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301 Lot 66 Bulgarmarsh Rd
B- Composite 69.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.7/15.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,000

301 Lot 66 Bulgarmarsh Rd · Tiverton, RI 02878
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1976 27 ac lot Est $150k · at est. $295/mo HOA · 12% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to highly desirable Dadson Estates in beautiful Tiverton, RI! Conveniently located near highway access, shopping, dining, and popular local amenities, yet tucked away within a quiet and peaceful community setting, this location cannot be beat! This 2-bedroom, 1 full bathroom home offers 924 square feet of comfortable living space, including a spacious eat-in kitchen and functional layout ready for its next owner's vision. Major updates include an upgraded electrical panel, newer windows, and updated flooring. This home presents a wonderful opportunity for affordable homeownership and serves as the perfect blank slate to make your own. Offering a valuable path to homeownership at a m

Key facts

  • Highway access
  • Shopping
  • Local amenities

Tags

HIGHWAY ACCESSSHOPPINGDININGLOCAL AMENITIESQUIET COMMUNITY SETTINGSPACIOUS EAT-IN KITCHEN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Land lease present
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $295; Community features: golf, highway access, marina, pool, public transportation, recreation area, restaurants, shopping, tennis courts, near hospital, near schools

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; Space for 2 vehicles
  • Utilities: Electric: 100 amp service with circuit breakers; Septic system; Connected water
  • Home design: Single-story home; Entry level: First floor
  • Construction: Drywall interior; Aluminum and vinyl siding; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Large lot (27.04 acres); R40 zoning; Access to community amenities including golf, marina, pool, tennis courts, recreation areas, restaurants, shopping and public transportation

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Refrigerator; Oven; Range; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first floor
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil)
  • Interior features: Vinyl flooring; Tub with shower
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $149k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $650 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
  • Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 3.5% in Tiverton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#28 in RI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: schools C-, cost of living D+, amenities F.
  • Tiverton (rural): math 35% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #14 of 39 in RI (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 94 units permitted in Newport County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Newport County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $62k; list at $149k implies a 138% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $149,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.60%
Cap rate
11.52%
Cash-on-cash
18.69%
DSCR
1.83
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$149,688
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
301 Bulgarmarsh Rd Unit L 29 0.00mi 2/1.0 840 (-9%) 18mo $136,000 $162 70

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.5%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$17,389
Equity at exit
$22,216
10-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
2.66×
Total profit
$69,062
Equity at exit
$12,883

Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
31 Tenant-Leaning
State Rhode Island
31 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; strong tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 02878

Home prices YoY
-23.3%
Active inventory
91
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,378 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$781
Tax from tax record
$90 /mo · $1,082/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$295
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$499
Net cashflow
$650

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,555
Max offer price $149,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,250
Closing costs
$4,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14 William Barton Dr Tiverton, RI 2.0 1.0 700 $2,500 $3.57 43d 1 0.15mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$295 · $3,540/yr
Likely covers
electric

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    listed $149,000 Active
  2. 2016-11-08
    price $89,000
  3. 2013-12-19
    price $60,000
  4. 2009-06-29
    soldstatus $62,500
  5. 2009-05-15
    historical
  6. 2009-04-13
    listed $69,900
  7. 2009-04-13
    historical
  8. 2008-10-10
    listed $75,000
  9. 2008-09-29
    historical
  10. 2007-07-03
    listed $92,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast RI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,082 · $90/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,755 · $146/mo
Expected delta
+$673/yr (+$56/mo · 62.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,530
− Mortgage interest
−$8,346
− Property taxes
−$1,082
− Insurance
−$745
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,282
− Management
−$2,282
− HOA
−$3,540
− Depreciation
−$4,335
Taxable income
$5,918
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,420
After-tax cash flow
$6,375/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tiverton
NCES district ID
4401050
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$67,472
Composite
37.77/100
National rank
#4347
State rank
#14 of 39 in RI

Livability — Tiverton

Score
61/100
State rank
#28
US rank
#17481

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Newport County · 73,957 people
City population
16,189
Metro
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
Population (ZIP)
16,189
Household income
$106,036
Rent vs Own
19.3% rent · 80.7% own
Severe rent burden
201.0

Population outlook (Newport County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
81,198 people
By 2030
79,518 · -2.1%
By 2040
75,581 · -6.9%
By 2050
71,801 · -11.6%
By 2075
64,618 · -20.4%
By 2100
56,724 · -30.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Russian 30% Lithuanian 15% Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Newport

2024 margin
Strong D (+25.5) · D 61.6% · R 36.1% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
+2.2pp toward D · 2008: 23.3pp · 2024: 25.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+25.5 2020: D+29.8 2016: D+19.4 2012: D+17.7 2008: D+23.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -110.16%
Current HPI
362.7711
Rent YoY
Metro
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.25%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in RI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+62.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $149,000 RIS
  • 2016-11-08 Price Changed $89,000 RIS
  • 2013-12-19 Price Changed $60,000 RIS
  • 2009-06-29 Sold (MLS) $62,500 MLS PIN
  • 2009-05-15 Listing Removed MLS PIN
  • 2009-04-13 Listing Removed RIS
  • 2009-04-13 Listed $69,900 MLS PIN
  • 2008-10-10 Listed $75,000 RIS
  • 2008-09-29 Listing Removed RIS
  • 2007-07-03 Listed $92,000 RIS

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,082 · +22.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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