 Active 174 DOM
  41. 2026-09-28
    days on market $195,943 Active 173 DOM
  42. 2026-09-27
    days on market $195,943 Active 172 DOM
  43. 2026-09-25
    price $195,943 Active 170 DOM
  44. 2026-09-25
    days on market $213,900 Active 170 DOM
  45. 2026-09-24
    days on market $213,900 Active 169 DOM
  46. 2026-09-23
    days on market $213,900 Active 168 DOM
  47. 2026-09-22
    days on market $213,900 Active 167 DOM
  48. 2026-09-21
    days on market $213,900 Active 166 DOM
  49. 2026-09-20
    days on market $213,900 Active 165 DOM
  50. 2026-09-19
    days on market $213,900 Active 164 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,830
− Mortgage interest
−$12,182
− Property taxes
−$3,262
− Insurance
−$1,087
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,586
− Management
−$1,586
− Depreciation
−$6,327
Taxable loss
−$6,201
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,488
After-tax cash flow
$-881/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This move-in-ready home offers a modern and well-maintained living space with a good condition score and minimal updates needed to maximize its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
  • Both Updating the flooring in the bedrooms — Carpet can be replaced with hardwood or tile for a more modern look and easier maintenance. ↑
F Composite school gradezoned avg 30/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Fogarty Es F OK #84/845 Nat'l #17,861/41,679 Middle Guthrie Jhs F OK #149/345 Nat'l #11,464/14,009 High Guthrie Hs F OK #125/447 Nat'l #11,887/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Guthrie
NCES district ID
4013560
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$45,370
Composite
20.79/100
National rank
#8513
State rank
#119 of 270 in OK
B Composite livability gradescore 74/100

Livability — Guthrie

Score
74/100
State rank
#15
US rank
#4696

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Guthrie, OK
County
Logan County · 55,683 people
City population
25,398
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
Population (ZIP)
25,398
Household income
$72,288
Rent vs Own
20.3% rent · 79.7% own
Severe rent burden
10% of renters

Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
55,683 people
By 2030
60,011 · +7.8%
By 2040
68,071 · +22.2%
By 2050
75,815 · +36.2%
By 2075
94,749 · +70.2%
By 2100
108,057 · +94.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 6% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Logan

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.0) · D 24.4% · R 73.5% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-11.6pp toward R · 2008: -37.4pp · 2024: -49.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.0 2020: R+47.1 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+44.8 2008: R+37.4

Not yet ingested

Civics
—

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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