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406 Cherry St
C Composite 55.51
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0

$179,000

406 Cherry St · Camden, NJ 08103
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1910 1,002 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor and Handyman needed to bring this property back to life. End of the row unit in need of total rehab. Build your equity now! Sold in strictly as is condition.

Key facts

  • Ample cabinet space
  • Functional layout
  • Spacious living

Tags

FUNCTIONAL LAYOUTSPACIOUS LIVINGAMPLE CABINET SPACECONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service 120/240V; Natural gas available (heating and hot water); Cable TV available; Internet service (other)
  • Home design: Semi-detached home; Building winterized; Fee simple ownership; Major renovation completed in 2014; Property listed in excellent condition
  • Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Foundation: block and other
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Municipal trash service

Interior

  • Kitchen: ENERGY STAR refrigerator; Gas oven/range; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on main level, one on upper level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Combination kitchen and dining area; Eat-in kitchen with table space; Partial finished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas dryer; Laundry area in the basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $179k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $309 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (0.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $174k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#262 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Camden City School District (urban): math 3% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #472 of 472 in NJ (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,789/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1141% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.4%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $11k; list at $179k implies a 1527% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $173,630 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
8.36%
Cash-on-cash
7.39%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$92,904
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
621 Henry St 0.22mi 3/1.5 1,176 (0%) 4mo $120,000 $102 84
920 Newton Ave 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,176 (0%) 4mo $75,000 $64 83
312 Line St 0.21mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,280 (+9%) 8mo $54,000 $42 62
709 Berkley St 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,088 (-8%) 0mo $135,000 $124 60
1443 S 4th St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,210 (+3%) 16mo $68,000 $56 58
441 S 5th St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,072 (-9%) 15mo $85,000 $79 50
527 West St 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,344 (+14%) 18mo $219,000 $163 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.3%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-4,543
Equity at exit
$31,854
10-year hold
IRR
6.3%
Equity multiple
1.51×
Total profit
$25,391
Equity at exit
$24,495

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08103

Home prices YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
64
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,789 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$939
Tax from tax record
$91 /mo · $1,095/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$376
Net cashflow
$309

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,398
Max offer price $179,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,750
Closing costs
$5,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
609 Henry St Camden, NJ 3.0 1.0 1290 $1,600 $1.24 24d 1 0.25mi
457 Mechanic St Camden, NJ 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,950 $1.62 18d 1 0.32mi
440 Henry St Camden, NJ 3.0 1.5 1224 $2,200 $1.80 24d 1 0.41mi
708 Royden St Camden, NJ 3.0 1.0 1113 $1,595 $1.43 17d 1 0.43mi
537 Newton Ave Camden, NJ 2.0 1.0 1092 $1,500 $1.37 18d 1 0.48mi
537 Newton Ave Camden, NJ 2.0 1.0 1092 $1,500 $1.37 12d 1 0.48mi
727 Berkley St Camden, NJ 2.0 1.5 1008 $1,660 $1.65 24d 1 0.51mi
1502 S 9th St Camden, NJ 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,475 $1.40 19d 1 0.76mi
1759 S 4th St Unit B Camden, NJ 2.0 1.0 800 $1,500 $1.88 24d 1 0.81mi
1055 Kenwood Ave Camden, NJ 4.0 1.0 1088 $1,875 $1.72 24d 1 0.90mi
1 Market St Camden, NJ 3.0 1.0–2.0 1190 $2,456 $2.06 1d 15 0.97mi
527 Penn St Unit 1A Camden, NJ 2.0 1.0 800 $1,500 $1.88 18d 1 0.97mi
1455 Wildwood Ave Camden, NJ 3.0 1.5 1353 $1,900 $1.40 10d 1 1.07mi
1509 Park Blvd Camden, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 1075 $1,650 $1.53 24d 1 1.07mi
331 Point St Camden, NJ 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,900 $1.90 18d 1 1.12mi
1364 Kaighn Ave Camden, NJ 2.0 1.0 912 $1,485 $1.63 2d 1 1.15mi
1 Dock St Philadelphia, PA 3.0 1.0–3.5 1164 $10,341 $8.88 1d 18 1.39mi

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,000 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,000 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,000 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,000 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,000 Active 55 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,000 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,000 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,000 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,000 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $179,000 Active 46 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,000 Active 45 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $179,000 Active 44 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $187,000 Active 43 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $187,000 Active 42 DOM
  15. 2026-05-21
    listed $187,000 Active
  16. 2026-05-11
    soldstatus Closed
  17. 2026-05-01
    status Pending
  18. 2026-04-14
    historical Active Under Contract
  19. 2026-03-13
    listed $187,000 Active
  20. 2013-12-16
    soldstatus $11,000 Sold 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    Investor and Handyman needed to bring this property back to life. End of the row unit in need of total rehab. Build your equity now! Sold in strictly as is condition.

