1873 Farmhouse Rd SE · Palm Bay, FL 32909

$425,000

5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,674 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market

Built 2023 8,712 sqft lot $85/mo HOA · 3% of rent

---

Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Cash flow +6.2/30.0
• Schools +4.7/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +3.4/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +1.1/10.0
• DSCR +0.5/10.0

Listing remarks

Waterfront luxury meets everyday comfort in this timeless, 5 bed/3 full bath 2023 retreat within the gated Cypress Bay Preserve, minutes from I-95 and Publix. Designed for effortless living, the entirely carpet-free interior features premium LVP flooring throughout, spanning the stairs, main floors, and a versatile upstairs loft. The heart of the home is an open-concept kitchen boasting granite counters, an extended island with classic shiplap, a custom barn-door pantry, an extra-large farmhouse sink, and expanded cabinetry. Beyond the spacious living areas, find a dedicated first-floor office, a massive primary suite, and exceptional storage space. Outside, the fully fenced yard offers pri

Key facts

• First-floor bedroom
• Open-concept kitchen
• Updated lvp flooring

Tags

• WATERFRONT RETREAT
• GATED CYPRESS BAY PRESERVE
• CARPET-FREE INTERIOR
• UPDATED LVP FLOORING
• FIRST-FLOOR BEDROOM
• OPEN-CONCEPT KITCHEN

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Community association (Cypress bay preserve phase 2); Quarterly association fee; Association amenities include gated access, playground, off-site management, and grounds maintenance; Association fee covers grounds maintenance

Exterior

• Parking: 2-car garage with garage door opener
• Security: Security gate
• Utilities: Public sewer; Water connected; Sewer connected; Electricity available; Cable available
• Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Entry level: 1st floor; Faces southeast
• Construction: Block, concrete and stucco construction
• Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Full backyard fencing; Back yard; Other fencing; Pond on property; Private paved road frontage; Waterfront

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric cooktop; Electric range; Ice maker; Microwave; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms (mix of first and second floor bedrooms)
• Flooring: Tile
• Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: His and hers closets; Kitchen island; Open floor plan; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s)
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $425k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-773 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $288k (32.1% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $261k (38.6% below list).
• Recommended offer: $261k (38.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#366 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, health & safety D-.
• Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Sunrise Elementary School (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #892 of 2,144 statewide, top 44%, 759 students, 58% FRL); Southwest Middle School (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 920 students, 58% FRL); Bayside High School (math 27% / reading 40%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 1,854 students, 51% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 42% at this address vs 55% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Brevard average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 1123 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $45k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $42k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$73k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($412k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $261,098 (38.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.61% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.11%
• Cash-on-cash: -7.79%
• DSCR: 0.65
• GRM: 13.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 18.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.55×
• Total profit: $183,985
• Equity at exit: $382,874

10-year hold

• IRR: 17.6%
• Equity multiple: 5.91×
• Total profit: $584,169
• Equity at exit: $825,682

Cash invested: $119,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32909

• Home prices YoY: 6.0%
• Rents YoY: 3.7%
• Active inventory: 1123
• Price-to-rent: 13.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,611 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,229
• Tax from tax record: −$345 /mo · $4,138/yr
• Insurance: −$177
• HOA: −$85
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$548
• Net cashflow: $-773

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,589

Max offer price $288,453

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-532	-5% $-653	+0% $-773	+5% $-893	+10% $-1,014
Rent	-10% $-979	-5% $-876	+0% $-773	+5% $-670	+10% $-567
Rate	-1.0pp $-559	-0.5pp $-665	base $-773	+0.5pp $-883	+1.0pp $-995

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $106,250
• Closing costs: $12,750
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 11 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1843 Middlebury Dr SE Palm Bay, FL	4.0	2.0	1822	$2,200	$1.21	25d	1	0.22mi
2073 Farmhouse Rd SE Palm Bay, FL	4.0	2.0	1830	$2,133	$1.17	25d	1	0.23mi
3517 Rixford Way SE Palm Bay, FL	4.0	3.0	2562	$2,800	$1.09	25d	1	0.29mi
1783 Dittmer Cir SE Palm Bay, FL	4.0	2.0	2207	$2,100	$0.95	25d	1	0.53mi
1496 Dittmer Cir SE Palm Bay, FL	4.0	2.0	2187	$2,440	$1.12	16d	1	0.66mi
1394 Garabaldi Cir SE Palm Bay, FL	4.0	2.0	1876	$2,500	$1.33	21d	1	0.74mi
1566 Criswell Ln SE Palm Bay, FL	4.0	2.0	2046	$2,400	$1.17	25d	1	0.76mi
3636 Aberdeen Dr SE Palm Bay, FL	4.0	2.0	1830	$2,295	$1.25	21d	1	0.86mi
925 Dugan Cir SE Palm Bay, FL	4.0	2.0	1830	$2,295	$1.25	15d	1	0.92mi
1046 Grantham Ln SE Palm Bay, FL	4.0	2.5	2405	$3,100	$1.29	25d	1	0.98mi
3004 Suntan Ct SE Palm Bay, FL	4.0	2.0	2388	$2,900	$1.21	25d	1	1.10mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $85 · $1,020/yr
• Likely covers: watersecurity

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-06-22
   days on market $425,000 Active 39 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $425,000 Active 36 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $425,000 Active 35 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $425,000 Active 34 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $425,000 Active 33 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $425,000 Active 31 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $425,000 Active 28 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $425,000 Active 26 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   remarks 699-char remark
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $425,000 Active 25 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $425,000 Active 22 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $425,000 Active 21 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $425,000 Active 20 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $425,000 Active 19 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $425,000 Active 18 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $425,000 Active 17 DOM
17. 2026-05-12
    listed $450,000 Active
18. 2022-07-08
    soldstatus $2,226,892

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $4,138 · $345/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,138 · $345/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $31,332
• − Mortgage interest: −$23,807
• − Property taxes: −$4,138
• − Insurance: −$2,125
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,507
• − Management: −$2,507
• − HOA: −$1,020
• − Depreciation: −$12,364
• Taxable loss: −$17,134
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$4,112
• After-tax cash flow: $-5,163/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Brevard
• NCES district ID: 1200150
• Math proficiency: 53% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 57% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $49,426
• Composite: 46.86/100
• National rank: #2370
• State rank: #19 of 73 in FL

Livability — Palm Bay

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #366
• US rank: #6458

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Palm Bay, FL
• County: Brevard County · 602,871 people
• City population: 132,211
• Metro: Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
• Population (ZIP): 41,804
• Household income: $79,977
• Rent vs Own: 17.3% rent · 82.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 697.0

Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 623,254 people
• By 2030: 648,420 · +4.0%
• By 2040: 690,009 · +10.7%
• By 2050: 715,669 · +14.8%
• By 2075: 775,744 · +24.5%
• By 2100: 776,687 · +24.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
• Race & ethnicity: White 46% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 16% Asian 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 5%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 17% · Canada, China, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 84% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Brevard

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 18.81%
• Current HPI: 330.8595
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.67%
• Metro: Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-79.8% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-12 Listed $450,000 SCMLS
• 2022-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $2,226,892 Public Records

Property tax history

+64.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,138 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.