8289 N Centerville Rd · Williamsburg, IN
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- Appreciation +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This newly remodeled, cozy home in Williamsburg could be yours. New kitchen, new bathroom, new roof, new carpet and some new windows. Fresh paint throughout. Nice corner lot in Northeastern school district. Refrigerator, washer and dryer stay's with home. For your personal tour of the beautiful home This property isn’t eligible for FHA or USDA loans. Call Susie Bond at 765-967-5421. Text 879129 to 35620 for more information and photos. * NO SUNDAY SHOWINGS * *
Key facts
- Modern upgrades
- Corner lot
- Remodeled home
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-family residence; Single story; Residential zoning
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Asphalt shingle roof; Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Oil heating
- Interior features: Refrigerator; Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater; Partial basement; Crawl space
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $296 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Northeastern Wayne Schools (rural): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #132 of 301 in IN (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Northeastern Elementary School (math 48% / reading 38%, grade F, #417 of 994 statewide, top 43%, 590 students, 55% FRL); Northeastern Middle School (math 28% / reading 50%, grade F, #128 of 330 statewide, top 40%, 324 students, 48% FRL); Northeastern High School (math 17% / reading 57%, grade F, #247 of 369 statewide, top 70%, 443 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 49% FRL vs 30% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.8% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $72k; list at $115k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.02%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $71,012
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8110 N Centerville Rd | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,635 (-6%) | 16mo | $120,000 | $73 | 69 |
| 8159 N Centerville Rd | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,476 (-15%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $41 | 66 |
| 8545 Depot St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,502 (-13%) | 23mo | $60,000 | $40 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.81% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.58×
- Total profit
- $50,761
- Equity at exit
- $70,932
- IRR
- 22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.19×
- Total profit
- $134,939
- Equity at exit
- $127,473
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47393
- Home prices YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,359 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$127 /mo · $1,520/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $296
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $115,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $115,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 475-char remark
-
2026-06-07$115,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,520 · $127/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,520 · $127/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,303
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,520
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,304
- − Management
- −$1,304
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $1,812
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$435
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,112/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northeastern Wayne Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1808190
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,159
- Composite
- 34.98/100
- National rank
- #5056
- State rank
- #132 of 301 in IN
Livability — Williamsburg
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Williamsburg, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,595
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,316 people
- By 2030
- 60,893 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 55,386 · -12.5%
- By 2050
- 49,946 · -21.1%
- By 2075
- 37,900 · -40.1%
- By 2100
- 26,562 · -58.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Polish 2% Lithuanian 2% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · German/W. Germanic 13% Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.5) · D 32.9% · R 65.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.9pp · 2024: -32.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.5 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+30.1 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+3.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.81%
- Current HPI
- 214.2652
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+170.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $115,000 RRELMS
- 2022-12-06 Sold (MLS) $72,000 RRELMS
- 2022-06-04 Listed $79,900 RRELMS
- 2022-02-16 Sold (MLS) $30,000 RRELMS
- 2021-12-06 Listed $42,500 RRELMS
Property tax history
+32.3%/yrLatest (2024): $1,520 · +10.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…