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4 Oxford Ln
B Composite 71.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$215,000

4 Oxford Ln · Bella Vista, AR 72714
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,282 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1989 0.26 ac lot Est $278k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3BR/2BA traditional home on a flat, level cul-de-sac lot in Bella Vista! Perfect for outdoor enthusiasts: located near premier mountain biking trails, just 2.3 miles from the Oz Trails bike lift, and within 1.5 miles of Lake Rayburn and Lake Ann. Enjoy seasonal golf course views right from home, with a shopping center under 1.5 miles away. Features a desirable split floor plan, 2-car garage, and concrete driveway. Access to amazing POA amenities like community pools and pickle ball courts.

Key facts

  • Cul-de-sac lot
  • Oz trails bike lift
  • Lake rayburn

Tags

CUL-DE-SAC LOTMOUNTAIN BIKING TRAILSOZ TRAILS BIKE LIFTLAKE RAYBURNLAKE ANNGOLF COURSE VIEWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: HOA fees billed monthly; Community features include clubhouse, fitness center, golf, playground, pool, recreation area, sauna, tennis courts, lake, trails/paths, biking, shopping, park, and proximity to fire station

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 2 covered parking spaces
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic available (septic tank); Propane available; Cable available; Recycling collection
  • Home design: Single-story home; Residential zoning; Entry on crawlspace; Built 25+ years ago
  • Construction: Brick, block, concrete, and wood siding construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation
  • Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Covered patio/porch; Deck; Porch; Lake access: Lake Ann; Located in a subdivision; Near park; Hardwood trees; Level lot; Cul-de-sac lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Range hood; Disposal; Refrigerator; Plumbed for ice maker
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning; Heat pump cooling
  • Interior features: Attic; Ceiling fans; Split-bedroom layout; Storage
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $431 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.6% in Bella Vista — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#111 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Bentonville School District (urban): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #3 of 238 in AR (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 484 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $215,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
8.70%
Cash-on-cash
8.58%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$278,194
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11 Oxford Ln 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,244 (-3%) 13mo $273,100 $220 83
12 Horatio Ln 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,316 (+3%) 1mo $285,000 $217 70
1 Brighstone Ln 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,330 (+4%) 3mo $285,000 $214 57
4 Horatio Ln 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,323 (+3%) 16mo $255,000 $193 55
2 Witney Ln 0.36mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,143 (-11%) 7mo $314,900 $276 54
56 Elizabeth Dr 0.62mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,380 (+8%) 1mo $290,000 $210 53
6 Iffley Ln 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,451 (+13%) 9mo $370,000 $255 50
6 Tibberton Circle Dr 0.64mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,404 (+10%) 12mo $255,000 $182 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.3%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$35,494
Equity at exit
$77,735
10-year hold
IRR
14.7%
Equity multiple
2.85×
Total profit
$111,582
Equity at exit
$106,744

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72714

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
484
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,297 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$167 /mo · $2,001/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$482
Net cashflow
$431

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,752
Max offer price $215,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $552 -5% $491 +0% $431 +5% $370 +10% $309
Rent -10% $249 -5% $340 +0% $431 +5% $521 +10% $612
Rate -1.0pp $539 -0.5pp $485 base $431 +0.5pp $375 +1.0pp $318

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4 Kemble Cir Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1376 $1,850 $1.34 25d 1 0.83mi
2 William Ln Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1712 $1,900 $1.11 23d 1 1.11mi
2 William Ln Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1712 $1,850 $1.08 16d 1 1.11mi
9 August Ln Unit 1363327P Bella Vista, AR 2.0 1.5 1173 $3,153 $2.69 16d 1 1.11mi
1 Endon Cir Bella Vista, AR 2.0 1.5 1040 $1,295 $1.25 15d 1 1.14mi
6 Connie Ln Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1440 $2,250 $1.56 25d 1 1.20mi
10 Riordan Rd Unit 1221880P Bella Vista, AR 2.0 2.0 882 $4,248 $4.82 25d 1 1.37mi
4 Sibsey Cir Unit 1230868P Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1765 $3,469 $1.97 23d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    statusdays on market $215,000 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $215,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $215,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-05-26
    listed $215,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,001 · $167/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,001 · $167/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,561
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$2,001
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,205
− Management
−$2,205
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable income
$1,777
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$426
After-tax cash flow
$4,740/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bentonville School District
NCES district ID
0503060
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$66,721
Composite
51.85/100
National rank
#1661
State rank
#3 of 238 in AR

Livability — Bella Vista

Score
67/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#11129

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bella Vista, AR
County
Benton County · 259,241 people
City population
31,638
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
Population (ZIP)
14,350
Household income
$103,125
Rent vs Own
13.2% rent · 86.8% own
Severe rent burden
61.0

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
318,683 people
By 2030
353,481 · +10.9%
By 2040
425,280 · +33.4%
By 2050
497,239 · +56.0%
By 2075
662,114 · +107.8%
By 2100
776,431 · +143.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.38%
Current HPI
307.5796
Rent YoY
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $215,000 NWARMLS

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,001 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…