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219 Windmill Dr
D- Composite 38.18
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.8/10.0

$334,990

219 Windmill Dr · Rhome, TX 76078
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,662 sqft · SingleFamily · 57 Days on market
Built 2025 7,261 sqft lot Est $321k · at est. $80/mo HOA · 3% of rent ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

D. R. HORTON AMERICA'S BUILDER is EXCITED TO SERVE AS YOUR HOME BUILDER in the FABULOUS COMMUNITY of BLUESTEM in RHOME and NORTHWEST ISD! Beautiful single story 4 BEDROOM Carlsbad open Floorplan-Elevation B, with an estimated Spring completion. Large Chef's Kitchen with Quartz Countertops, Stainless Steel Appliances, Gas Range, Island, Pendant Lights and walk-in Pantry. Luxurious main Bedroom with dual sink Quartz top Vanity, over sized Shower, linen Closet and W-I Closet. Partial Gutters, front Coach Lights and Tankless Water Heater. Designer Pkg including Tiled Entry, Halls and Wet areas plus Home is Connected Smart Home Technology. Covered back Patio, 6 ft fenced backyard, Landscape Pkg

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Chef's kitchen
  • Gas range

Tags

CHEF'S KITCHENQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESGAS RANGEWALK-IN PANTRYDUAL SINK QUARTZ TOP VANITY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Community features include community pool, park, playground, jogging/bike path, fishing and sidewalks; Easements for utilities; Minerals retained by developer (exclusion)
  • Financial info: Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA and VA financing; No second mortgage reported
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA with annual fee; HOA fees cover full use of facilities and management fees; HOA managed by CCMC

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage with single 2-car door; Garage door opener; 2 covered parking spaces; Garage faces front
  • Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors; Smart home features
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Individual water meter; Individual gas meter; Electricity connected / available; Natural gas available; Cable available; Phone available; Sewer available; Underground utilities; Sidewalks and curbs; Concrete
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story; New construction (incomplete, 2025)
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Year built 2025 (new construction - incomplete)
  • Exterior features: Covered rear porch; Covered porch(es); Private yard; Gutters; Sprinkler system; Landscaped yard; Few trees; Subdivision setting

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Water line to refrigerator; Solid surface (non-natural) counters; Built-in cabinets
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level); Primary bedroom with dual sinks, separate shower, linen closet and walk-in closet; Remaining bedrooms arranged as split-bedroom layout
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Open floor plan; Decorative lighting; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Pantry / walk-in pantry; Cable TV available; High-speed internet available; Smart home system; Vented exhaust fan; Plumbed for gas in kitchen
  • Laundry & utility: Separate utility room; Full-size washer/dryer area; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Tankless water heater; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $335k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-555 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $255k (24.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $233k (30.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $233k (30.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#165 in TX, #4,376 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Northwest ISD (rural): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #120 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Seven Hills El (math 28% / reading 33%, grade F, #2,464 of 4,322 statewide, top 58%, 667 students, 48% FRL); Chisholm Trail Middle (math 39% / reading 35%, grade F, #756 of 1,662 statewide, top 47%, 684 students, 51% FRL); Northwest H S (math 55% / reading 64%, grade C+, #275 of 1,632 statewide, top 19%, 2,264 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 264 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 460 units permitted in Wise County in 2024 (243 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $36k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $33k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wise County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$58k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($325k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $232,917 (30.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
4.30%
Cash-on-cash
-7.10%
DSCR
0.68
GRM
12.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$320,766
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
139 Stanton Ave 0.20mi 4/2.0 1,662 (0%) 4mo $314,990 $190 87
110 Castell Ave 0.22mi 4/2.0 1,662 (0%) 6mo $320,156 $193 84
110 Stanton Ave 0.13mi 4/2.0 1,837 (+10%) 0mo $344,990 $188 76
122 Castell Ct 0.18mi 4/2.0 1,837 (+10%) 4mo $333,990 $182 70
179 Summer Rain Way 0.50mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,674 (+1%) 1mo $360,000 $215 70
155 Texasage St 0.60mi 4/2.0 1,659 (-0%) 3mo $299,900 $181 69
129 Medina Ln 0.23mi 4/2.0 1,837 (+10%) 3mo $334,990 $182 69
141 Medina Ln 0.22mi 4/2.0 1,837 (+10%) 7mo $337,938 $184 66
196 Pintail 0.39mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,581 (-5%) 9mo $348,000 $220 61
192 Pintail Ln 0.40mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,511 (-9%) 5mo $329,000 $218 57
127 Palo Duro 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,598 (-4%) 6mo $339,000 $212 57
158 Pecan Ln 0.45mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,802 (+8%) 9mo $409,990 $228 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.3%
Equity multiple
2.57×
Total profit
$147,181
Equity at exit
$301,786
10-year hold
IRR
17.8%
Equity multiple
5.92×
Total profit
$461,388
Equity at exit
$650,812

Cash invested: $93,797 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76078

Home prices YoY
6.5%
Active inventory
264
Price-to-rent
12.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,329 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,757
Tax est. 1.5%
$419 /mo · $5,025/yr
Insurance
$140
HOA
$80
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$489
Net cashflow
$-555

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,032
Max offer price $254,681
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-323 -5% $-439 +0% $-555 +5% $-671 +10% $-787
Rent -10% $-739 -5% $-647 +0% $-555 +5% $-463 +10% $-371
Rate -1.0pp $-386 -0.5pp $-470 base $-555 +0.5pp $-642 +1.0pp $-730

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$83,748
Closing costs
$10,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
135 Lunayena Rd Rhome, TX 4.0 2.0 2039 $2,200 $1.08 0d 1 0.25mi
135 Lunayena Rd Rhome, TX 4.0 2.0 2039 $2,200 $1.08 23d 1 0.25mi
201 S Main St Rhome, TX 3.0 1.0 1071 $1,295 $1.21 45d 1 0.96mi
197 Private Road 4652 Unit 4652 Rhome, TX 3.0 2.0 1428 $2,295 $1.61 0d 1 1.08mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$80 · $960/yr
Likely covers
watergas

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-17
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-09
    price $334,990
  3. 2026-03-17
    price $339,990
  4. 2026-02-19
    listed $344,680 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,950
− Mortgage interest
−$18,765
− Property taxes
−$5,025
− Insurance
−$1,675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,236
− Management
−$2,236
− HOA
−$960
− Depreciation
−$9,745
Taxable loss
−$12,692
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,046
After-tax cash flow
$-3,614/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northwest ISD
NCES district ID
4833180
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$85,315
Composite
46.15/100
National rank
#2504
State rank
#120 of 826 in TX

Livability — Rhome

Score
74/100
State rank
#165
US rank
#4376

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Wise County · 49,037 people
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
10,828
Household income
$99,866
Rent vs Own
16.4% rent · 83.6% own
Severe rent burden
10.0

Population outlook (Wise County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
71,620 people
By 2030
75,858 · +5.9%
By 2040
83,908 · +17.2%
By 2050
90,717 · +26.7%
By 2075
107,583 · +50.2%
By 2100
114,996 · +60.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 11% Native American 4% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 14% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wise

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.0) · D 14.7% · R 84.7%
2008→2024 swing
-14.3pp toward R · 2008: -55.7pp · 2024: -70.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.0 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+69.9 2012: R+67.5 2008: R+55.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 19.94%
Current HPI
325.22
Rent YoY
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $334,990 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $339,990 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-19 Listed $344,680 NTREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…