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16511 Garfield Unit D40 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 76.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

16511 Garfield Unit D40 · Paramount, CA 90723
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 500 sqft · Manufactured · 115 Days on market
Built 1991 Good condition $178/sqft · 31% below area Est $128k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

55+ COMMUNITY -Welcome to this newer-built mobile home offering exceptional space, comfort, and convenience. Centrally located near major freeway access, shopping, dining, and everyday essentials, this home provides the perfect blend of accessibility and easy living. Step inside to a bright, open floor plan filled with natural light. This home offers one generously sized bedroom and one full bathroom, providing a comfortable and functional layout. Enjoy year-round comfort with central heating and air conditioning. Outside, there is parking for two cars side by side, along with nearby guest parking. The home is located within a well-maintained mobile home community that offers fantastic amenities, including a community pool, clubhouse, and on-site car wash area, enhancing the overall lifestyle and convenience. Space rent is $1,035 per month. This move-in-ready home offers great value and is a must-see. Schedule your private showing today!

Key facts

  • Clubhouse
  • Community pool
  • Major freeway access

Tags

DOUBLE-WIDE MOBILE HOMEMAJOR FREEWAY ACCESSCOMMUNITY POOLCLUBHOUSEON-SITE CAR WASH AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $89,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$128,077) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $922 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.7% vs local median 3.2% in Paramount — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#432 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Paramount Unified (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #416 of 517 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $80,990 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.19%
Cap rate
18.73%
Cash-on-cash
44.41%
DSCR
2.98
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$128,077
List price
$89,000
Delta
-30.51%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.0%
Equity multiple
2.55×
Total profit
$38,642
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
43.0%
Equity multiple
4.51×
Total profit
$87,362
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 90723

Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
51
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,946 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax est. 1.5%
$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$409
Net cashflow
$922

Break-even live

Break-even rent $779
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7029 Orange Ave Long Beach, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $2,519 $3.60 44d 1 0.52mi
1518 E Artesia Blvd Long Beach, CA 1.0 1.0 387 $1,795 $4.64 5d 3 0.71mi
2921 E Artesia Blvd Long Beach, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,495 $2.14 44d 1 0.87mi
7115 Somerset Blvd Unit C Paramount, CA 1.0 1.0 500 $2,000 $4.00 44d 1 0.93mi
7115 Somerset Blvd Unit A Paramount, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $2,250 $3.21 44d 1 0.93mi
6650 Myrtle Ave Long Beach, CA 1.0 400 $1,450 $3.62 44d 1 0.93mi
3101 E Artesia Blvd Long Beach, CA 1.0 1.0 560 $1,950 $3.48 5d 1 0.94mi
15334 Orizaba Ave Paramount, CA 1.0 350 $1,195 $3.41 7d 1 0.96mi
6315 Cherry Ave Long Beach, CA 1.0 1.0 750 $1,691 $2.25 17d 1 0.99mi
6813 Atlantic Ave Long Beach, CA 1.0 1.0 520 $1,925 $3.70 44d 1 1.07mi
3301 E Artesia Blvd Long Beach, CA 1.0 1.0 550 $1,595 $2.90 44d 1 1.08mi
2350 E Poppy St Long Beach, CA 1.0 1.0 500 $2,350 $4.70 44d 1 1.12mi
2051 E Harding St Long Beach, CA 1.0 1.0 542 $2,300 $4.24 44d 1 1.13mi
6651 Millmark Ave Unit A Long Beach, CA 1.0 1.0 487 $1,800 $3.70 44d 1 1.13mi
6651 Millmark Ave Unit A Long Beach, CA 1.0 1.0 487 $1,800 $3.70 5d 1 1.13mi
6546 Indiana Ave Unit 6546-O Long Beach, CA 1.0 1.0 535 $1,695 $3.17 44d 1 1.14mi
17045 Passage Ave Bellflower, CA 1.0 1.0 740 $2,175 $2.94 24d 1 1.22mi
6290 California Ave Unit C Long Beach, CA 1.0 1.0 500 $2,150 $4.30 44d 1 1.24mi
17050 Passage Ave Bellflower, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 828 $2,075 $2.51 21d 2 1.24mi
8633 Park St Unit 1/2 Bellflower, CA 2.0 1.0 536 $2,299 $4.29 44d 1 1.29mi
6479 Atlantic Ave Long Beach, CA 1.0 1.0 526 $1,838 $3.49 2d 5 1.31mi
6029 Cherry Ave Unit 1 Long Beach, CA 1.0 1.0 463 $1,695 $3.66 24d 1 1.32mi
500 E Poppy St Long Beach, CA 1.0 1.0 551 $1,875 $3.40 15d 1 1.47mi
454 E 63rd St Long Beach, CA 1.0 1.0 630 $2,300 $3.65 19d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 115 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 114 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 113 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 112 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 110 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 109 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 106 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 105 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 104 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,000 Active 101 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,000 Active 100 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,000 Active 99 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,000 Active 98 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,000 Active 97 DOM
  15. 2026-05-07
    status Active 951-char remark
    Show marketing remark (951 chars)

    55+ COMMUNITY -Welcome to this newer-built mobile home offering exceptional space, comfort, and convenience. Centrally located near major freeway access, shopping, dining, and everyday essentials, this home provides the perfect blend of accessibility and easy living. Step inside to a bright, open floor plan filled with natural light. This home offers one generously sized bedroom and one full bathroom, providing a comfortable and functional layout. Enjoy year-round comfort with central heating and air conditioning. Outside, there is parking for two cars side by side, along with nearby guest parking. The home is located within a well-maintained mobile home community that offers fantastic amenities, including a community pool, clubhouse, and on-site car wash area, enhancing the overall lifestyle and convenience. Space rent is $1,035 per month. This move-in-ready home offers great value and is a must-see. Schedule your private showing today!

