Fourplex
3711 46th Ave · Lemon Hill, CA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 25 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.8/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +4.1/15.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$699,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Fantastic Investment Opportunity! Own this income-generating 4-plex with three units already rented and one vacant, ready for an owner-occupant or new tenant! Current tenants are on a month to month rental agreement. Each unit has been updated with stylish laminate flooring and fresh interior paint (prior to current tenants), offering a modern and inviting feel. Conveniently located with easy access to the freeway, shopping, and public transportation, this property is perfect for investors looking for steady rental income in a prime Sacramento location. Don't miss out on this chance to build your portfolio.
Key facts
- 7,336 sq ft lot
- 3 parking spots
- Built 1961
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 6-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $699k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($31k/yr) — positive. Per door: $639/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $699k).
- Recommended offer: $615k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.8% in Lemon Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 45/100 on livability (#1,302 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
- Sacramento City Unified (urban): math 32% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #804 of 1,400 in CA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $8,907/mo this rent would consume 189% of the median local household income ($56k/yr) (locally 1671% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $196k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 245 days — a 12% lower offer ($615k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $475k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 245 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.67%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $649,561
- List price
- $699,000
- Delta
- 7.61%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3715 46th Ave | 0.01mi | 6/4.0 | 2,570 (+0%) | 8mo | $744,600 | $290 | 93 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $81,303
- Equity at exit
- $104,223
- IRR
- 21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.15×
- Total profit
- $420,521
- Equity at exit
- $60,437
Cash invested: $195,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95824
- Rents YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 26.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $8,907 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,666
- Tax from tax record
- −$524 /mo · $6,290/yr
- Insurance
- −$291
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,870
- Net cashflow
- $2,555
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 6 | 4 | $8,908 |
| #1 | 6 | 4 | $2,227 |
| #2 | 6 | 4 | $2,227 |
| #3 | 6 | 4 | $2,227 |
| #4 | 6 | 4 | $2,227 |
| Total (4 units) | $8,907 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $174,750
- Closing costs
- $20,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $699,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $699,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $699,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $699,000 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $699,000 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $699,000 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $699,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $699,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $699,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $699,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $699,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $699,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $699,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $699,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2019-04-16soldstatus $475,000
-
2016-06-03soldstatus $235,000
-
2014-12-08soldstatus $190,000
-
2013-08-21soldstatus $159,000
-
2005-05-11soldstatus $469,000
-
2004-01-02soldstatus $356,000
-
2000-05-03soldstatus $82,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,290 · $524/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,290 · $524/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 25 unhealthy d/yr today · 26 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $106,884
- − Mortgage interest
- −$39,155
- − Property taxes
- −$6,290
- − Insurance
- −$3,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,551
- − Management
- −$8,551
- − Depreciation
- −$20,335
- Taxable income
- $20,508
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,922
- After-tax cash flow
- $25,744/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sacramento City Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0633840
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,280
- Composite
- 34.86/100
- National rank
- #10000
- State rank
- #804 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Lemon Hill
- Score
- 45/100
- State rank
- #1302
- US rank
- #26608
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lemon Hill, CA
- County
- Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,083
- Household income
- $56,477
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1671.0
Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,660,763 people
- By 2030
- 1,732,990 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 1,855,755 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 1,941,335 · +16.9%
- By 2075
- 2,046,162 · +23.2%
- By 2100
- 1,961,444 · +18.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 43% Asian 29% White 13% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Native American 2% Pacific Islander 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 38%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 33% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 44% English-only · Spanish 29% Other Asian/Pacific 12% Vietnamese 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -341.41%
- Current HPI
- 409.6203
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.44%
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+479.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2019-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $475,000 Public Records
- 2016-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $235,000 Public Records
- 2014-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
- 2013-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $159,000 Public Records
- 2005-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $469,000 Public Records
- 2004-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $356,000 Public Records
- 2000-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $6,290 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…