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14544 Woodlawn Ave
D+ Composite 48.18
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.7/30.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$198,000

14544 Woodlawn Ave · Dolton, IL 60419
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,066 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1970 4,760 sqft lot Est $157k · 26% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Walk-out lower level
  • Tilt-in windows
  • Corner-lot property

Tags

CORNER-LOT PROPERTYFENCED-IN BACKYARDWALK-OUT LOWER LEVELDETACHED 2-CAR GARAGEORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSTILT-IN WINDOWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property not currently leased; School bus service available; Property located in Dolton (Thornton Township)
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required; Community has curbs, sidewalks, street lights and paved streets

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (garage owned); Off-alley vehicle access; 2 garage spaces, 2 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Split-level design; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction; Built roughly 51–60 years ago; Attic unfinished
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Finished basement with walk-out access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with eating area/breakfast bar and pantry-closet; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Master bedroom on second level; Additional bedrooms on second level
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors in living areas and bedrooms; Ceramic tile in kitchen; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Accessible shower; Basement includes a bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Storm door(s); Window treatments; 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level; Gas dryer hookup; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $198k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $339 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $198k).
  • Recommended offer: $195k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#263 in IL, #4,883 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,267/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 919% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($195k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $64k; list at $198k implies a 207% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $195,030 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.35%
Cash-on-cash
7.34%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$156,702
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14341 University Ave 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,035 (-3%) 1mo $100,000 $97 80
14642 Dorchester Ave 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,013 (-5%) 1mo $170,000 $168 76
14731 Kimbark Ave 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,017 (-5%) 2mo $115,000 $113 76
14610 Blackstone Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,017 (-5%) 1mo $150,000 $147 72
14222 S Woodlawn Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,089 (+2%) 2mo $90,000 $83 72
14842 Shepard Dr 0.38mi 3/1.5 1,141 (+7%) 2mo $135,000 $118 69
14738 Blackstone Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,017 (-5%) 1mo $150,000 $147 69
1138 E 151st St 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,056 (-1%) 2mo $210,000 $199 68
14927 Cottage Grove Ave 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,095 (+3%) 1mo $250,000 $228 62
14315 Dobson Ave 0.36mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (+13%) 1mo $194,888 $162 54
15043 Meadow Ln 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,151 (+8%) 1mo $130,000 $113 54
14840 Langley Ave 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 936 (-12%) 2mo $37,000 $40 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.7%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$1,584
Equity at exit
$29,522
10-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
2.52×
Total profit
$84,066
Equity at exit
$17,119

Cash invested: $55,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60419

Home prices YoY
-25.7%
Rents YoY
9.7%
Active inventory
130
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,267 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,038
Tax from tax record
$331 /mo · $3,967/yr
Insurance
$82
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$476
Net cashflow
$339

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,837
Max offer price $198,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $451 -5% $395 +0% $339 +5% $283 +10% $227
Rent -10% $160 -5% $250 +0% $339 +5% $429 +10% $518
Rate -1.0pp $439 -0.5pp $390 base $339 +0.5pp $288 +1.0pp $236

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,500
Closing costs
$5,940
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14433 Woodlawn Ave Dolton, IL 4.0 2.0 1300 $2,000 $1.54 19d 1 0.16mi
14716 Dorchester Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 2.0 1250 $2,800 $2.24 20d 1 0.29mi
14610 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1017 $2,400 $2.36 7d 1 0.36mi
14738 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1017 $2,400 $2.36 10d 1 0.42mi
14500 Cottage Grove Ave Unit 3 Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,475 $1.48 25d 1 0.54mi
14817 Champlain Ave Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 980 $2,430 $2.48 22d 1 0.75mi
14916 Langley Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.5 1418 $2,500 $1.76 25d 1 0.78mi
409 Madison Ave Unit 2 Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,795 $1.50 4d 1 0.78mi
14305 Irving Ave Unit 2 Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 25d 1 0.82mi
15231 Hastings Dr Dolton, IL 4.0 1.5 1487 $2,146 $1.44 8d 1 0.85mi
1860 State St Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 18d 1 0.90mi
405 Clyde Ave Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 973 $2,300 $2.36 2d 1 0.95mi
101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 20d 1 1.20mi
101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 22d 1 1.20mi
101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 12d 1 1.20mi
250 Yates Ave Unit 1616 Dolton 1E Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 875 $1,465 $1.67 8d 1 1.23mi
1601 Downs Dr Unit 3S Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,400 $1.87 25d 1 1.23mi
660 Clyde Ave Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,750 $1.25 3d 1 1.27mi
15238 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 2W Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,500 $1.88 11d 1 1.33mi
15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL 4.0 1.5 1200 $3,400 $2.83 25d 1 1.38mi
15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL 4.0 1.5 1200 $3,400 $2.83 8d 1 1.38mi
659 Paxton Ave Calumet City, IL 3.0 2.0 1255 $2,461 $1.96 10d 1 1.38mi
14518 S Hoxie Ave Chicago, IL 3.0 1.5 1128 $2,450 $2.17 2d 1 1.42mi
460 Hoxie Ave Unit R Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,650 $2.06 8d 1 1.49mi
460 Hoxie Ave Unit R Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,650 $2.06 14d 1 1.49mi
14124 Manor Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 2.0 1440 $2,390 $1.66 25d 1 1.49mi
13841 Forest Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 930 $1,895 $2.04 25d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $198,000 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    status $198,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-05-21
    price $198,000
  4. 2026-05-21
    price $180,000
  5. 1987-02-17
    soldstatus $64,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,967 · $331/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,231 · $353/mo
Expected delta
+$264/yr (+$22/mo · 6.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,200
− Mortgage interest
−$11,091
− Property taxes
−$3,967
− Insurance
−$990
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,176
− Management
−$2,176
− Depreciation
−$5,760
Taxable income
$1,040
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$249
After-tax cash flow
$3,821/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — Dolton

Score
74/100
State rank
#263
US rank
#4883

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dolton, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
20,825
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
20,825
Household income
$57,887
Rent vs Own
27.4% rent · 72.6% own
Severe rent burden
919.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.88%
Current HPI
193.2346
Rent YoY
▲ 9.65%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+207.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $198,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $180,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1987-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $64,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2023): $3,967 · +90.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…