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122 Crescent Dr
C Composite 58.52
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$115,000

122 Crescent Dr · Ferriday, LA 71334
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,355 sqft · SingleFamily · 28 Days on market
0.32 ac lot $85/sqft · 56% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This three bedroom brick home is near Delta Chater School in Ferriday LA.

Key facts

  • 0.32 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Listed 28 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $177 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (5.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $109k (5.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#215 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime D+.
  • Concordia Parish (town): math 19% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #65 of 98 in LA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 27 units permitted in Concordia Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.8% local appreciation)).
  • Concordia County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $115k implies a 360% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,225 (5.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
8.14%
Cash-on-cash
6.60%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$73,696
List price
$115,000
Delta
56.05%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
109 Shady Ln 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,300 (-4%) 5mo $105,000 $81 77

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.84% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$43,340
Equity at exit
$71,123
10-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
4.69×
Total profit
$118,842
Equity at exit
$127,980

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71334

Home prices YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,092 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$35 /mo · $416/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$229
Net cashflow
$177

Break-even live

Break-even rent $868
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-21
    listed $115,000 Active 74-char remark
    Show marketing remark (74 chars)

    This three bedroom brick home is near Delta Chater School in Ferriday LA.

  2. 2024-06-18
    soldstatus $25,000
  3. 2015-08-07
    soldstatus $17,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$416 · $35/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$632 · $53/mo
Expected delta
+$217/yr (+$18/mo · 52.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,107
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$416
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,049
− Management
−$1,049
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$232
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$56
After-tax cash flow
$2,071/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Concordia Parish
NCES district ID
2200480
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -39.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -34.00%
Median HH income
$29,931
Composite
18.45/100
National rank
#8929
State rank
#65 of 98 in LA

Livability — Ferriday

Score
62/100
State rank
#215
US rank
#16581

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ferriday, LA
Population (ZIP)
9,382

Population outlook (Concordia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,933 people
By 2030
18,157 · -4.1%
By 2040
16,559 · -12.5%
By 2050
15,067 · -20.4%
By 2075
11,770 · -37.8%
By 2100
8,541 · -54.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Black 54% White 40% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Concordia

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.4) · D 34.8% · R 64.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-9.4pp toward R · 2008: -20.0pp · 2024: -29.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.4 2020: R+26.9 2016: R+24.8 2012: R+17.2 2008: R+20.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.84%
Current HPI
108.4427
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+557.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $115,000 MLSU
  • 2024-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 2015-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $17,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $416 · +22.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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