506 195th Ave E unit 2 E #2 · Lake Tapps, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +7.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.0/15.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
ALL AGES PARK with 2 BEDS 1 BATH PLUS A BONUS ROOM GREAT LOCATION WATER AND SEWER ARE INCLUED IN THE RENT SPACE $945.Nice and big porch big back yard 2 STORAGES ready to move in. 3 parking space the house offers a great open floorplan with spacious living room large kitchen close to stores gas stations groceries store and much more
Key facts
- Big porch
- Big back yard
- Open floorplan
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Bus line nearby
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
- HOA & community: Located in Beau View Mobile Park; Park approved for sale; Pets allowed — see remarks; Land lease: $945
Exterior
- Parking: Uncovered parking; 3 open parking spaces; RV parking available in park
- Utilities: Electric power; Share well water; Concast cable; Concast internet
- Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; Single level; Faces east; Model 16/14
- Construction: Metal/Vinyl construction materials; Torch down roof; Tie-down foundation; Manufactured house structure; Built as a single-wide model
- Exterior features: Metal/Vinyl exterior; Cul-de-sac lot; Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Forced air cooling
- Interior features: Dining room; Kitchen with eating space; Living room; Utility room; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Laundry & utility: Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Cap rate 21.9% vs local median 2.7% in Lake Tapps — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#289 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Dieringer School District (suburban): math 74% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #6 of 291 in WA (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 736 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 55.62%
- DSCR
- 3.47
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $94,000
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 407 195 Ave E #13 | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (-2%) | 12mo | $92,200 | $100 | 82 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 54.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.41×
- Total profit
- $64,208
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 59.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.07×
- Total profit
- $161,493
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98391
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 736
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,296 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $517/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$482
- Net cashflow
- $1,233
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18601 4th St E Unit 15 Lake Tapps, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 6821 Udall Pl SE Auburn, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 923 | $2,260 | $2.45 | 1d | 27 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-19remarks 333-char remark
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17pricedays on market $95,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 328-char remark
-
2026-06-13$85,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $517 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $931 · $78/mo
- Expected delta
- +$414/yr (+$34/mo · 80.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,551
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$517
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,204
- − Management
- −$2,204
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $14,065
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,376
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,419/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dieringer School District
- NCES district ID
- 5302130
- Math proficiency
- 74% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 81% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $94,738
- Composite
- 70.73/100
- National rank
- #511
- State rank
- #6 of 291 in WA
Livability — Lake Tapps
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #289
- US rank
- #10068
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake Tapps, WA
- County
- Pierce County · 788,257 people
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 59,240
- Household income
- $135,037
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 528.0
Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 956,648 people
- By 2030
- 1,010,862 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,113,170 · +16.4%
- By 2050
- 1,206,524 · +26.1%
- By 2075
- 1,436,425 · +50.2%
- By 2100
- 1,563,654 · +63.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Italian 4% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pierce
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.8) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: 10.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+7.5 2012: D+11.0 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -565.91%
- Current HPI
- 294.2062
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.47%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $85,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2026): $517 · +10.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…