68 State Ave · Wyandanch, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 63.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$359,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
CASH OFFERS ONLY! Come See This 4 Bedroom, 2 Bath Cape with Large Eat In Kitchen & Formal Living Room That Needs Total Renovating. It Features; Wood Floors, Private Driveway, Side Entrance to Kitchen & Laundry Area on 2nd Floor. This Property Also Has a Crawl Basement, Gas Connection & 60 X 100 Lot.
Key facts
- 6,000 sq ft lot
- Built 1956
- Listed 5 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Electricity connected (PSEG); Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Property listed as fixer
- Construction: Frame construction; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Level lot; Chain-link fencing; No waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Range
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas heating; No central air
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Eat-in kitchen; Washer/dryer hookup; 6 total rooms; Basement is a crawl space
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $359k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $837 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $359k).
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.4% in Wyandanch — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#701 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, cost of living F.
- Wyandanch Union Free School District (suburban): math 29% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #717 of 755 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Martin Luther King Elementary School (math 30% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,689 of 2,108 statewide, top 81%, 621 students, 89% FRL); Milton L Olive Middle School (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #666 of 729 statewide, top 93%, 581 students, 88% FRL); Wyandanch Memorial High School (math 57% / reading 77%, grade B, #746 of 1,100 statewide, top 69%, 843 students, 87% FRL).
- Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $27k; list at $359k implies a 1230% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.99%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $590,114
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68 State Ave | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,382 (0%) | 1mo | $355,000 | $257 | 100 |
| 95 State Ave | 0.09mi | 4/3.0 | 1,490 (+8%) | 8mo | $502,500 | $337 | 72 |
| 95 S 27th St | 0.60mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+8%) | 1mo | $685,000 | $457 | 52 |
| 50 S 30th St | 0.57mi | 4/3.0 | 1,507 (+9%) | 3mo | $660,000 | $438 | 52 |
| 75 S 32nd St | 0.69mi | 5/1.0 (+1) | 1,380 (-0%) | 9mo | $565,000 | $409 | 51 |
| 62 S 21st St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,320 (-4%) | 11mo | $550,000 | $417 | 51 |
| 243 Parkway Blvd | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-13%) | 7mo | $425,000 | $354 | 49 |
| 7 Mount Ave | 0.37mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,500 (+8%) | 14mo | $490,000 | $327 | 48 |
| 71 S 29th St | 0.56mi | 4/3.0 | 1,500 (+8%) | 12mo | $640,000 | $427 | 46 |
| 57 Rockland Ave | 0.62mi | 4/3.0 | 1,567 (+13%) | 1mo | $705,000 | $450 | 44 |
| 107 S 28th St | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,435 (+4%) | 14mo | $675,000 | $470 | 43 |
| 61 Ulster Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,236 (-11%) | 9mo | $615,000 | $498 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-4,799
- Equity at exit
- $53,528
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $64,725
- Equity at exit
- $31,040
Cash invested: $100,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11798
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,883
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$449 /mo · $5,385/yr
- Insurance
- −$150
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$882
- Net cashflow
- $837
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,085 | -5% $961 | +0% $837 | +5% $713 | +10% $589 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $505 | -5% $671 | +0% $837 | +5% $1,003 | +10% $1,169 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,018 | -0.5pp $928 | base $837 | +0.5pp $744 | +1.0pp $649 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $89,750
- Closing costs
- $10,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1461 10th St West Babylon, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $4,200 | $3.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-01status Pending
-
2026-04-10$359,000 Active
-
2026-04-07historical $359,000
-
1991-04-04soldstatus $27,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $50,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,110
- − Property taxes
- −$5,385
- − Insurance
- −$1,795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,032
- − Management
- −$4,032
- − Depreciation
- −$10,444
- Taxable income
- $4,603
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,105
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,940/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wyandanch Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3631800
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,193
- Composite
- 30.02/100
- National rank
- #11631
- State rank
- #717 of 755 in NY
Livability — Wyandanch
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #701
- US rank
- #13223
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wyandanch, NY
Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,505,262 people
- By 2030
- 1,498,318 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,471,101 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 1,424,848 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 1,337,157 · -11.2%
- By 2100
- 1,217,720 · -19.1%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -296.70%
- Current HPI
- 285.1922
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+1229.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-10 Listed $359,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-07 Coming Soon $359,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1991-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-13.2%/yrLatest (2025): $604 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…