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8927 Cartwright Dr
C+ Composite 61.12
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.8/30.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$145,000

8927 Cartwright Dr · Weatherford, TX 76035
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Manufactured · 75 Days on market
Fair condition 0.28 ac lot ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This renovated 2 bedrooms 1 bathroom singlewide sits on a quarter-acre lot in cresson. This move-in ready property has two additional bonus rooms that can be used as a bedroom or offices. Featuring an oversized covered carport that comfortably fits up to 4 vehicles. No HOA and no known restrictions. Property nestled in quiet countryside just outside of Cresson. You will enjoy the peaceful countryside of Ponderosa Hills subdivision.

Key facts

  • Renovated
  • Bonus rooms
  • Quiet countryside

Tags

RENOVATEDBONUS ROOMSOVERSIZED COVERED CARPORTNO HOAQUIET COUNTRYSIDEPONDEROSA HILLS SUBDIVISION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 2.7% in Weatherford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#289 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
  • Weatherford ISD (town): math 39% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #321 of 826 in TX (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 437 units permitted in Parker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Parker County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,300 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.59%
Cash-on-cash
8.22%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.87% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.7%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$1,231
Equity at exit
$29,053
10-year hold
IRR
8.5%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$30,258
Equity at exit
$25,684

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76035

Home prices YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
97
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,621 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax est. 1.5%
$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$340
Net cashflow
$278

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,268
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $378 -5% $328 +0% $278 +5% $228 +10% $178
Rent -10% $150 -5% $214 +0% $278 +5% $342 +10% $406
Rate -1.0pp $351 -0.5pp $315 base $278 +0.5pp $241 +1.0pp $202

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 75 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 74 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 73 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 72 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $145,000 Active 70 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 66 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 65 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 64 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 61 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 60 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 59 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 58 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 57 DOM
  14. 2026-05-18
    price $150,000 435-char remark
    Show marketing remark (435 chars)

    This renovated 2 bedrooms 1 bathroom singlewide sits on a quarter-acre lot in cresson. This move-in ready property has two additional bonus rooms that can be used as a bedroom or offices. Featuring an oversized covered carport that comfortably fits up to 4 vehicles. No HOA and no known restrictions. Property nestled in quiet countryside just outside of Cresson. You will enjoy the peaceful countryside of Ponderosa Hills subdivision.

  15. 2026-05-09
    price $160,000 435-char remark
    Show marketing remark (435 chars)

    This renovated 2 bedrooms 1 bathroom singlewide sits on a quarter-acre lot in cresson. This move-in ready property has two additional bonus rooms that can be used as a bedroom or offices. Featuring an oversized covered carport that comfortably fits up to 4 vehicles. No HOA and no known restrictions. Property nestled in quiet countryside just outside of Cresson. You will enjoy the peaceful countryside of Ponderosa Hills subdivision.

  16. 2026-04-30
    price $165,000 435-char remark
    Show marketing remark (435 chars)

    This renovated 2 bedrooms 1 bathroom singlewide sits on a quarter-acre lot in cresson. This move-in ready property has two additional bonus rooms that can be used as a bedroom or offices. Featuring an oversized covered carport that comfortably fits up to 4 vehicles. No HOA and no known restrictions. Property nestled in quiet countryside just outside of Cresson. You will enjoy the peaceful countryside of Ponderosa Hills subdivision.

  17. 2026-04-04
    listed $170,000 Active 435-char remark
    Show marketing remark (435 chars)

    This renovated 2 bedrooms 1 bathroom singlewide sits on a quarter-acre lot in cresson. This move-in ready property has two additional bonus rooms that can be used as a bedroom or offices. Featuring an oversized covered carport that comfortably fits up to 4 vehicles. No HOA and no known restrictions. Property nestled in quiet countryside just outside of Cresson. You will enjoy the peaceful countryside of Ponderosa Hills subdivision.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,446
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$2,175
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,556
− Management
−$1,556
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$1,095
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$263
After-tax cash flow
$3,075/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready singlewide has average exterior and interior conditions, with minor repairs and maintenance needed. Fresh paint and landscaping would significantly enhance its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor fencing — Weathered and needs touch-up
  • Minor vegetation — Overgrown and needs trimming

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both repair fencing — Fresh fencing improves safety and property value
  • Both trim vegetation — Neat landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
fencing · Weathered and needs touch-up Minor $500–3,000
vegetation · Overgrown and needs trimming Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both repair fencing — Fresh fencing improves safety and property value
  • Both trim vegetation — Neat landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Weatherford ISD
NCES district ID
4844800
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$57,087
Composite
36.4/100
National rank
#4679
State rank
#321 of 826 in TX

Livability — Weatherford

Score
71/100
State rank
#289
US rank
#6648

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
60,150
Population (ZIP)
3,247

Population outlook (Parker County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
147,426 people
By 2030
157,863 · +7.1%
By 2040
177,519 · +20.4%
By 2050
194,786 · +32.1%
By 2075
238,799 · +62.0%
By 2100
264,126 · +79.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 12% Black 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Slovak 6% Lithuanian 6% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Parker

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.4) · D 16.4% · R 82.8%
2008→2024 swing
-11.2pp toward R · 2008: -55.2pp · 2024: -66.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.4 2020: R+64.4 2016: R+67.5 2012: R+65.8 2008: R+55.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.87%
Current HPI
187.0174
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $150,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-09 Price Changed $160,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $165,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-04 Listed $170,000 NTREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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