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1405 Lila St
B- Composite 65.77
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • ARV discount +4.0/15.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

1405 Lila St · Jacksonville, FL 32208
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,036 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1935 Est $88k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Home sits on large corner lot with huge 2 car detached block garage. House has upgraded electrical panel and central heating and air. Has informally 3 bedrooms. Kitchen is in good shape. Will make a great investment property and is priced below current market value for a quick sale. Highly motivated to sell....make an offer.

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1935
  • Listed 37 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage; Off-street parking; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Septic tank; Cable available; Electricity connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Used for residential purposes
  • Exterior features: Full fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $445 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $95k implies a 428% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $92,150 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
11.92%
Cash-on-cash
20.08%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$88,060
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7632 Lueders Ave 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,024 (-1%) 6mo $144,000 $141 78
950 Ashton St 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-4%) 4mo $142,500 $143 76
1224 Kennard St 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,092 (+5%) 6mo $50,000 $46 72
7400 Fernandina Ave 0.25mi 2/1.0 (-1) 933 (-10%) 1mo $28,000 $30 66
8004 Delaware Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,064 (+3%) 1mo $60,000 $56 61
1011 Glencarin St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,061 (+2%) 7mo $90,000 $85 58
7447 Oriole St 0.31mi 3/1.5 912 (-12%) 8mo $71,250 $78 57
1012 Brandywine St 0.70mi 3/1.0 945 (-9%) 6mo $115,000 $122 47
940 Glencarin St 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,144 (+10%) 5mo $107,000 $94 44
1116 Stark St 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,190 (+15%) 2mo $65,000 $55 40
5752 Oprey St 0.71mi 3/2.0 912 (-12%) 6mo $110,000 $121 38
831 Ashford St 0.72mi 2/2.0 (-1) 912 (-12%) 8mo $40,000 $44 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.9%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$9,020
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
15.5%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$29,152
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32208

Home prices YoY
-33.6%
Rents YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
291
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,340 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $913/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$445

Break-even live

Break-even rent $777
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7927 Reid Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1055 $1,500 $1.42 23d 1 0.45mi
5903 Droad St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1161 $1,400 $1.21 2d 1 0.45mi
1010 Edgewood Ave W Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1450 $1,250 $0.86 14d 1 0.49mi
1010 Edgewood Ave W Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1450 $1,250 $0.86 23d 1 0.49mi
1567 Rutledge Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,113 $1.06 23d 1 0.56mi
961 Dorchester St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 884 $1,025 $1.16 2d 1 0.62mi
920 Alderside St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1255 $1,195 $0.95 4d 1 0.71mi
6510 Avalon St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1488 $1,425 $0.96 23d 1 0.73mi
1536 W 45th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,050 $1.31 23d 1 0.76mi
1136 Maynard St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 919 $1,045 $1.14 23d 1 0.81mi
1750 Rutledge Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,358 $1.09 14d 1 0.82mi
5736 Teeler Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 852 $1,000 $1.17 23d 1 0.85mi
7210 Elwood Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 831 $995 $1.20 21d 1 0.86mi
1021 Lake Forest Blvd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1393 $1,290 $0.93 2d 1 0.88mi
915 Wayne St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1220 $1,313 $1.08 2d 1 0.92mi
2312 Palmdale St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 972 $1,231 $1.27 23d 1 0.92mi
1348 Crestwood St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,100 $0.85 23d 1 0.93mi
8617 3rd Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1048 $1,200 $1.15 10d 1 0.94mi
912 Saratoga Blvd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 930 $1,250 $1.34 23d 1 0.94mi
7511 N Shore Dr Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1014 $1,350 $1.33 4d 1 0.95mi
8642 2nd Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1074 $1,245 $1.16 1d 1 0.97mi
1975 Rugby Rd Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 992 $1,100 $1.11 7d 1 1.01mi
7124 Lorain St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,043 $1.21 2d 1 1.01mi
8253 Lexington Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 910 $1,330 $1.46 23d 1 1.02mi
8663 5th Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,045 $1.45 23d 1 1.03mi
472 W 65th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1312 $1,295 $0.99 21d 1 1.04mi
535 W 59th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 816 $1,395 $1.71 7d 1 1.05mi
8721 4th Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 1344 $1,399 $1.04 23d 1 1.08mi
664 Escambia St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1352 $1,500 $1.11 17d 1 1.08mi
646 Escambia St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,395 $1.16 21d 1 1.09mi
2534 Aubrey Ave Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 759 $1,250 $1.65 23d 1 1.10mi
1834 Meharry Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1291 $1,295 $1.00 4d 1 1.12mi
4813 Moncrief Rd Jacksonville, FL 2.0–3.0 1.0 755 $920 $1.22 2d 8 1.17mi
6460 Lanark Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 708 $1,095 $1.55 23d 1 1.18mi
385 Duray Ct Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 932 $1,250 $1.34 19d 1 1.19mi
5352 Dodge Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,261 $1.20 23d 1 1.20mi
1803 W 44th St Unit 1803 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 7d 1 1.20mi
346 W 68th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1114 $1,385 $1.24 4d 1 1.20mi
1823 W 44th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1066 $1,500 $1.41 23d 1 1.21mi
343 W 60th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1238 $1,299 $1.05 21d 1 1.21mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $95,000 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $95,000 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 22 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    status $95,000 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-05-22
    status Active
  13. 2026-05-22
    price $95,000
  14. 2026-05-01
    historical
  15. 2026-04-17
    listed $100,000 Active
  16. 2014-06-26
    listed $21,000 338-char remark
    Show marketing remark (338 chars)

    Home sits on large corner lot with huge 2 car detached block garage. House has upgraded electrical panel and central heating and air. Has informally 3 bedrooms. Kitchen is in good shape. Will make a great investment property and is priced below current market value for a quick sale. Highly motivated to sell....make an offer.

  17. 2010-05-17
    soldstatus $18,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$913 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$913 · $76/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,085
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$913
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,287
− Management
−$1,287
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$4,039
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$969
After-tax cash flow
$4,372/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
32,699
Household income
$41,324
Rent vs Own
43.2% rent · 56.8% own
Severe rent burden
1765.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 77% White 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -110.56%
Current HPI
217.9706
Rent YoY
▼ -1.36%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+427.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Relisted realMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $95,000 realMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $100,000 realMLS
  • 2014-06-26 Listed $21,000 realMLS
  • 2010-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $913 · +34.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…