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619 Lincoln St
C- Composite 54.1
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.9/30.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.7/15.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

619 Lincoln St · Reidsville, NC 27320
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 136 Days on market
Built 1946 5,227 sqft lot Est $89k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

House has vinyl siding & replacement windows. House needs work!!!! Needs interior work, exterior work, & paiting inside.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Built 1946
  • Listed 136 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; No water heater listed
  • Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; One story; Built in 1946; Existing structure
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation; One level
  • Exterior features: City lot; No fencing; No pool; Private water source; Public maintained road

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 1 room on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling; No fuel for heating
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom on the main level; Crawl space foundation

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $203 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($978 rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.8% in Reidsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#553 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Rockingham County Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #120 of 178 in NC (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 251 active listings in the ZIP; 344 units permitted in Rockingham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rockingham County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $24k; list at $95k implies a 288% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
8.85%
Cash-on-cash
9.14%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$89,376
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
320 Mulberry St 0.71mi 2/1.0 656 (-2%) 3mo $75,000 $114 60
609 King St 0.34mi 2/1.0 720 (+7%) 15mo $105,000 $146 60
613 NW Market St 0.39mi 2/1.0 725 (+8%) 23mo $96,500 $133 49
318 Mulberry St 0.70mi 2/1.0 608 (-10%) 3mo $75,000 $123 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-2,522
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
7.1%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$14,271
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27320

Home prices YoY
-30.8%
Active inventory
251
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$978 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$32 /mo · $383/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$205
Net cashflow
$203

Break-even live

Break-even rent $721
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $256 -5% $230 +0% $203 +5% $176 +10% $149
Rent -10% $125 -5% $164 +0% $203 +5% $241 +10% $280
Rate -1.0pp $251 -0.5pp $227 base $203 +0.5pp $178 +1.0pp $153

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 136 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 135 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 134 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 133 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $95,000 Active 131 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 130 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $95,000 Active 128 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 127 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 126 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 125 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 121 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 120 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 119 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 118 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 117 DOM
  16. 2026-04-23
    price $95,000
  17. 2026-02-23
    price $105,000
  18. 2026-02-02
    listed $115,000 Active
  19. 2023-09-07
    soldstatus $24,500 Closed 128-char remark
    Show marketing remark (128 chars)

    House has vinyl siding & replacement windows. House needs work!!!! Needs interior work, exterior work, & paiting inside.

  20. 2023-08-26
    status Pending 128-char remark
    Show marketing remark (128 chars)

    House has vinyl siding & replacement windows. House needs work!!!! Needs interior work, exterior work, & paiting inside.

  21. 2023-08-16
    historical Due Diligence Period 128-char remark
    Show marketing remark (128 chars)

    House has vinyl siding & replacement windows. House needs work!!!! Needs interior work, exterior work, & paiting inside.

  22. 2023-08-16
    status Active 128-char remark
    Show marketing remark (128 chars)

    House has vinyl siding & replacement windows. House needs work!!!! Needs interior work, exterior work, & paiting inside.

  23. 2023-08-16
    historical Due Diligence Period 128-char remark
    Show marketing remark (128 chars)

    House has vinyl siding & replacement windows. House needs work!!!! Needs interior work, exterior work, & paiting inside.

  24. 2023-08-07
    price $29,900 128-char remark
    Show marketing remark (128 chars)

    House has vinyl siding & replacement windows. House needs work!!!! Needs interior work, exterior work, & paiting inside.

  25. 2023-06-23
    listed $34,900 Active 128-char remark
    Show marketing remark (128 chars)

    House has vinyl siding & replacement windows. House needs work!!!! Needs interior work, exterior work, & paiting inside.

  26. 2005-04-22
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$383 · $32/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$779 · $65/mo
Expected delta
+$396/yr (+$33/mo · 103.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,732
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$383
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$939
− Management
−$939
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$912
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$219
After-tax cash flow
$2,214/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockingham County Schools
NCES district ID
3703990
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$38,914
Composite
32.6/100
National rank
#5673
State rank
#120 of 178 in NC

Livability — Reidsville

Score
59/100
State rank
#553
US rank
#20359

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Reidsville, NC
City population
38,610
Population (ZIP)
38,610

Population outlook (Rockingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
87,103 people
By 2030
83,763 · -3.8%
By 2040
76,082 · -12.7%
By 2050
68,106 · -21.8%
By 2075
52,531 · -39.7%
By 2100
39,871 · -54.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 23% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Rockingham

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.7% · R 67.6%
2008→2024 swing
-19.9pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -35.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.9 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+30.0 2012: R+21.3 2008: R+16.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.42%
Current HPI
205.028
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+137.5% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $95,000 Triad MLS
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $105,000 Triad MLS
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $115,000 Triad MLS
  • 2023-09-07 Sold (MLS) $24,500 Triad MLS
  • 2023-08-26 Pending Triad MLS
  • 2023-08-16 Contingent Triad MLS
  • 2023-08-16 Relisted Triad MLS
  • 2023-08-16 Contingent Triad MLS
  • 2023-08-07 Price Changed $29,900 Triad MLS
  • 2023-06-23 Listed $34,900 Triad MLS
  • 2005-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $383 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…