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1072 Beaver Run Ave
C+ Composite 62.1
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.3/30.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$113,000

1072 Beaver Run Ave · Beaverdale, PA 15955
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,238 sqft · SingleFamily · 5 Days on market
Built 1909 8,712 sqft lot $91/sqft · 155% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 2-story vinyl-sided home in Forest Hills School District. This energy efficient home featuresa newer roof, new windows and siding, and upgraded electrical and plumbing systems. The main floor has a stylish mix of luxury vinyl and classic hardwood flooring. The updated kitchen would not be complete without the stylish hickory cabinets, ample counter space, and new black stainless steel appliances. In addition to the kitchen, the main floor is designed for convenience, featuring a cozy living room, a separate dining room, an updated full bathroom with walk-in shower, and a first-floor laundry area. Conveniently, all three bedrooms are locate

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • Composite rear deck
  • Hickory cabinets

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENHICKORY CABINETSLUXURY VINYL FLOORINGHARDWOOD FLOORINGCOMPOSITE REAR DECKOFF-STREET PARKING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; Paved parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Full unfinished basement
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Irregular lot; Public maintained road frontage on a city street

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Oil heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Pantry; High-speed internet; Double pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $113k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $171 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $113k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,446 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Forest Hills SD (rural): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #293 of 539 in PA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($781 loan paydown + $943 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
  • Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $113,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.70%
Cash-on-cash
8.60%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$44,350
List price
$113,000
Delta
154.79%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
629 Stewart St 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,280 (+3%) 4mo $15,000 $12 67
213 Stewart St 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,296 (+5%) 16mo $66,500 $51 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.6%
Equity multiple
1.38×
Total profit
$12,110
Equity at exit
$37,604
10-year hold
IRR
11.8%
Equity multiple
2.41×
Total profit
$44,698
Equity at exit
$49,230

Cash invested: $31,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15955

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,171 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$593
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $699/yr
Insurance
$47
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$171

Break-even live

Break-even rent $954
Max offer price $113,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,250
Closing costs
$3,390
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 982-char remark
  2. 2026-04-28
    listed $113,000 Active 982-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$699 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,242 · $104/mo
Expected delta
+$543/yr (+$45/mo · 77.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,047
− Mortgage interest
−$6,330
− Property taxes
−$699
− Insurance
−$1,232
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,124
− Management
−$1,124
− Depreciation
−$3,287
Taxable income
$252
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$60
After-tax cash flow
$1,995/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Forest Hills SD
NCES district ID
4209940
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -20.00%
Median HH income
$48,950
Composite
37.27/100
National rank
#4452
State rank
#293 of 539 in PA

Livability — Beaverdale

Score
60/100
State rank
#1446
US rank
#18543

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beaverdale, PA
City population
2,508
Population (ZIP)
2,241

Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,754 people
By 2030
115,827 · -5.6%
By 2040
101,309 · -17.5%
By 2050
88,379 · -28.0%
By 2075
65,237 · -46.9%
By 2100
46,909 · -61.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Danish 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
0% · China

Political lean MEDSL · Cambria

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.83%
Current HPI
105.6731
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending CSMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $113,000 CSMLS

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $699 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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