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16175 John Morris Road Site 25 #25
D+ Composite 48.89
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$136,995

16175 John Morris Road Site 25 #25 · Iona, FL 33908
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 490 sqft · Manufactured · 75 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to your perfect beachside escape! This cozy 1-bedroom, 1-bath home is located just a few miles away from beautiful Sanibel Island, offering the ideal combination of comfort, convenience, and coastal living. Whether you're enjoying a relaxing day on the sand or exploring the vibrant nearby shopping and dining options, this home puts everything you need right at your doorstep. Step outside to enjoy the community amenities and take advantage of the all-age-friendly environment. It's an ideal place for a peaceful lifestyle near the beach.

Key facts

  • Built 2026
  • Listed 75 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area approximately 490 (unit of measure implied); Address: 16175 John Morris Road Site 25 #25, Fort Myers, FL 33908
  • Financial info: List price: $136,995
  • HOA & community: HOA/community fee details not provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking details not provided
  • Security: Security details not provided
  • Utilities: Utility details not provided
  • Home design: Spec home; Single-story (site/unit address indicates manufactured/mobile site)
  • Construction: Construction year not provided; Construction materials and roof not provided; Foundation details not provided
  • Exterior features: Property details limited; parking and exterior specifics not provided

Interior

  • Kitchen: Included appliances not specified
  • Bedrooms: One bedroom
  • Flooring: Flooring details not provided
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: HVAC details not provided
  • Interior features: Open floor plan (studio-style living)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry details not provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $137k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $101 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (3.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $129k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.1% in Iona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#359 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 1244 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $947 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($129k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $128,775 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
7.18%
Cash-on-cash
3.17%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.7%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-19,617
Equity at exit
$20,426
10-year hold
IRR
-12.0%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-23,720
Equity at exit
$11,845

Cash invested: $38,359 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33908

Home prices YoY
-32.8%
Rents YoY
-1.2%
Active inventory
1244
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,327 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$718
Tax est. 1.5%
$171 /mo · $2,055/yr
Insurance
$57
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$101

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,198
Max offer price $136,995
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,249
Closing costs
$4,110
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $136,995 Active 75 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $136,995 Active 74 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $136,995 Active 73 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $136,995 Active 71 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $136,995 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $136,995 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $136,995 Active 59 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $136,995 Active 58 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,919
− Mortgage interest
−$7,674
− Property taxes
−$2,055
− Insurance
−$685
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,274
− Management
−$1,274
− Depreciation
−$3,985
Taxable loss
−$1,027
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$246
After-tax cash flow
$1,462/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This move-in-ready manufactured home offers a cozy and well-maintained living space with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed. Potential buyers and renters will appreciate the updated kitchen and curb appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/renters.
  • Both Adding a small outdoor seating area — A cozy outdoor space can increase the home's appeal and functionality.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive to potential buyers/renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/renters.
  • Both Adding a small outdoor seating area — A cozy outdoor space can increase the home's appeal and functionality.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive to potential buyers/renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Iona

Score
72/100
State rank
#359
US rank
#6253

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Iona, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
37,423
Household income
$75,396
Rent vs Own
28.3% rent · 71.7% own
Severe rent burden
1944.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -102.22%
Current HPI
209.7595
Rent YoY
▼ -1.18%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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