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18087 Gable St
D- Composite 38.62
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$167,900

18087 Gable St · Detroit, MI 48234
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 950 sqft · Townhouse public records · 89 Days on market
Built 1926 4,356 sqft lot $177/sqft · 306% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fully renovated 5-bedroom, 2.5-bath home at 18087 Gable Street. Clean, move-in ready, and updated throughout with modern finishes, fresh paint, new flooring, and renovated kitchen and baths. Functional layout, comfortable bedrooms, and well-maintained inside and out. Ideal for owner-occupants or investors looking for a turnkey property. Schedule your showing today.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1926
  • Listed 89 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $168k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-6 ($-76/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $167k (0.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (25.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $125k (25.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $7k; list at $168k implies a 2333% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $125,339 (25.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
6.25%
Cash-on-cash
-0.16%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$68,208
List price
$167,900
Delta
146.16%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.1%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-22,826
Equity at exit
$25,034
10-year hold
IRR
0.2%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$831
Equity at exit
$14,517

Cash invested: $47,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48234

Home prices YoY
-11.9%
Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
226
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,253 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$880
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $553/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$-6

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,261
Max offer price $166,779
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $89 -5% $41 +0% $-6 +5% $-54 +10% $-101
Rent -10% $-105 -5% $-56 +0% $-6 +5% $43 +10% $93
Rate -1.0pp $78 -0.5pp $36 base $-6 +0.5pp $-50 +1.0pp $-94

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,975
Closing costs
$5,037
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 979 $975 $1.00 22d 1 0.45mi
18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 979 $975 $1.00 44d 1 0.45mi
18891 Moenart St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 870 $1,195 $1.37 17d 1 0.51mi
19260 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 5d 1 0.62mi
19162 Conley St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 44d 1 0.65mi
19415 Gable St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,373 $1.37 25d 1 0.67mi
19361 Moenart St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 24d 1 0.72mi
7533 Quinn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 44d 1 0.86mi
19171 Cliff St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 0.87mi
19450 Fenelon St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,384 $1.30 5d 1 0.89mi
18662 Sunset St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 726 $1,250 $1.72 18d 1 0.91mi
19691 Cliff St #1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,050 $1.24 5d 1 1.10mi
20263 Caldwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 909 $1,350 $1.49 17d 1 1.22mi
19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 5d 1 1.41mi
19360 Revere St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,250 $1.19 25d 1 1.42mi
19930 Binder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 17d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-03-07
    price $167,900 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Fully renovated 5-bedroom, 2.5-bath home at 18087 Gable Street. Clean, move-in ready, and updated throughout with modern finishes, fresh paint, new flooring, and renovated kitchen and baths. Functional layout, comfortable bedrooms, and well-maintained inside and out. Ideal for owner-occupants or investors looking for a turnkey property. Schedule your showing today.

  2. 2026-03-06
    price $167,900 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Fully renovated 5-bedroom, 2.5-bath home at 18087 Gable Street. Clean, move-in ready, and updated throughout with modern finishes, fresh paint, new flooring, and renovated kitchen and baths. Functional layout, comfortable bedrooms, and well-maintained inside and out. Ideal for owner-occupants or investors looking for a turnkey property. Schedule your showing today.

  3. 2026-03-06
    price $167,900
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Fully renovated 5-bedroom, 2.5-bath home at 18087 Gable Street. Clean, move-in ready, and updated throughout with modern finishes, fresh paint, new flooring, and renovated kitchen and baths. Functional layout, comfortable bedrooms, and well-maintained inside and out. Ideal for owner-occupants or investors looking for a turnkey property. Schedule your showing today.

  4. 2026-02-28
    listed $199,900 Active 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Fully renovated 5-bedroom, 2.5-bath home at 18087 Gable Street. Clean, move-in ready, and updated throughout with modern finishes, fresh paint, new flooring, and renovated kitchen and baths. Functional layout, comfortable bedrooms, and well-maintained inside and out. Ideal for owner-occupants or investors looking for a turnkey property. Schedule your showing today.

  5. 2026-02-28
    listed $199,900 Active 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Fully renovated 5-bedroom, 2.5-bath home at 18087 Gable Street. Clean, move-in ready, and updated throughout with modern finishes, fresh paint, new flooring, and renovated kitchen and baths. Functional layout, comfortable bedrooms, and well-maintained inside and out. Ideal for owner-occupants or investors looking for a turnkey property. Schedule your showing today.

  6. 2026-02-28
    listed $199,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Fully renovated 5-bedroom, 2.5-bath home at 18087 Gable Street. Clean, move-in ready, and updated throughout with modern finishes, fresh paint, new flooring, and renovated kitchen and baths. Functional layout, comfortable bedrooms, and well-maintained inside and out. Ideal for owner-occupants or investors looking for a turnkey property. Schedule your showing today.

  7. 2003-03-10
    soldstatus $6,900
  8. 2003-03-10
    soldstatus $6,000
  9. 2003-02-25
    historical
  10. 2003-01-29
    listed $6,900
  11. 2003-01-29
    listed $6,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$553 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,569 · $131/mo
Expected delta
+$1,016/yr (+$85/mo · 183.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,041
− Mortgage interest
−$9,405
− Property taxes
−$553
− Insurance
−$840
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,203
− Management
−$1,203
− Depreciation
−$4,884
Taxable loss
−$3,048
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$731
After-tax cash flow
$655/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,760
Household income
$35,322
Rent vs Own
47.0% rent · 53.0% own
Severe rent burden
2372.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.65%
Current HPI
328.8978
Rent YoY
▲ 6.72%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2333.3% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-07 Price Changed $167,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $167,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $167,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-02-28 Listed $199,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-02-28 Listed $199,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-28 Listed $199,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-03-10 Sold (MLS) $6,000 REALCOMP
  • 2003-03-10 Sold (MLS) $6,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-02-25 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-01-29 Listed $6,900 REALCOMP
  • 2003-01-29 Listed $6,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $553 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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