511 E 17th St · Alma, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 98.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Appreciation +5.2/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$92,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this 3 bedroom home located in Alma, Ga!
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- Built 1957
- Listed 31 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: No on-site parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
- Home design: Single-family house; One level; Resale property
- Construction: Built in 1957; Vinyl siding; Composition roof; No basement
- Exterior features: City lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom (1.5 total)
- Heating & cooling: Heating present (other type); Cooling present (other type)
- Interior features: Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Laundry features: other
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $92k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($983 rent vs $92k).
- Recommended offer: $90k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#530 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Bacon County (rural): math 48% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #43 of 174 in GA (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bacon County Primary School (571 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools average 90% FRL vs 58% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($640 loan paydown + $411 appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
- Bacon County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $65k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.40%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.44% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $13,506
- Equity at exit
- $28,934
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.71×
- Total profit
- $44,398
- Equity at exit
- $36,482
Cash invested: $25,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31510
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 37
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $983 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$485
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $337/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$206
- Net cashflow
- $225
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,125
- Closing costs
- $2,775
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $92,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $92,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $92,500 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $92,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $92,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $92,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $92,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $92,500 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricestatusdays on market $92,500 Price Change 21 DOM
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $94,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $94,500 Price Change 17 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $94,500 Price Change 16 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricestatus $94,500 Price Change 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-31statusdays on market $99,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 New 13 DOM
-
2026-05-12$99,000 New
-
2026-04-29historical
-
2025-03-28soldstatus $65,000 Closed 50-char remark
Show marketing remark (50 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom home located in Alma, Ga!
-
2025-02-08status Pending 50-char remark
Show marketing remark (50 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom home located in Alma, Ga!
-
2024-12-02$70,000 Active 50-char remark
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Check out this 3 bedroom home located in Alma, Ga!
-
2020-02-18$60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $337 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $851 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- +$514/yr (+$43/mo · 152.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,791
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,181
- − Property taxes
- −$337
- − Insurance
- −$462
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$943
- − Management
- −$943
- − Depreciation
- −$2,691
- Taxable income
- $1,233
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$296
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,399/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bacon County
- NCES district ID
- 1300150
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,087
- Composite
- 34.79/100
- National rank
- #5112
- State rank
- #43 of 174 in GA
Livability — Alma
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #530
- US rank
- #23747
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alma, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,592
Population outlook (Bacon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,676 people
- By 2030
- 11,831 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 12,066 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 12,250 · +4.9%
- By 2075
- 12,308 · +5.4%
- By 2100
- 11,278 · -3.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bacon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+73.2) · D 13.3% · R 86.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: -57.7pp · 2024: -73.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+73.2 2020: R+72.7 2016: R+68.5 2012: R+58.6 2008: R+57.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.44%
- Current HPI
- 236.7103
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+65.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $99,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-03-28 Sold (MLS) $65,000 HABR
- 2025-02-08 Pending — HABR
- 2024-12-02 Listed $70,000 HABR
- 2020-02-18 Listed $60,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $337 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…