48 6th St · McMechen, WV
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very nicely maintained, 2 bedroom, 1 story home with quick access to Rt. 2. Fenced yard and updated bath. Possible to finish a rec room in the basement.
Key facts
- Ranch style home
- Full-sized basement
- New windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $496 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#159 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Marshall County Schools (suburban): math 28% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #21 of 55 in WV (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marshall County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 145 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $45k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 145 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.27%
- DSCR
- 3.10
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $69,020
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 Logan St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 1,262 (+6%) | 4mo | $73,000 | $58 | 78 |
| 1214 Garfield St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,184 (-0%) | 6mo | $41,000 | $35 | 67 |
| 1109 Garfield St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,346 (+13%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $56 | 53 |
| 1682 Marshall St | 0.73mi | 2/1.5 | 1,129 (-5%) | 12mo | $80,000 | $71 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $24,322
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- 50.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.91×
- Total profit
- $61,900
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 26038
- Home prices YoY
- -19.0%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $468/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $496
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1113 Marshall St McMechen, WV | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2024-11-07status Pending
-
2024-09-23price $45,000
-
2024-08-28status Active
-
2024-08-10status Pending
-
2024-08-01price $50,000
-
2024-05-20$59,000 Active
-
2018-11-02soldstatus $28,500
-
2018-10-31soldstatus $28,500 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Very nicely maintained, 2 bedroom, 1 story home with quick access to Rt. 2. Fenced yard and updated bath. Possible to finish a rec room in the basement.
-
2018-02-13$34,500 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Very nicely maintained, 2 bedroom, 1 story home with quick access to Rt. 2. Fenced yard and updated bath. Possible to finish a rec room in the basement.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $468 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $468 · $39/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$468
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$960
- − Management
- −$960
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $5,558
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,334
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,622/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marshall County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400750
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,289
- Composite
- 26.91/100
- National rank
- #7086
- State rank
- #21 of 55 in WV
Livability — McMechen
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #159
- US rank
- #15224
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McMechen, WV
- City population
- 1,855
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,926
Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,387 people
- By 2030
- 29,242 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 26,806 · -11.8%
- By 2050
- 24,627 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 19,846 · -34.7%
- By 2100
- 15,169 · -50.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 16% Serbian 8% Italian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marshall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.0) · D 24.1% · R 74.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.5pp toward R · 2008: -12.6pp · 2024: -50.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.0 2020: R+49.6 2016: R+51.0 2012: R+28.6 2008: R+12.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.29%
- Current HPI
- 158.8278
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+30.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2024-11-07 Pending — WBOR
- 2024-09-23 Price Changed $45,000 WBOR
- 2024-08-28 Relisted — WBOR
- 2024-08-10 Pending — WBOR
- 2024-08-01 Price Changed $50,000 WBOR
- 2024-05-20 Listed $59,000 WBOR
- 2018-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $28,500 Public Records
- 2018-10-31 Sold (MLS) $28,500 WBOR
- 2018-02-13 Listed $34,500 WBOR
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $468 · +11.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…