13 E Wind Dr · West Ocean City, MD
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.51%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$339,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering over 1,800 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space. Brimming with charm and functionality, this coastal retreat features two inviting living areas plus a generously sized sunroom—perfect for entertaining, relaxing, or creating your ideal flex space. The heart of the home is the bright, open kitchen, showcasing crisp white cabinetry, granite countertops, and plenty of workspace for your inner chef. The rear living room is a true showstopper, complete with a pitched ceiling and a cozy whitewashed brick fireplace that adds warmth and character. The home maintains separation of space with the primary suite on one side while the secondary bedrooms reside on the opposite side of the home. Enjoy a truly carefree lifestyle in this amenity-rich community where lawn care, trash, and snow removal are all handled for you. Spend your free time at the community pool, on the sport court, or on the beach as this home is Located just minutes from grocery stores, restaurants, local bars, and the coastal attractions of downtown Ocean City—plus easy access to boating and fishing—this home offers the best of low-maintenance living in a prime location.
Key facts
- Community pool
- Bright open kitchen
- Granite countertops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $340k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $542 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $340k).
- Recommended offer: $299k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 2.6% in West Ocean City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#69 in MD, #2,499 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, cost of living D-.
- Worcester County Public Schools (town): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #6 of 24 in MD (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 315 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 354 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,493/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($90k/yr) (locally 551% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Worcester County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 234 days — a 12% lower offer ($299k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $140k; list at $340k implies a 143% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 234 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.83%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $332,585
- List price
- $339,900
- Delta
- 2.20%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-20,595
- Equity at exit
- $50,680
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $26,391
- Equity at exit
- $29,388
Cash invested: $95,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21811
- Home prices YoY
- -29.0%
- Active inventory
- 315
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,493 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,782
- Tax from tax record
- −$198 /mo · $2,377/yr
- Insurance
- −$142
- HOA
- −$95
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$733
- Net cashflow
- $542
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $734 | -5% $638 | +0% $542 | +5% $446 | +10% $349 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $266 | -5% $404 | +0% $542 | +5% $680 | +10% $818 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $713 | -0.5pp $628 | base $542 | +0.5pp $454 | +1.0pp $364 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $84,975
- Closing costs
- $10,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 White Crane Dr Berlin, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1900 | $3,200 | $1.68 | 22d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 13002 Bowline Ln #5 Ocean City, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2160 | $3,500 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $95 · $1,140/yr
- Likely covers
- trashlandscapingsnow removalpool
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $339,900 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $339,900 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $339,900 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $339,900 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $339,900 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $339,900 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $339,900 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $339,900 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $339,900 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $339,900 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $339,900 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $339,900 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $339,900 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $339,900 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $339,900 1239-char remark
Show marketing remark (1239 chars)
Welcome to this delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering over 1,800 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space. Brimming with charm and functionality, this coastal retreat features two inviting living areas plus a generously sized sunroom—perfect for entertaining, relaxing, or creating your ideal flex space. The heart of the home is the bright, open kitchen, showcasing crisp white cabinetry, granite countertops, and plenty of workspace for your inner chef. The rear living room is a true showstopper, complete with a pitched ceiling and a cozy whitewashed brick fireplace that adds warmth and character. The home maintains separation of space with the primary suite on one side while the secondary bedrooms reside on the opposite side of the home. Enjoy a truly carefree lifestyle in this amenity-rich community where lawn care, trash, and snow removal are all handled for you. Spend your free time at the community pool, on the sport court, or on the beach as this home is Located just minutes from grocery stores, restaurants, local bars, and the coastal attractions of downtown Ocean City—plus easy access to boating and fishing—this home offers the best of low-maintenance living in a prime location.
-
2025-10-27$349,900 Active 1239-char remark
Show marketing remark (1239 chars)
Welcome to this delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering over 1,800 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space. Brimming with charm and functionality, this coastal retreat features two inviting living areas plus a generously sized sunroom—perfect for entertaining, relaxing, or creating your ideal flex space. The heart of the home is the bright, open kitchen, showcasing crisp white cabinetry, granite countertops, and plenty of workspace for your inner chef. The rear living room is a true showstopper, complete with a pitched ceiling and a cozy whitewashed brick fireplace that adds warmth and character. The home maintains separation of space with the primary suite on one side while the secondary bedrooms reside on the opposite side of the home. Enjoy a truly carefree lifestyle in this amenity-rich community where lawn care, trash, and snow removal are all handled for you. Spend your free time at the community pool, on the sport court, or on the beach as this home is Located just minutes from grocery stores, restaurants, local bars, and the coastal attractions of downtown Ocean City—plus easy access to boating and fishing—this home offers the best of low-maintenance living in a prime location.
-
2003-01-03soldstatus $140,000
-
1999-04-29soldstatus $107,000
-
1991-06-11soldstatus $88,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,377 · $198/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,041 · $253/mo
- Expected delta
- +$664/yr (+$55/mo · 27.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 51% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,910
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,040
- − Property taxes
- −$2,377
- − Insurance
- −$1,700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,353
- − Management
- −$3,353
- − HOA
- −$1,140
- − Depreciation
- −$9,888
- Taxable income
- $1,060
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$254
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,248/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Worcester County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400720
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -20.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,748
- Composite
- 32.6/100
- National rank
- #5672
- State rank
- #6 of 24 in MD
Livability — West Ocean City
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #69
- US rank
- #2499
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Ocean City, MD
- County
- Worcester County · 35,603 people
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,377
- Household income
- $90,082
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 551.0
Population outlook (Worcester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 51,363 people
- By 2030
- 51,191 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 50,459 · -1.8%
- By 2050
- 49,451 · -3.7%
- By 2075
- 48,533 · -5.5%
- By 2100
- 44,223 · -13.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Worcester
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.0) · D 38.0% · R 60.0% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.5pp toward R · 2008: -15.5pp · 2024: -22.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+27.9 2012: R+18.3 2008: R+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.52%
- Current HPI
- 292.9004
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+284.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $339,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-27 Listed $349,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2003-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 1999-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $107,000 Public Records
- 1991-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $88,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,377 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…