1842 Doc Lindsey Rd · Alturas, FL 33841

$149,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,192 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 2006 2.12 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +20.5/30.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.5/10.0
• 1% rule +4.8/10.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

THIS IS A TWO+ ACRE PARCEL WITH 2 WELLS, SEPTIC TANK, TWO BARNS AND COMPLETELY FENCED WITH CHAIN-LINK FENCE. MOBILE HOME ON PROPERTY WAS DESTROYED BY HURRICANE. OWNER IS REMOVING IT AND DOWNED TREES ON PROPERTY.

Key facts

• 2.12 acre lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 2006

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (2.1% below list).
• Recommended offer: $147k (2.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#678 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 119 active listings in the ZIP; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $28k; list at $150k implies a 445% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $146,705 (2.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.98% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.87%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.63%
• DSCR: 1.25
• GRM: 8.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 28.4%
• Equity multiple: 3.24×
• Total profit: $94,158
• Equity at exit: $135,042

10-year hold

• IRR: 24.7%
• Equity multiple: 7.37×
• Total profit: $267,371
• Equity at exit: $291,223

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33841

• Home prices YoY: 7.7%
• Active inventory: 119
• Price-to-rent: 8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,467 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$786
• Tax from tax record: −$114 /mo · $1,362/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$308
• Net cashflow: $197

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,218

Max offer price $149,900

Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $282	-5% $239	+0% $197	+5% $154	+10% $112
Rent	-10% $81	-5% $139	+0% $197	+5% $255	+10% $313
Rate	-1.0pp $272	-0.5pp $235	base $197	+0.5pp $158	+1.0pp $119

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,475
• Closing costs: $4,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-03-03
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-03
   listed $149,900 Active
3. 2005-02-28
   soldstatus $27,500 212-char remark

   Show marketing remark (212 chars)

   THIS IS A TWO+ ACRE PARCEL WITH 2 WELLS, SEPTIC TANK, TWO BARNS AND COMPLETELY FENCED WITH CHAIN-LINK FENCE. MOBILE HOME ON PROPERTY WAS DESTROYED BY HURRICANE. OWNER IS REMOVING IT AND DOWNED TREES ON PROPERTY.

4. 2004-09-08
   listed $30,000 212-char remark

   Show marketing remark (212 chars)

   THIS IS A TWO+ ACRE PARCEL WITH 2 WELLS, SEPTIC TANK, TWO BARNS AND COMPLETELY FENCED WITH CHAIN-LINK FENCE. MOBILE HOME ON PROPERTY WAS DESTROYED BY HURRICANE. OWNER IS REMOVING IT AND DOWNED TREES ON PROPERTY.

5. 1989-09-01
   soldstatus $11,700

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,362 · $114/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,362 · $114/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,605
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,397
• − Property taxes: −$1,362
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,408
• − Management: −$1,408
• − Depreciation: −$4,361
• Taxable loss: −$81
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$19
• After-tax cash flow: $2,382/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Polk
• NCES district ID: 1201590
• Math proficiency: 39% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $43,979
• Composite: 34.74/100
• National rank: #5132
• State rank: #62 of 73 in FL

Livability — Alturas

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #678
• US rank: #14100

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Alturas, FL
• Population (ZIP): 8,268

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 752,975 people
• By 2030: 804,621 · +6.9%
• By 2040: 906,117 · +20.3%
• By 2050: 1,000,476 · +32.9%
• By 2075: 1,197,520 · +59.0%
• By 2100: 1,271,518 · +68.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: White 50% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 13% Black 9%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 32% Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 11% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 70% English-only · Spanish 30%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 26.92%
• Current HPI: 376.8183
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+1181.2% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-03 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-03 Listed $149,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2005-02-28 Sold (MLS) $27,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2004-09-08 Listed $30,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 1989-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,700 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,362 · +12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.