2742 Old Anson Rd · Abilene, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large home situated on an oversized double lot with endless potential. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a 3-car garage home has a storage shed and a Workshop. Inside, you'll find two spacious living areas along with a roomy kitchen and dining space designed for comfortable everyday living. Located in a desirable and growing area, this property offers space, function, and opportunity. Can be packaged with 2125 Oaklan DR.
Key facts
- Roomy kitchen
- Oversized double lot
- Storage shed
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: No municipal utility district
- Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage; Listing accepts Cash and Conventional terms
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 3 covered/garage spaces
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Individual gas meter; Individual water meter; Asphalt (street)
- Home design: Single-family residence; Attached property; Built in 1958
- Construction: Metal roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Chain-link fencing; Lot smaller than 0.5 acre (approx. 0.16 acre)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Vented exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on level 1)
- Flooring: Brick/Adobe; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Cable TV available; Two living areas; One dining area; One level
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $788 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 6.7% in Abilene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#142 in TX, #4,037 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, commute F.
- Abilene ISD (urban): math 32% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #575 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ortiz El (math 16% / reading 20%, grade F, #3,785 of 4,322 statewide, top 88%, 484 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 57% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 18% at this address vs 33% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Abilene ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+40.2%/yr); 86 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Taylor County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,420/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 662% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Taylor County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.86%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $144,890
- List price
- $170,000
- Delta
- 17.33%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2742 Old Anson Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,820 (0%) | 0mo | $170,000 | $93 | 100 |
| 1442 Lowden St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,872 (+3%) | 0mo | $250,000 | $134 | 69 |
| 2757 Old Anson Rd | 0.05mi | 3/3.0 | 1,567 (-14%) | 11mo | $140,000 | $89 | 61 |
| 1710 Jameson St | 0.57mi | 3/3.0 | 1,885 (+4%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $98 | 56 |
| 1634 Sandefer St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,647 (-10%) | 6mo | $199,000 | $121 | 49 |
| 2205 Ambler Ave Unit A & B | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,724 (-5%) | 12mo | $310,000 | $180 | 48 |
| 2425 Swenson St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,579 (-13%) | 13mo | $165,000 | $104 | 38 |
| 2789 Grape St | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,564 (-14%) | 18mo | $179,900 | $115 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $35,413
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- 29.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.23×
- Total profit
- $153,672
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79603
- Home prices YoY
- -32.5%
- Rents YoY
- 40.2%
- Active inventory
- 86
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,420 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$162 /mo · $1,947/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$508
- Net cashflow
- $788
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1732 Jameson St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1241 | $2,200 | $1.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1710 Jameson St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1885 | $3,300 | $1.75 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1638 Merchant St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1328 | $2,895 | $2.18 | 13d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3296 Sandefer St Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1360 | $1,950 | $1.43 | 13d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1481 Burger St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1330 | $2,400 | $1.80 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1209 Kirkwood St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1674 | $2,500 | $1.49 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1685 N Willis St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1349 | $1,800 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending 428-char remark
-
2026-05-15status Pending 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
Large home situated on an oversized double lot with endless potential. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a 3-car garage home has a storage shed and a Workshop. Inside, you'll find two spacious living areas along with a roomy kitchen and dining space designed for comfortable everyday living. Located in a desirable and growing area, this property offers space, function, and opportunity. Can be packaged with 2125 Oaklan DR.
-
2026-05-13$170,000 Active 428-char remark
-
2026-05-06$170,000 Active 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
Large home situated on an oversized double lot with endless potential. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a 3-car garage home has a storage shed and a Workshop. Inside, you'll find two spacious living areas along with a roomy kitchen and dining space designed for comfortable everyday living. Located in a desirable and growing area, this property offers space, function, and opportunity. Can be packaged with 2125 Oaklan DR.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,947 · $162/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,111 · $259/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,164/yr (+$97/mo · 59.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,046
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$1,947
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,324
- − Management
- −$2,324
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable income
- $7,133
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,712
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,739/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Abilene ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4807440
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,782
- Composite
- 27.71/100
- National rank
- #6909
- State rank
- #575 of 826 in TX
Livability — Abilene
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #4037
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Abilene, TX
- County
- Taylor County · 136,672 people
- City population
- 136,672
- Metro
- Abilene, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,548
- Household income
- $53,513
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 662.0
Population outlook (Taylor County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 145,270 people
- By 2030
- 150,050 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 159,417 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 168,883 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 194,436 · +33.8%
- By 2100
- 203,163 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 48% White 40% Two or more races 24% Black 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 44%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 25%
Political lean MEDSL · Taylor
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.8) · D 24.6% · R 74.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.2pp toward R · 2008: -45.6pp · 2024: -49.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.8 2020: R+45.3 2016: R+51.1 2012: R+53.6 2008: R+45.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.84%
- Current HPI
- 184.8875
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 40.19%
- Metro
- Abilene, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2026-06-16 Sold (MLS) — LARMLS
- 2026-05-16 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-05-15 Pending — LARMLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $170,000 NTREIS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $170,000 LARMLS
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,947 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…