🏷️ Likely Rental
16511 Garfield Unit D40 · Paramount, CA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
55+ COMMUNITY -Welcome to this newer-built mobile home offering exceptional space, comfort, and convenience. Centrally located near major freeway access, shopping, dining, and everyday essentials, this home provides the perfect blend of accessibility and easy living. Step inside to a bright, open floor plan filled with natural light. This home offers one generously sized bedroom and one full bathroom, providing a comfortable and functional layout. Enjoy year-round comfort with central heating and air conditioning. Outside, there is parking for two cars side by side, along with nearby guest parking. The home is located within a well-maintained mobile home community that offers fantastic amenities, including a community pool, clubhouse, and on-site car wash area, enhancing the overall lifestyle and convenience. Space rent is $1,035 per month. This move-in-ready home offers great value and is a must-see. Schedule your private showing today!
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Community pool
- Major freeway access
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $922 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.7% vs local median 3.2% in Paramount — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#432 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Paramount Unified (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #416 of 517 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.41%
- DSCR
- 2.98
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $128,077
- List price
- $89,000
- Delta
- -30.51%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.55×
- Total profit
- $38,642
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 43.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.51×
- Total profit
- $87,362
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 90723
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,946 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$409
- Net cashflow
- $922
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7029 Orange Ave Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,519 | $3.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1518 E Artesia Blvd Long Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 387 | $1,795 | $4.64 | 5d | 3 | 0.71mi |
| 2921 E Artesia Blvd Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,495 | $2.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 7115 Somerset Blvd Unit C Paramount, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $2,000 | $4.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 7115 Somerset Blvd Unit A Paramount, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,250 | $3.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 6650 Myrtle Ave Long Beach, CA | — | 1.0 | 400 | $1,450 | $3.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3101 E Artesia Blvd Long Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $1,950 | $3.48 | 5d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 15334 Orizaba Ave Paramount, CA | — | 1.0 | 350 | $1,195 | $3.41 | 7d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 6315 Cherry Ave Long Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,691 | $2.25 | 17d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 6813 Atlantic Ave Long Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 520 | $1,925 | $3.70 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3301 E Artesia Blvd Long Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,595 | $2.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2350 E Poppy St Long Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $2,350 | $4.70 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2051 E Harding St Long Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 542 | $2,300 | $4.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 6651 Millmark Ave Unit A Long Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 487 | $1,800 | $3.70 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 6651 Millmark Ave Unit A Long Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 487 | $1,800 | $3.70 | 5d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 6546 Indiana Ave Unit 6546-O Long Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 535 | $1,695 | $3.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 17045 Passage Ave Bellflower, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $2,175 | $2.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 6290 California Ave Unit C Long Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $2,150 | $4.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 17050 Passage Ave Bellflower, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 828 | $2,075 | $2.51 | 21d | 2 | 1.24mi |
| 8633 Park St Unit 1/2 Bellflower, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 536 | $2,299 | $4.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 6479 Atlantic Ave Long Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 526 | $1,838 | $3.49 | 2d | 5 | 1.31mi |
| 6029 Cherry Ave Unit 1 Long Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 463 | $1,695 | $3.66 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 500 E Poppy St Long Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 551 | $1,875 | $3.40 | 15d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 454 E 63rd St Long Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $2,300 | $3.65 | 19d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $89,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-05-07status Active 951-char remark
Show marketing remark (951 chars)
55+ COMMUNITY -Welcome to this newer-built mobile home offering exceptional space, comfort, and convenience. Centrally located near major freeway access, shopping, dining, and everyday essentials, this home provides the perfect blend of accessibility and easy living. Step inside to a bright, open floor plan filled with natural light. This home offers one generously sized bedroom and one full bathroom, providing a comfortable and functional layout. Enjoy year-round comfort with central heating and air conditioning. Outside, there is parking for two cars side by side, along with nearby guest parking. The home is located within a well-maintained mobile home community that offers fantastic amenities, including a community pool, clubhouse, and on-site car wash area, enhancing the overall lifestyle and convenience. Space rent is $1,035 per month. This move-in-ready home offers great value and is a must-see. Schedule your private showing today!
