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302 Hughes Ave
D+ Composite 48.26
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$399,000

302 Hughes Ave · Fairmont, IL 60441
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,310 sqft · Other · 164 Days on market
Built 2025 4,791 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to your dream home in the heart of Lockport! This stunning new construction offers 4 spacious bedrooms and 2 beautiful bathrooms, perfectly located near downtown Lockport, schools, local shops, the train station, and Dellwood Disc Golf Course. Step inside and fall in love with the open layout featuring hardwood floors throughout and elegant porcelain tile bathrooms. The kitchen steals the show with light oak-stained cabinets, quartz countertops, and sleek stainless steel appliances, ideal for cooking and entertaining. The finished basement includes two bedrooms and a stylish bar area, perfect for hosting guests or relaxing after a long day. Outside, enjoy a spacious attached 2-car g

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • New construction
  • Open layout

Tags

NEW CONSTRUCTIONOPEN LAYOUTHARDWOOD FLOORSPORCELAIN TILE BATHROOMSLIGHT OAK STAINED CABINETSQUARTZ COUNTERTOPS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership is fee simple; Property is not currently leased; Approximately 2,310 total finished square feet (plans source)
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (garage owned) with 2 garage spaces; Shared driveway; total parking for 2 vehicles
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story design; New construction — ready for occupancy; Asphalt roof; Vinyl siding exterior
  • Construction: New construction (ready for occupancy); Vinyl siding construction materials; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: 40 x 120 lot dimensions; Lot under 0.25 acre; Interstate access nearby

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (11 x 16) with hardwood floors
  • Bedrooms: Main-level master bedroom (11 x 10) with hardwood floors; Main-level bedroom (9 x 12) with hardwood floors; Two additional basement bedrooms (each 9 x 9) with hardwood floors — listed as below-grade possible bedrooms
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring throughout main and listed rooms
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Basement includes a bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom and full bathroom; Finished full basement with walk-out access; Seven total rooms; Double-pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $399k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $382 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $346k (13.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $346k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#455 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Lockport Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 35% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #153 of 620 in IL (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lockport Township High Sch East (math 35% / reading 38%, grade F, #117 of 693 statewide, top 17%, 3,872 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,028 units permitted in Will County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($103k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Will County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($351k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $135k; list at $399k implies a 196% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $346,139 (13.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
7.44%
Cash-on-cash
4.11%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.91% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.0%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-37,310
Equity at exit
$59,492
10-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$11,427
Equity at exit
$34,498

Cash invested: $111,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60441

Home prices YoY
-33.0%
Rents YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
131
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,461 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,092
Tax from tax record
$94 /mo · $1,123/yr
Insurance
$166
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$727
Net cashflow
$382

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,978
Max offer price $399,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$99,750
Closing costs
$11,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
752 Rosanne St Lockport, IL 3.0 2.0 1890 $3,500 $1.85 1d 1 1.06mi
752 Rosanne St Lockport, IL 3.0 2.0 1890 $3,700 $1.96 7d 1 1.06mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $399,000 Active 164 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $399,000 Active 163 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $399,000 Active 162 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $399,000 Active 161 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $399,000 Active 159 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $399,000 Active 155 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $399,000 Active 154 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    price $399,000 Active 153 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $409,999 Active 153 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $409,999 Active 150 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $409,999 Active 149 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $409,999 Active 148 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $409,999 Active 147 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $409,999 Active 146 DOM
  15. 2026-05-08
    price $409,999
  16. 2026-04-10
    price $414,999
  17. 2026-01-30
    price $419,000
  18. 2026-01-05
    listed $429,000 Active
  19. 2025-12-22
    historical
  20. 2025-12-05
    listed Active
  21. 2025-12-05
    historical
  22. 2025-12-05
    price
  23. 2025-11-14
    listed Active
  24. 2021-12-01
    soldstatus $135,000
  25. 2004-10-05
    soldstatus $135,000
  26. 2002-05-10
    soldstatus $120,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,123 · $94/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,090 · $424/mo
Expected delta
+$3,967/yr (+$331/mo · 353.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$41,537
− Mortgage interest
−$22,350
− Property taxes
−$1,123
− Insurance
−$1,995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,323
− Management
−$3,323
− Depreciation
−$11,607
Taxable loss
−$2,185
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$524
After-tax cash flow
$5,111/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lockport Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1723350
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$69,994
Composite
33.5/100
National rank
#5440
State rank
#153 of 620 in IL

Livability — Fairmont

Score
68/100
State rank
#455
US rank
#9333

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fairmont, IL
County
Will County · 412,448 people
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
36,844
Household income
$103,374
Rent vs Own
15.9% rent · 84.1% own
Severe rent burden
519.0

Population outlook (Will County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
705,368 people
By 2030
708,154 · +0.4%
By 2040
702,692 · -0.4%
By 2050
680,249 · -3.6%
By 2075
611,990 · -13.2%
By 2100
516,215 · -26.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Black 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 18% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Will

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 48.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-11.6pp toward R · 2008: 13.2pp · 2024: 1.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.6 2020: D+8.3 2016: D+5.7 2012: D+3.7 2008: D+13.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.43%
Current HPI
201.5857
Rent YoY
▲ 3.91%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+241.7% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $409,999 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $414,999 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-30 Price Changed $419,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-05 Listed $429,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-22 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-05 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-05 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-05 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-14 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 2004-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 2002-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,123 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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