1334 S Blackhawk Ave · Freeport, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious 4 bedroom, 2.5 bath, 1.5-story with a 2-stall garage. Main floor living room, dining room, kitchen with eat-in table space, bedroom, full bath with stall shower and a family room/den that could be a 5th bedroom. Upper level consists of 3 bedrooms, full bath, attic fan and attic storage space. The lower level has a rec room, laundry area and a half bath. Off of the kitchen leads to the backyard where there is a concrete patio and a greenhouse. Furnace and A/C 2020, shingled part of roof in 2025 and flat part of roof is 3-4 years old.
Key facts
- Attic fan
- Family room
- Concrete patio
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached or detached 2-car garage with concrete parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Partial finished below-grade area (308 below-grade finished area)
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Quarter-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Garbage disposal
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Gas cooktop; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Water softener; Gas water heater; Partial basement (finished area below grade)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Water softener; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $110 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (3.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $159k (3.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 5.8% in Freeport — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#302 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: commute F, employment F.
- Freeport SD 145 (town): math 11% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #565 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Blackhawk Elem School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,403 of 2,056 statewide, top 71%, 307 students, 0% FRL); Freeport Middle School (math 6% / reading 7%, grade F, #632 of 665 statewide, top 95%, 485 students, 0% FRL); Freeport High School (math 11% / reading 18%, grade F, #479 of 693 statewide, top 71%, 1,080 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 65% district-wide (65 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 206 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7 units permitted in Stephenson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Stephenson County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.86%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $101,803
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1308 S Walnut Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,464 (-1%) | 21mo | $135,000 | $55 | 65 |
| 1248 S Walnut Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,394 (-4%) | 15mo | $81,900 | $34 | 63 |
| 21 W Empire St | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 | 2,307 (-7%) | 13mo | $165,000 | $72 | 57 |
| 1437 S Plum Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,184 (-12%) | 11mo | $140,000 | $64 | 56 |
| 1031 S Chicago Ave | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 2,328 (-6%) | 14mo | $49,000 | $21 | 53 |
| 737 W Pleasant St | 0.58mi | 4/1.5 | 2,372 (-4%) | 13mo | $97,200 | $41 | 50 |
| 1254 S Carroll Ave | 0.57mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,390 (-4%) | 13mo | $200,000 | $84 | 49 |
| 428 S West Ave | 0.74mi | 4/3.0 | 2,678 (+8%) | 12mo | $225,000 | $84 | 40 |
| 618 S Carroll Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,630 (+6%) | 16mo | $85,000 | $32 | 36 |
| 1303 S High Ave | 0.63mi | 4/1.5 | 2,207 (-11%) | 18mo | $55,000 | $25 | 34 |
| 9 W Washington St | 0.69mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,120 (-15%) | 9mo | $40,000 | $19 | 29 |
| 1424 S Float St | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,760 (+11%) | 17mo | $60,000 | $22 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-19,710
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-8,044
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61032
- Home prices YoY
- -19.5%
- Active inventory
- 206
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,586 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$209 /mo · $2,509/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$333
- Net cashflow
- $110
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $203 | -5% $157 | +0% $110 | +5% $63 | +10% $17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-15 | -5% $47 | +0% $110 | +5% $173 | +10% $235 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $193 | -0.5pp $152 | base $110 | +0.5pp $67 | +1.0pp $24 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1219 1/2 S Chicago Ave Freeport, IL | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2672 | $1,625 | $0.61 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 404 E Prospect Ter Freeport, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2560 | $1,525 | $0.60 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 434 1/2 S State Ave Freeport, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2544 | $1,595 | $0.63 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-04$165,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,509 · $209/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,127 · $261/mo
- Expected delta
- +$618/yr (+$52/mo · 24.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,034
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$2,509
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,523
- − Management
- −$1,523
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$1,388
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$333
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,652/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Freeport SD 145
- NCES district ID
- 1715900
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,803
- Composite
- 9.89/100
- National rank
- #9821
- State rank
- #565 of 620 in IL
Livability — Freeport
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #302
- US rank
- #5927
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Freeport, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,072
Population outlook (Stephenson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,802 people
- By 2030
- 39,487 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 34,534 · -17.4%
- By 2050
- 29,693 · -29.0%
- By 2075
- 21,196 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 14,596 · -65.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stephenson
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.4) · D 39.5% · R 58.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.1pp toward R · 2008: 6.7pp · 2024: -19.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.4 2020: R+15.7 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+4.6 2008: D+6.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.75%
- Current HPI
- 163.677
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-24 Pending — NWIAR
- 2026-05-04 Listed $165,000 NWIAR
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2024): $2,509 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…