301 Lot 66 Bulgarmarsh Rd · Tiverton, RI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $835 – $1,551
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.7/15.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to highly desirable Dadson Estates in beautiful Tiverton, RI! Conveniently located near highway access, shopping, dining, and popular local amenities, yet tucked away within a quiet and peaceful community setting, this location cannot be beat! This 2-bedroom, 1 full bathroom home offers 924 square feet of comfortable living space, including a spacious eat-in kitchen and functional layout ready for its next owner's vision. Major updates include an upgraded electrical panel, newer windows, and updated flooring. This home presents a wonderful opportunity for affordable homeownership and serves as the perfect blank slate to make your own. Offering a valuable path to homeownership at a m
Key facts
- Highway access
- Shopping
- Local amenities
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Land lease present
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $295; Community features: golf, highway access, marina, pool, public transportation, recreation area, restaurants, shopping, tennis courts, near hospital, near schools
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; Space for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Electric: 100 amp service with circuit breakers; Septic system; Connected water
- Home design: Single-story home; Entry level: First floor
- Construction: Drywall interior; Aluminum and vinyl siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Large lot (27.04 acres); R40 zoning; Access to community amenities including golf, marina, pool, tennis courts, recreation areas, restaurants, shopping and public transportation
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Refrigerator; Oven; Range; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first floor
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil)
- Interior features: Vinyl flooring; Tub with shower
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $149k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $650 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 3.5% in Tiverton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#28 in RI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: schools C-, cost of living D+, amenities F.
- Tiverton (rural): math 35% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #14 of 39 in RI (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 94 units permitted in Newport County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Newport County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $149k implies a 138% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.69%
- DSCR
- 1.83
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $149,688
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 Bulgarmarsh Rd Unit L 29 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-9%) | 18mo | $136,000 | $162 | 70 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $17,389
- Equity at exit
- $22,216
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.66×
- Total profit
- $69,062
- Equity at exit
- $12,883
Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 31 Tenant-Leaning
- State Rhode Island
- 31 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 02878
- Home prices YoY
- -23.3%
- Active inventory
- 91
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,378 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$781
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,082/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$295
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$499
- Net cashflow
- $650
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,250
- Closing costs
- $4,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 William Barton Dr Tiverton, RI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,500 | $3.57 | 43d | 1 | 0.15mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $295 · $3,540/yr
- Likely covers
- electric
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-18$149,000 Active
-
2016-11-08price $89,000
-
2013-12-19price $60,000
-
2009-06-29soldstatus $62,500
-
2009-05-15historical
-
2009-04-13$69,900
-
2009-04-13historical
-
2008-10-10$75,000
-
2008-09-29historical
-
2007-07-03$92,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast RI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,082 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,755 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- +$673/yr (+$56/mo · 62.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,530
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,346
- − Property taxes
- −$1,082
- − Insurance
- −$745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,282
- − Management
- −$2,282
- − HOA
- −$3,540
- − Depreciation
- −$4,335
- Taxable income
- $5,918
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,420
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,375/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tiverton
- NCES district ID
- 4401050
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,472
- Composite
- 37.77/100
- National rank
- #4347
- State rank
- #14 of 39 in RI
Livability — Tiverton
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #17481
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Newport County · 73,957 people
- City population
- 16,189
- Metro
- Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,189
- Household income
- $106,036
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 201.0
Population outlook (Newport County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 81,198 people
- By 2030
- 79,518 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 75,581 · -6.9%
- By 2050
- 71,801 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 64,618 · -20.4%
- By 2100
- 56,724 · -30.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 30% Lithuanian 15% Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Newport
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+25.5) · D 61.6% · R 36.1% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.2pp toward D · 2008: 23.3pp · 2024: 25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+25.5 2020: D+29.8 2016: D+19.4 2012: D+17.7 2008: D+23.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.16%
- Current HPI
- 362.7711
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.25%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in RI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $373B |
|
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| Food Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+62.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $149,000 RIS
- 2016-11-08 Price Changed $89,000 RIS
- 2013-12-19 Price Changed $60,000 RIS
- 2009-06-29 Sold (MLS) $62,500 MLS PIN
- 2009-05-15 Listing Removed — MLS PIN
- 2009-04-13 Listing Removed — RIS
- 2009-04-13 Listed $69,900 MLS PIN
- 2008-10-10 Listed $75,000 RIS
- 2008-09-29 Listing Removed — RIS
- 2007-07-03 Listed $92,000 RIS
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2024): $1,082 · +22.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…