  16. 2026-04-24
    status Pending Sale 951-char remark
    Show marketing remark (951 chars)

    55+ COMMUNITY -Welcome to this newer-built mobile home offering exceptional space, comfort, and convenience. Centrally located near major freeway access, shopping, dining, and everyday essentials, this home provides the perfect blend of accessibility and easy living. Step inside to a bright, open floor plan filled with natural light. This home offers one generously sized bedroom and one full bathroom, providing a comfortable and functional layout. Enjoy year-round comfort with central heating and air conditioning. Outside, there is parking for two cars side by side, along with nearby guest parking. The home is located within a well-maintained mobile home community that offers fantastic amenities, including a community pool, clubhouse, and on-site car wash area, enhancing the overall lifestyle and convenience. Space rent is $1,035 per month. This move-in-ready home offers great value and is a must-see. Schedule your private showing today!

  17. 2026-03-06
    status Active 951-char remark
    Show marketing remark (951 chars)

    55+ COMMUNITY -Welcome to this newer-built mobile home offering exceptional space, comfort, and convenience. Centrally located near major freeway access, shopping, dining, and everyday essentials, this home provides the perfect blend of accessibility and easy living. Step inside to a bright, open floor plan filled with natural light. This home offers one generously sized bedroom and one full bathroom, providing a comfortable and functional layout. Enjoy year-round comfort with central heating and air conditioning. Outside, there is parking for two cars side by side, along with nearby guest parking. The home is located within a well-maintained mobile home community that offers fantastic amenities, including a community pool, clubhouse, and on-site car wash area, enhancing the overall lifestyle and convenience. Space rent is $1,035 per month. This move-in-ready home offers great value and is a must-see. Schedule your private showing today!

  18. 2026-02-27
    status Pending Sale 951-char remark
    Show marketing remark (951 chars)

    55+ COMMUNITY -Welcome to this newer-built mobile home offering exceptional space, comfort, and convenience. Centrally located near major freeway access, shopping, dining, and everyday essentials, this home provides the perfect blend of accessibility and easy living. Step inside to a bright, open floor plan filled with natural light. This home offers one generously sized bedroom and one full bathroom, providing a comfortable and functional layout. Enjoy year-round comfort with central heating and air conditioning. Outside, there is parking for two cars side by side, along with nearby guest parking. The home is located within a well-maintained mobile home community that offers fantastic amenities, including a community pool, clubhouse, and on-site car wash area, enhancing the overall lifestyle and convenience. Space rent is $1,035 per month. This move-in-ready home offers great value and is a must-see. Schedule your private showing today!

  19. 2026-02-03
    listed $89,000 Active 951-char remark
    Show marketing remark (951 chars)

    55+ COMMUNITY -Welcome to this newer-built mobile home offering exceptional space, comfort, and convenience. Centrally located near major freeway access, shopping, dining, and everyday essentials, this home provides the perfect blend of accessibility and easy living. Step inside to a bright, open floor plan filled with natural light. This home offers one generously sized bedroom and one full bathroom, providing a comfortable and functional layout. Enjoy year-round comfort with central heating and air conditioning. Outside, there is parking for two cars side by side, along with nearby guest parking. The home is located within a well-maintained mobile home community that offers fantastic amenities, including a community pool, clubhouse, and on-site car wash area, enhancing the overall lifestyle and convenience. Space rent is $1,035 per month. This move-in-ready home offers great value and is a must-see. Schedule your private showing today!

  20. 2022-02-15
    status Pending Sale
  21. 2022-01-21
    historical Active Under Contract
  22. 2022-01-20
    historical
  23. 2021-12-28
    listed $40,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥90°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,351
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$1,335
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,868
− Management
−$1,868
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$10,260
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,463
After-tax cash flow
$8,604/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home is in good condition with a good layout and amenities. It is located in a well-maintained community and is ready for a new owner to move in.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Add a small outdoor seating area — Can increase both resale and rental value by adding a functional and attractive outdoor space.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Add a small outdoor seating area — Can increase both resale and rental value by adding a functional and attractive outdoor space.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Paramount Unified
NCES district ID
0629850
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$46,631
Composite
21.25/100
National rank
#8398
State rank
#416 of 517 in CA

Livability — Paramount

Score
64/100
State rank
#432
US rank
#14664

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C+ Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Paramount, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
52,050
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
52,050
Household income
$75,250
Rent vs Own
57.0% rent · 43.0% own
Severe rent burden
2420.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 26% Black 9% White 4% Asian 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 71%
Foreign-born
36% · Canada
Languages at home
29% English-only · Spanish 67% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -459.80%
Current HPI
478.1981
Rent YoY
▼ -0.99%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+122.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Pending CRMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2026-02-27 Pending CRMLS
  • 2026-02-03 Listed $89,000 CRMLS
  • 2022-02-15 Pending CRMLS
  • 2022-01-21 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2022-01-20 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2021-12-28 Listed $40,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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