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309 Brown Bottom Ln
C+ Composite 62.4
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.4/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$105,000

309 Brown Bottom Ln · Cedar Bluff, VA 24609
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,024 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1961 5,227 sqft lot Est $118k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming and move in ready! This well maintained brick home offers 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. You will find beautiful laminate and tile flooring throughout, along with fresh paint that gives the home a bright, updated feel. The functional floor plan provides a cozy living area and spacious bedrooms, making it perfect for investors, first time buyers or downsizers! Outside, enjoy a fully fenced yard with chain link fencing, ideal for pets or outdoor activities. Additional features include a durable metal roof and a heat pump. Conveniently located in a quiet quaint neighborhood! This one is ready for new owners, schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Heat pump
  • Brick home

Tags

BRICK HOMELAMINATE AND TILE FLOORINGFULLY FENCED YARDMETAL ROOFHEAT PUMPQUIET NEIGHBORHOOD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential zoning
  • Construction: Brick construction; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump
  • Interior features: Dryer, Washer; Electric cooktop; Microwave; Refrigerator; Laminate and tile flooring; Heat pump heating
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $67 ($802/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (8.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (8.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#418 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Tazewell County Public School District (town): math 67% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #21 of 131 in VA (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Cedar Bluff Elementary (math 67% / reading 82%, grade A, #220 of 1,108 statewide, top 22%, 388 students, 83% FRL); Richlands Middle (math 58% / reading 71%, grade A-, #123 of 342 statewide, top 37%, 495 students, 83% FRL); Richlands High (math 68% / reading 87%, grade A-, #83 of 319 statewide, top 28%, 636 students, 82% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 47% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Tazewell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $946 of equity ($726 loan paydown + $220 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
  • Tazewell County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,611 (8.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.82%
Cash-on-cash
5.44%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$117,760
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
126 Brown Bottom Ln 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,067 (+4%) 3mo $47,500 $45 78
129 Indian Cir 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-2%) 22mo $115,000 $115 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.21% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.6%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$2,218
Equity at exit
$31,593
10-year hold
IRR
6.8%
Equity multiple
1.76×
Total profit
$22,355
Equity at exit
$38,868

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24609

Home prices YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$966 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$36 /mo · $427/yr
Insurance
$44
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$203
Net cashflow
$67

Break-even live

Break-even rent $882
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $105,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    remarks 642-char remark
  3. 2026-06-18
    listed $105,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$427 · $36/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$861 · $72/mo
Expected delta
+$434/yr (+$36/mo · 101.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥93°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,593
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$427
− Insurance
−$1,322
− Repairs & maintenance
−$927
− Management
−$927
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable loss
−$947
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$227
After-tax cash flow
$1,029/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tazewell County Public School District
NCES district ID
5103810
Math proficiency
67% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
78% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$37,003
Composite
60.16/100
National rank
#865
State rank
#21 of 131 in VA

Livability — Cedar Bluff

Score
61/100
State rank
#418
US rank
#17638

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cedar Bluff, VA
Population (ZIP)
6,848

Population outlook (Tazewell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,275 people
By 2030
35,719 · -6.7%
By 2040
30,875 · -19.3%
By 2050
26,798 · -30.0%
By 2075
19,286 · -49.6%
By 2100
13,631 · -64.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 0%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Tazewell

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.9) · D 15.3% · R 84.2%
2008→2024 swing
-36.0pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -68.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.9 2020: R+67.2 2016: R+66.3 2012: R+57.5 2008: R+32.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.21%
Current HPI
163.4788
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $105,000 SWVAR

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $427 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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