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Finch Plan 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 29.48
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.8/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.7/10.0
  • DSCR +0.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$329,999

Finch Plan · Mascotte, FL 34736
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,476 sqft · SingleFamily · 131 Days on market
Good condition 2-car garage $117/mo HOA · 5% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Finch is a thoughtfully designed single-story home offering 1,476 sq. ft. of optimized living space. From the welcoming foyer, you'll step into an open-concept dining and great room-perfect for gatherings and everyday living. The kitchen seamlessly connects to this space, featuring a central prep island, a walk-in corner pantry, and abundant natural light from a sliding glass door that opens to the back patio. The private primary suite is tucked away on one side of the home, opposite two secondary bedrooms and a full bath. The primary bath includes dual vanities, a large shower, a spacious walk-in closet, and a convenient linen closet.

Key facts

  • Central prep island
  • Open-concept dining
  • Great room

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT DININGGREAT ROOMCENTRAL PREP ISLANDWALK-IN CORNER PANTRYBACK PATIOPRIVATE PRIMARY SUITE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $329,999 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $346,556.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $330k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-687 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $247k (25.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (30.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $231k (30.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#405 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Groveland Elementary School (math 30% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,854 of 2,144 statewide, top 87%, 744 students, 63% FRL); Gray Middle School (math 45% / reading 45%, grade D, #310 of 571 statewide, top 56%, 1,148 students, 47% FRL); South Lake High School (math 36% / reading 39%, grade F, #336 of 667 statewide, top 51%, 2,169 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 785 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 28d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $231,057 (30.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.67%
Cap rate
3.92%
Cash-on-cash
-8.49%
DSCR
0.62
GRM
12.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$346,556
List price
$329,999
Delta
-4.78%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
233 Streamwater Way 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,476 (0%) 1mo $336,520 $228 96
379 Cornerstone Dr 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,455 (-1%) 1mo $294,574 $202 90
7550 Headwaters Ct 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,429 (-3%) 14mo $342,490 $240 78
387 Cornerstone Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,603 (+9%) 1mo $309,214 $193 78
390 Cornerstone Dr 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,603 (+9%) 1mo $333,314 $208 77
7479 Sandstone Dr 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,555 (+5%) 13mo $339,990 $219 72
7467 Sandstone Dr 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,555 (+5%) 13mo $350,000 $225 71
7441 Capstone Dr 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,429 (-3%) 11mo $322,265 $226 70
407 Oak Flat Aly 0.48mi 3/2.5 1,573 (+7%) 4mo $321,980 $205 61
7327 Capstone Dr 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,603 (+9%) 10mo $310,000 $193 56
7212 Big Cedar Aly 0.47mi 3/2.5 1,573 (+7%) 14mo $297,154 $189 53
7252 Big Cedar Aly 0.43mi 3/2.5 1,573 (+7%) 18mo $342,097 $217 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-32.8%
Equity multiple
-0.06×
Total profit
$-102,833
Equity at exit
$51,673
10-year hold
IRR
-48.0%
Equity multiple
-0.62×
Total profit
$-157,614
Equity at exit
$29,964

Cash invested: $97,036 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
15 active · 21 under contract
Months of supply
11.2 mo (9%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$339,490 ($212/sqft)
Median days on market
94 d
This list price
33% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+10.7% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 34736

Home prices YoY
-22.5%
Rents YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
785
Price-to-rent
11.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,311 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,817
Tax est. 1.5%
$433 /mo · $5,198/yr
Insurance
$144
HOA
$117
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$485
Net cashflow
$-687

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,180
Max offer price $247,201
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-447 -5% $-567 +0% $-687 +5% $-806 +10% $-926
Rent -10% $-869 -5% $-778 +0% $-687 +5% $-595 +10% $-504
Rate -1.0pp $-512 -0.5pp $-598 base $-687 +0.5pp $-776 +1.0pp $-868

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$86,639
Closing costs
$10,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7629 Waterscape Dr Groveland, FL 3.0 2.5 1404 $1,950 $1.39 30d 1 0.13mi
7633 Waterscape DR Groveland, FL 3.0 2.5 1558 $2,000 $1.28 10d 1 0.13mi
7412 Capstone Dr Groveland, FL 4.0 2.0 1848 $2,400 $1.30 10d 1 0.33mi
7201 Big Cedar Aly Groveland, FL 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,000 $1.33 119d 1 0.47mi
338 Ridgemark Ave Groveland, FL 4.0 2.0 1824 $2,300 $1.26 100d 1 0.51mi
253 Luxmore Rd Groveland, FL 3.0 2.0 1547 $2,100 $1.36 27d 1 0.68mi
2009 Sloans Outlook Dr Groveland, FL 3.0 2.0 1670 $2,300 $1.38 5d 1 1.17mi
6422 Quartet St Unit Na Mascotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1766 $2,395 $1.36 7d 1 1.35mi
6337 Chorus Dr Groveland, FL 3.0 2.0 1772 $2,250 $1.27 119d 1 1.43mi

Property features AI

Finance

Financial info
List price $329,999

Exterior

Parking
2 total parking spaces2-car garage
Home design
Single-family new construction (Finch plan)
Exterior features
Located at 7677 Gemstone St, Groveland FL 34736Living area approximately 1,476