  21. 2013-12-16
    soldstatus $11,000 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    Investor and Handyman needed to bring this property back to life. End of the row unit in need of total rehab. Build your equity now! Sold in strictly as is condition.

  22. 2013-11-27
    status Under Contract 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    Investor and Handyman needed to bring this property back to life. End of the row unit in need of total rehab. Build your equity now! Sold in strictly as is condition.

  23. 2013-11-10
    historical 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    Investor and Handyman needed to bring this property back to life. End of the row unit in need of total rehab. Build your equity now! Sold in strictly as is condition.

  24. 2013-10-31
    historical 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    Investor and Handyman needed to bring this property back to life. End of the row unit in need of total rehab. Build your equity now! Sold in strictly as is condition.

  25. 2013-10-25
    price $11,500 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    Investor and Handyman needed to bring this property back to life. End of the row unit in need of total rehab. Build your equity now! Sold in strictly as is condition.

  26. 2013-09-25
    price $13,500 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    Investor and Handyman needed to bring this property back to life. End of the row unit in need of total rehab. Build your equity now! Sold in strictly as is condition.

  27. 2013-08-09
    listed $15,000 Active 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    Investor and Handyman needed to bring this property back to life. End of the row unit in need of total rehab. Build your equity now! Sold in strictly as is condition.

  28. 2013-08-09
    status Active 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    Investor and Handyman needed to bring this property back to life. End of the row unit in need of total rehab. Build your equity now! Sold in strictly as is condition.

  29. 2013-08-09
    listed $11,500 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    Investor and Handyman needed to bring this property back to life. End of the row unit in need of total rehab. Build your equity now! Sold in strictly as is condition.

  30. 2012-06-30
    historical
  31. 2012-03-01
    listed $11,000
  32. 2012-01-23
    historical
  33. 2011-05-25
    listed $23,900
  34. 2007-09-20
    soldstatus $69,950
  35. 2007-09-07
    soldstatus $69,950
  36. 2007-07-11
    historical
  37. 2007-06-09
    listed $69,950
  38. 2005-06-30
    soldstatus $46,500
  39. 2005-05-24
    listed $46,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,095 · $91/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,776 · $231/mo
Expected delta
+$1,681/yr (+$140/mo · 153.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,467
− Mortgage interest
−$10,027
− Property taxes
−$1,095
− Insurance
−$895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,717
− Management
−$1,717
− Depreciation
−$5,207
Taxable income
$808
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$194
After-tax cash flow
$3,511/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Camden City School District
NCES district ID
3402640
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$25,845
Composite
6.85/100
National rank
#9981
State rank
#472 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Camden

Score
70/100
State rank
#262
US rank
#7721

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Camden, NJ
County
Camden County · 407,624 people
City population
20,865
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
12,573
Household income
$36,793
Rent vs Own
65.2% rent · 34.8% own
Severe rent burden
1141.0

Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
507,964 people
By 2030
502,182 · -1.1%
By 2040
485,602 · -4.4%
By 2050
465,630 · -8.3%
By 2075
419,986 · -17.3%
By 2100
369,492 · -27.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 54% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 9% White 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 19% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 22% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Camden

2024 margin
Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.36%
Current HPI
162.557
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+302.2% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $187,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-11 Sold (MLS) BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-01 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-14 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $187,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-12-16 Sold (MLS) $11,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-12-16 Sold (MLS) $11,000 TREND
  • 2013-11-27 Pending TREND
  • 2013-11-10 Delisted TREND
  • 2013-10-31 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-10-25 Price Changed $11,500 TREND
  • 2013-09-25 Price Changed $13,500 TREND
  • 2013-08-09 Listed $15,000 TREND
  • 2013-08-09 Listed $11,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-08-09 Relisted TREND
  • 2012-06-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-03-01 Listed $11,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-01-23 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-05-25 Listed $23,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $69,950 Public Records
  • 2007-09-07 Sold (MLS) $69,950 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-07-11 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-06-09 Listed $69,950 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-06-30 Sold (MLS) $46,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-05-24 Listed $46,500 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

-1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,095 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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