Triplex
2335-2337 Balboa St · San Francisco, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 77°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.7/30.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,500,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Exceptional Triplex Investment in Prime Central Richmond, steps from Golden Gate Park. Well-maintained three-unit building in one of San Francisco's most desirable neighborhoods, offering stability, versatility & upside for investors and owner-occupants. Two spacious 2BD/1BA flats plus a newly permitted studio blend timeless charm with modern upgrades. Each flat features original hardwood floors, crown moldings, high ceilings & abundant natural light. Updated granite kitchens flow into dining & living rooms anchored by fireplaces. Quiet rear bedrooms overlook a shared garden patio.
Key facts
- Two spacious flats
- Triplex investment
- Crown moldings
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2×2bd/1ba + 1×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $1.50M. Condition is rated fair.
- This rent per unit runs 38% of the median local income ($133k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-430 ($-5k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-143/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.44M (4.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.26M (16.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.26M (16.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Lilienthal (Claire) Elementary (669 students, 19% FRL); Giannini (A.P.) Middle (1,192 students, 34% FRL); Lowell High (2,632 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 30% FRL vs 49% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.0%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $45k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.23%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,835,150
- List price
- $1,500,000
- Delta
- -18.26%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2621 Clement St | 0.43mi | 12/4.0 | 2,960 (+13%) | 58mo | $2,288,000 | $773 | 31 |
| 254 8th Ave | 1.10mi | 10/2.0 (-2) | 2,688 (+2%) | 14mo | $1,410,000 | $525 | 29 |
| 1318-1320 5th Ave | 1.49mi | 13/1.0 (+1) | 2,827 (+8%) | 33mo | $1,601,000 | $566 | 12 |
| 333 Parnassus Ave | 1.78mi | 10/10.0 (-2) | 2,273 (-13%) | 15mo | $2,100,000 | $924 | 10 |
| 139-143 Blake St | 1.83mi | 14/4.0 (+2) | 2,890 (+10%) | 45mo | $908,000 | $314 | 10 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-203,816
- Equity at exit
- $223,655
- IRR
- 2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $90,516
- Equity at exit
- $129,693
Cash invested: $420,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City San Francisco
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
ZIP-level market 94121
- Rents YoY
- 13.0%
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 29.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $12,577 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$7,866
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1,875 /mo · $22,500/yr
- Insurance
- −$625
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,641
- Net cashflow
- $-430
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $8,494 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $4,247 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $4,247 |
| 1× unit | 1 | 1 | $4,084 |
| Total (3 units) | $12,577 | ||
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $606 | -5% $88 | +0% $-430 | +5% $-949 | +10% $-1,467 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,424 | -5% $-927 | +0% $-430 | +5% $66 | +10% $563 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $325 | -0.5pp $-49 | base $-430 | +0.5pp $-819 | +1.0pp $-1,214 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $375,000
- Closing costs
- $45,000
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2525 Balboa St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $4,495 | — | 88d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 2226 Cabrillo St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $4,375 | $3.98 | 139d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 3421 Anza St Unit 5 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $3,295 | — | 146d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 3421 Anza St Unit 5 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $3,195 | — | 135d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 833 24th Ave #831 San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $6,295 | $4.20 | 184d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 640 28th Ave Unit 4 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $3,795 | — | 55d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 566 21st Ave Apt 2 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $3,250 | $4.64 | 88d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2710 Cabrillo St Apt 102 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $3,495 | — | 31d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 558 21st Ave Unit 1 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $3,495 | — | 155d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2744 Balboa St Unit 2742 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $3,495 | — | 55d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 522 25th Ave Apt 3 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $4,850 | $6.06 | 63d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1924 Cabrillo St Unit 1 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $3,300 | — | 148d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1924 Cabrillo St Unit 3 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $3,500 | — | 148d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1924 Cabrillo St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $3,600 | — | 105d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1924 Cabrillo St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $3,500 | — | 155d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1924 Cabrillo St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $3,800 | — | 104d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1924 Cabrillo St Apt 2 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $3,600 | — | 104d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 847 28th Ave San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | — | $8,995 | — | 151d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 510 26th Ave Unit 303 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $2,895 | — | 131d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 470 21st Ave Unit 1 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $5,200 | $6.12 | 85d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 552 20th Ave San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $5,000 | $4.00 | 10d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 550-552 20th Ave San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $5,000 | $4.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 462 21st Ave Unit 462 San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1539 | $6,250 | $4.06 | 63d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 5836 Geary Blvd Unit 5838 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $4,950 | — | 184d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 565 29th Ave San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $6,350 | $6.35 | 184d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 463 25th Ave Unit C San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $6,500 | $4.69 | 10d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 434 24th Ave Unit 4 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 779 | $3,550 | $4.56 | 184d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 432 26th Ave San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1521 | $6,250 | $4.11 | 31d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 432 26th Ave San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1521 | $6,250 | $4.11 | 10d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 534 30th Ave San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2442 | $7,750 | $3.17 | 138d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 4302 Fulton St Unit 1 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 885 | $4,595 | $5.19 | 7d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 6438 Geary Blvd Unit 305 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $2,700 | — | 162d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 359 21st Ave Unit 3 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 821 | $4,750 | $5.79 | 55d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 359 21st Ave Unit 4 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 731 | $4,495 | $6.15 | 10d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 494 29th Ave Unit 05 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $4,195 | — | 1d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 494 29th Ave Apt 10 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $4,795 | — | 29d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 5400 Fulton St Unit 201 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 889 | $3,750 | $4.22 | 165d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 725 18th Ave San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1104 | $4,300 | $3.89 | 77d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 450 28th Ave San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2507 | $7,500 | $2.99 | 10d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 305 23rd Ave Apt 4 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $4,050 | $6.75 | 184d | 1 | 0.41mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-11-08statusdays on market $1,500,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-11-07remarks 683-char remark
-
2026-11-07pricestatusdays on market $1,500,000 Coming Soon
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,750,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2025-11-01$1,750,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥77°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $150,924
- − Mortgage interest
- −$84,023
- − Property taxes
- −$22,500
- − Insurance
- −$7,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$12,074
- − Management
- −$12,074
- − Depreciation
- −$43,636
- Taxable loss
- −$30,884
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$7,412
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,248/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos
This triplex requires moderate repairs and maintenance, including painting the exterior siding and interior walls, and landscaping. The property has potential for increased value with these improvements.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered appearance
- Moderate Interior walls/paint — Paint appears worn
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value ↑
- Both Painting interior walls — Enhances interior appearance and property value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Francisco Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634410
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,249
- Composite
- 50.14/100
- National rank
- #4088
- State rank
- #322 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Francisco
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3143
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Francisco, CA
- County
- San Francisco County · 1,030,936 people
- City population
- 827,552
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,995
- Household income
- $133,358
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,030,936 people
- By 2030
- 1,110,409 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,270,010 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 1,435,001 · +39.2%
- By 2075
- 1,779,074 · +72.6%
- By 2100
- 1,966,767 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 42% White 41% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Chinese 22% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1078.57%
- Current HPI
- 266.5786
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 13.03%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…