-
2026-04-24status Pending Sale 951-char remark
Show marketing remark (951 chars)
55+ COMMUNITY -Welcome to this newer-built mobile home offering exceptional space, comfort, and convenience. Centrally located near major freeway access, shopping, dining, and everyday essentials, this home provides the perfect blend of accessibility and easy living. Step inside to a bright, open floor plan filled with natural light. This home offers one generously sized bedroom and one full bathroom, providing a comfortable and functional layout. Enjoy year-round comfort with central heating and air conditioning. Outside, there is parking for two cars side by side, along with nearby guest parking. The home is located within a well-maintained mobile home community that offers fantastic amenities, including a community pool, clubhouse, and on-site car wash area, enhancing the overall lifestyle and convenience. Space rent is $1,035 per month. This move-in-ready home offers great value and is a must-see. Schedule your private showing today!
-
2026-03-06status Active 951-char remark
Show marketing remark (951 chars)
55+ COMMUNITY -Welcome to this newer-built mobile home offering exceptional space, comfort, and convenience. Centrally located near major freeway access, shopping, dining, and everyday essentials, this home provides the perfect blend of accessibility and easy living. Step inside to a bright, open floor plan filled with natural light. This home offers one generously sized bedroom and one full bathroom, providing a comfortable and functional layout. Enjoy year-round comfort with central heating and air conditioning. Outside, there is parking for two cars side by side, along with nearby guest parking. The home is located within a well-maintained mobile home community that offers fantastic amenities, including a community pool, clubhouse, and on-site car wash area, enhancing the overall lifestyle and convenience. Space rent is $1,035 per month. This move-in-ready home offers great value and is a must-see. Schedule your private showing today!
-
2026-02-27status Pending Sale 951-char remark
Show marketing remark (951 chars)
55+ COMMUNITY -Welcome to this newer-built mobile home offering exceptional space, comfort, and convenience. Centrally located near major freeway access, shopping, dining, and everyday essentials, this home provides the perfect blend of accessibility and easy living. Step inside to a bright, open floor plan filled with natural light. This home offers one generously sized bedroom and one full bathroom, providing a comfortable and functional layout. Enjoy year-round comfort with central heating and air conditioning. Outside, there is parking for two cars side by side, along with nearby guest parking. The home is located within a well-maintained mobile home community that offers fantastic amenities, including a community pool, clubhouse, and on-site car wash area, enhancing the overall lifestyle and convenience. Space rent is $1,035 per month. This move-in-ready home offers great value and is a must-see. Schedule your private showing today!
-
2026-02-03$89,000 Active 951-char remark
Show marketing remark (951 chars)
55+ COMMUNITY -Welcome to this newer-built mobile home offering exceptional space, comfort, and convenience. Centrally located near major freeway access, shopping, dining, and everyday essentials, this home provides the perfect blend of accessibility and easy living. Step inside to a bright, open floor plan filled with natural light. This home offers one generously sized bedroom and one full bathroom, providing a comfortable and functional layout. Enjoy year-round comfort with central heating and air conditioning. Outside, there is parking for two cars side by side, along with nearby guest parking. The home is located within a well-maintained mobile home community that offers fantastic amenities, including a community pool, clubhouse, and on-site car wash area, enhancing the overall lifestyle and convenience. Space rent is $1,035 per month. This move-in-ready home offers great value and is a must-see. Schedule your private showing today!
-
2022-02-15status Pending Sale
-
2022-01-21historical Active Under Contract
-
2022-01-20historical
-
2021-12-28$40,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥90°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,351
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,335
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,868
- − Management
- −$1,868
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $10,260
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,463
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,604/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This mobile home is in good condition with a good layout and amenities. It is located in a well-maintained community and is ready for a new owner to move in.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can attract more buyers and renters.
- Both Add a small outdoor seating area — Can increase both resale and rental value by adding a functional and attractive outdoor space.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Add a small outdoor seating area — Can increase both resale and rental value by adding a functional and attractive outdoor space. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paramount Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0629850
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,631
- Composite
- 21.25/100
- National rank
- #8398
- State rank
- #416 of 517 in CA
Livability — Paramount
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #432
- US rank
- #14664
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paramount, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 52,050
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,050
- Household income
- $75,250
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2420.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 26% Black 9% White 4% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 71%
- Foreign-born
- 36% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 29% English-only · Spanish 67% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -459.80%
- Current HPI
- 478.1981
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.99%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+122.5% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-04-24 Pending — CRMLS
- 2026-03-06 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-02-27 Pending — CRMLS
- 2026-02-03 Listed $89,000 CRMLS
- 2022-02-15 Pending — CRMLS
- 2022-01-21 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2022-01-20 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2021-12-28 Listed $40,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…