3708 W Old Shakopee Rd · Bloomington, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$339,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Both bathrooms completely updated. Basement w/bedroom finished in the last 3 years. Beautifully maintained home. Wonderful location close to restaurants, grocery stores & shopping. Over-sized 2 car garage.
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1955
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt driveway; 2-car garage
- Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; One story; Living area and main level layout with lower level family/bedroom space; Entry faces city street (corner lot)
- Construction: Block foundation; Asphalt roof; Built with stucco and wood
- Exterior features: Stucco and wood exterior; Patio; Chain link fencing; Corner lot with medium tree coverage; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 92x130
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Kitchen window
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (3 bedrooms on one level; main-floor bedroom); Bedroom sizes — Main: 15x10, 10x11, 12x09; Lower: 14x10
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Full basement bathroom; main floor full bath
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Hardwood floors; Patio; Kitchen window
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room (Lower)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $340k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-39 ($-466/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $333k (2.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $278k (18.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $278k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.5% in Bloomington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#168 in MN, #3,640 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, health & safety F.
- Bloomington Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #192 of 301 in MN (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 71 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($101k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($335k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $245k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.49%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.66% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-52,870
- Equity at exit
- $50,680
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-29,345
- Equity at exit
- $29,388
Cash invested: $95,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55431
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,775 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,782
- Tax from tax record
- −$307 /mo · $3,685/yr
- Insurance
- −$142
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$583
- Net cashflow
- $-39
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $84,975
- Closing costs
- $10,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4517 W 113th St Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2300 | $2,695 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-04-30status Pending
-
2026-04-20historical Contingent - Inspection
-
2026-04-14price $339,900
-
2026-04-02$350,000 Active
-
2026-03-30historical $350,000
-
2021-02-18price $310,000
-
2021-01-26price $315,000
-
2021-01-16price $319,900
-
2021-01-15status Active
-
2021-01-12historical Contingent - Inspection
-
2020-12-18$324,900 Active
-
2018-07-20soldstatus $245,000
-
2018-06-12soldstatus $245,000 Sold 209-char remark
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
Both bathrooms completely updated. Basement w/bedroom finished in the last 3 years. Beautifully maintained home. Wonderful location close to restaurants, grocery stores & shopping. Over-sized 2 car garage.
-
2018-05-07status Pending 209-char remark
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
Both bathrooms completely updated. Basement w/bedroom finished in the last 3 years. Beautifully maintained home. Wonderful location close to restaurants, grocery stores & shopping. Over-sized 2 car garage.
-
2018-04-30historical 209-char remark
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
Both bathrooms completely updated. Basement w/bedroom finished in the last 3 years. Beautifully maintained home. Wonderful location close to restaurants, grocery stores & shopping. Over-sized 2 car garage.
-
2018-04-27$239,900 Active 209-char remark
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
Both bathrooms completely updated. Basement w/bedroom finished in the last 3 years. Beautifully maintained home. Wonderful location close to restaurants, grocery stores & shopping. Over-sized 2 car garage.
-
2009-11-12soldstatus $155,000
-
2009-11-05soldstatus $155,000
-
2009-09-28historical
-
2009-09-16$150,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,685 · $307/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,746 · $312/mo
- Expected delta
- +$61/yr (+$5/mo · 1.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,302
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,040
- − Property taxes
- −$3,685
- − Insurance
- −$1,700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,664
- − Management
- −$2,664
- − Depreciation
- −$9,888
- Taxable loss
- −$6,339
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,521
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,055/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bloomington Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2705790
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,279
- Composite
- 37.37/100
- National rank
- #4431
- State rank
- #192 of 301 in MN
Livability — Bloomington
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #168
- US rank
- #3640
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bloomington, MN
- County
- Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
- City population
- 88,605
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,664
- Household income
- $101,484
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 510.0
Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,405,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,492,650 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 1,660,157 · +18.1%
- By 2050
- 1,823,498 · +29.8%
- By 2075
- 2,221,283 · +58.1%
- By 2100
- 2,509,976 · +78.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Asian 7% Two or more races 6% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 12% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 4% Vietnamese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -272.86%
- Current HPI
- 234.9872
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.66%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+126.6% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $339,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Listed $350,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-30 Coming Soon $350,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-02-18 Price Changed $310,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-26 Price Changed $315,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-16 Price Changed $319,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-15 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-12 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-12-18 Listed $324,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $245,000 Public Records
- 2018-06-12 Sold (MLS) $245,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-07 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-04-30 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-04-27 Listed $239,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
- 2009-11-05 Sold (MLS) $155,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-09-28 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-09-16 Listed $150,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,685 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…