309 Brown Bottom Ln · Cedar Bluff, VA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- ARV discount +12.4/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming and move in ready! This well maintained brick home offers 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. You will find beautiful laminate and tile flooring throughout, along with fresh paint that gives the home a bright, updated feel. The functional floor plan provides a cozy living area and spacious bedrooms, making it perfect for investors, first time buyers or downsizers! Outside, enjoy a fully fenced yard with chain link fencing, ideal for pets or outdoor activities. Additional features include a durable metal roof and a heat pump. Conveniently located in a quiet quaint neighborhood! This one is ready for new owners, schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Heat pump
- Brick home
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential zoning
- Construction: Brick construction; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump
- Interior features: Dryer, Washer; Electric cooktop; Microwave; Refrigerator; Laminate and tile flooring; Heat pump heating
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $67 ($802/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (8.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $97k (8.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#418 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Tazewell County Public School District (town): math 67% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #21 of 131 in VA (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Cedar Bluff Elementary (math 67% / reading 82%, grade A, #220 of 1,108 statewide, top 22%, 388 students, 83% FRL); Richlands Middle (math 58% / reading 71%, grade A-, #123 of 342 statewide, top 37%, 495 students, 83% FRL); Richlands High (math 68% / reading 87%, grade A-, #83 of 319 statewide, top 28%, 636 students, 82% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 47% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Tazewell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $946 of equity ($726 loan paydown + $220 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
- Tazewell County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.44%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $117,760
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126 Brown Bottom Ln | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,067 (+4%) | 3mo | $47,500 | $45 | 78 |
| 129 Indian Cir | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-2%) | 22mo | $115,000 | $115 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.21% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $2,218
- Equity at exit
- $31,593
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $22,355
- Equity at exit
- $38,868
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24609
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $966 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $427/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$203
- Net cashflow
- $67
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $105,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 642-char remark
-
2026-06-18$105,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $427 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $861 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$434/yr (+$36/mo · 101.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥93°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,593
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$427
- − Insurance
- −$1,322
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$927
- − Management
- −$927
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable loss
- −$947
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$227
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,029/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tazewell County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103810
- Math proficiency
- 67% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,003
- Composite
- 60.16/100
- National rank
- #865
- State rank
- #21 of 131 in VA
Livability — Cedar Bluff
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #418
- US rank
- #17638
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cedar Bluff, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,848
Population outlook (Tazewell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,275 people
- By 2030
- 35,719 · -6.7%
- By 2040
- 30,875 · -19.3%
- By 2050
- 26,798 · -30.0%
- By 2075
- 19,286 · -49.6%
- By 2100
- 13,631 · -64.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 0%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Tazewell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+68.9) · D 15.3% · R 84.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.0pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -68.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+68.9 2020: R+67.2 2016: R+66.3 2012: R+57.5 2008: R+32.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.21%
- Current HPI
- 163.4788
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $105,000 SWVAR
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $427 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…