Interior

Bedrooms
3 bedrooms
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Interior features
New construction Plan: Finch

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-24
    days on market $329,999 Active 131 DOM
  2. 2026-09-23
    days on market $329,999 Active 130 DOM
  3. 2026-09-22
    days on market $329,999 Active 129 DOM
  4. 2026-09-21
    days on market $329,999 Active 128 DOM
  5. 2026-09-20
    days on market $329,999 Active 127 DOM
  6. 2026-09-19
    days on market $329,999 Active 126 DOM
  7. 2026-09-18
    days on market $329,999 Active 125 DOM
  8. 2026-09-17
    days on market $329,999 Active 124 DOM
  9. 2026-09-16
    days on market $329,999 Active 123 DOM
  10. 2026-09-15
    days on market $329,999 Active 122 DOM
  11. 2026-09-14
    days on market $329,999 Active 121 DOM
  12. 2026-09-13
    days on market $329,999 Active 120 DOM
  13. 2026-09-12
    days on market $329,999 Active 119 DOM
  14. 2026-09-11
    days on market $329,999 Active 118 DOM
  15. 2026-09-05
    days on market $329,999 Active 112 DOM
  16. 2026-09-04
    days on market $329,999 Active 111 DOM
  17. 2026-09-03
    days on market $329,999 Active 110 DOM
  18. 2026-08-31
    days on market $329,999 Active 107 DOM
  19. 2026-08-30
    days on market $329,999 Active 106 DOM
  20. 2026-08-29
    days on market $329,999 Active 105 DOM
  21. 2026-08-28
    days on market $329,999 Active 104 DOM
  22. 2026-08-27
    days on market $329,999 Active 103 DOM
  23. 2026-08-25
    days on market $329,999 Active 101 DOM
  24. 2026-08-24
    days on market $329,999 Active 100 DOM
  25. 2026-08-22
    days on market $329,999 Active 98 DOM
  26. 2026-08-21
    days on market $329,999 Active 97 DOM
  27. 2026-08-20
    days on market $329,999 Active 96 DOM
  28. 2026-08-19
    days on market $329,999 Active 95 DOM
  29. 2026-08-18
    days on market $329,999 Active 94 DOM
  30. 2026-08-17
    days on market $329,999 Active 93 DOM
  31. 2026-08-16
    days on market $329,999 Active 92 DOM
  32. 2026-08-15
    days on market $329,999 Active 91 DOM
  33. 2026-08-14
    days on market $329,999 Active 90 DOM
  34. 2026-08-13
    days on market $329,999 Active 89 DOM
  35. 2026-08-12
    days on market $329,999 Active 88 DOM
  36. 2026-08-11
    days on market $329,999 Active 87 DOM
  37. 2026-08-10
    days on market $329,999 Active 86 DOM
  38. 2026-08-09
    days on market $329,999 Active 85 DOM
  39. 2026-08-08
    days on market $329,999 Active 84 DOM
  40. 2026-08-06
    days on market $329,999 Active 82 DOM
  41. 2026-08-05
    days on market $329,999 Active 81 DOM
  42. 2026-08-04
    days on market $329,999 Active 80 DOM
  43. 2026-08-03
    days on market $329,999 Active 79 DOM
  44. 2026-07-31
    days on market $329,999 Active 76 DOM
  45. 2026-07-30
    days on market $329,999 Active 75 DOM
  46. 2026-07-30
    days on market $329,999 Active 74 DOM
  47. 2026-07-28
    days on market $329,999 Active 73 DOM
  48. 2026-07-26
    days on market $329,999 Active 71 DOM
  49. 2026-07-24
    days on market $329,999 Active 69 DOM
  50. 2026-07-23
    days on market $329,999 Active 68 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,727
− Mortgage interest
−$19,413
− Property taxes
−$5,198
− Insurance
−$1,733
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,218
− Management
−$2,218
− HOA
−$1,404
− Depreciation
−$10,082
Taxable loss
−$14,539
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,489
After-tax cash flow
$-4,750/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $7,380–$22,140 screening

This single-story home is in good condition with a well-maintained exterior and interior. It offers a good balance of functionality and aesthetics, making it a solid investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Resale Kitchen backsplash — Improves kitchen functionality and aesthetics
  • Resale Primary bath vanity upgrade — Enhances primary bathroom functionality and aesthetics

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 38/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Groveland Elementary School F FL #1,854/2,144 Nat'l #26,096/41,679 Middle Gray Middle School D FL #310/571 Nat'l #4,622/14,009 High South Lake High School F FL #336/667 Nat'l #8,937/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake
NCES district ID
1201050
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,632
Composite
42.05/100
National rank
#3327
State rank
#37 of 73 in FL
B Composite livability gradescore 71/100

Livability — Mascotte

Score
71/100
State rank
#405
US rank
#7156

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mascotte, FL
County
Lake County · 386,640 people
City population
33,565
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
28,001
Household income
$90,545
Rent vs Own
11.3% rent · 88.7% own
Severe rent burden
0% of renters

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
386,640 people
By 2030
417,107 · +7.9%
By 2040
476,676 · +23.3%
By 2050
531,296 · +37.4%
By 2075
648,303 · +67.7%
By 2100
698,530 · +80.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 17% Black 15% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 15% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Hispanic 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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