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16995 SE 101st Court Rd
C+ Composite 63.82
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.2/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

16995 SE 101st Court Rd · The Villages, FL 34491
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 784 sqft · Manufactured public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1981 0.35 ac lot Est $100k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This big corner lot with mature landscaping is the perfect setting for this 2 bedroom 2 bath mobile home in Orange Blossom Hills. The bedrooms and living room has carpet and the bathrooms, kitchen, and hallway has linoleum. There is an outside laundry room on the back side with a concrete sitting area that is covered. On the front side of the home is a very long carport and a new handicap ramp with a nice landing. Three outbuildings, and one being fairly new gives you plenty of of storage area. At this price, please make your appointment soon because it will not last long.

Key facts

  • 0.35 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1981

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Homestead exempt; Furnished
  • HOA & community: No association indicated

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (2 spaces)
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Underground utilities; Water connected
  • Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One story
  • Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Awnings; Exterior storage; Corner lot; Paved lot/driveway; Oak trees on property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Mini-split cooling unit(s)
  • Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; Open floorplan; Split bedroom layout; Window treatments
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry room (outside)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $424 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 5.0% in The Villages — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#431 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 705 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $71k; list at $110k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
11.64%
Cash-on-cash
19.11%
DSCR
1.85
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$100,352
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16995 SE 101st Court Rd 0.00mi 2/2.0 784 (0%) 1mo $100,000 $128 99

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.6%
Equity multiple
1.30×
Total profit
$9,187
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
16.9%
Equity multiple
2.39×
Total profit
$42,811
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34491

Home prices YoY
-35.0%
Active inventory
705
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,488 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$63 /mo · $759/yr
Insurance
$46
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$312
Net cashflow
$424

Break-even live

Break-even rent $952
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9990 SE 166th St Summerfield, FL 3.0 2.0 962 $1,395 $1.45 13d 1 0.51mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-10
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-30
    listed $109,900 Active
  3. 2022-01-10
    soldstatus $71,000
  4. 1995-02-10
    soldstatus $32,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$759 · $63/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$912 · $76/mo
Expected delta
+$153/yr (+$13/mo · 20.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,855
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$759
− Insurance
−$1,347
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,428
− Management
−$1,428
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$3,538
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$849
After-tax cash flow
$4,234/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — The Villages

Score
70/100
State rank
#431
US rank
#7363

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Marion County · 315,796 people
City population
83,973
Metro
Ocala, FL
Population (ZIP)
33,318
Household income
$66,679
Rent vs Own
13.2% rent · 86.8% own
Severe rent burden
256.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 11% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.67%
Current HPI
200.0792
Rent YoY
Metro
Ocala, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+243.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-10 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $109,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-01-10 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
  • 1995-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $759 · +42.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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