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423 Hollars Ext
A Composite 85.47
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,000

423 Hollars Ext · West Providence, PA 15537
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,127 sqft · SingleFamily · 9 Days on market
Built 1920 7,405 sqft lot Est $147k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity awaits! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is situated on approximately . 172 acres and offers plenty of potential for the buyer with vision. Features include an attached garage, metal roof, covered front porch, and a spacious lot with room to enjoy the outdoors. The home needs repairs and updating but provides an excellent opportunity to build equity and make it your own. Whether you're looking for an investment property, renovation project, or affordable home with a yard, this property is worth a look.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Metal roof
  • Attached garage

Tags

ATTACHED GARAGEMETAL ROOFCOVERED FRONT PORCHSPACIOUS LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Electric hot water; Public water service; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached property; Estimated year built
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Stone foundation; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; No tidal water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stove; Refrigerator; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level; Two bedrooms on the first upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (located on the first upper level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil fuel)
  • Interior features: Living room; Fireplace (1); Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $446 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Everett Area SD (rural): math 32% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #337 of 539 in PA (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Bedford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bedford County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $99k implies a 281% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $99,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
11.70%
Cash-on-cash
19.30%
DSCR
1.86
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$146,510
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
506 W Main St 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,206 (+7%) 24mo $155,000 $129 50
70 W 6th Ave 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,228 (+9%) 22mo $205,000 $167 48
122 W Fifth Ave 0.29mi 3/1.5 1,256 (+11%) 22mo $157,000 $125 47
18 W South St 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,232 (+9%) 19mo $160,000 $130 43
226 Locust Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,288 (+14%) 14mo $259,000 $201 40
421 Hill St 0.27mi 2/1.5 (-1) 984 (-13%) 24mo $66,151 $67 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.7%
Equity multiple
3.97×
Total profit
$82,332
Equity at exit
$89,187
10-year hold
IRR
33.3%
Equity multiple
8.94×
Total profit
$220,169
Equity at exit
$192,335

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15537

Home prices YoY
17.3%
Active inventory
61
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,430 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax est. 1.5%
$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$446

Break-even live

Break-even rent $866
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    remarks 514-char remark
  7. 2026-06-12
    listed $99,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,164
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,485
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,373
− Management
−$1,373
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$4,012
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$963
After-tax cash flow
$4,387/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Everett Area SD
NCES district ID
4209360
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$41,322
Composite
35.24/100
National rank
#4979
State rank
#337 of 539 in PA

Livability — West Providence

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Earlston, PA
Population (ZIP)
8,272

Population outlook (Bedford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,395 people
By 2030
43,353 · -4.5%
By 2040
38,858 · -14.4%
By 2050
34,162 · -24.7%
By 2075
24,868 · -45.2%
By 2100
16,910 · -62.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bedford

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.6) · D 15.4% · R 84.0%
2008→2024 swing
-23.8pp toward R · 2008: -44.8pp · 2024: -68.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.6 2020: R+67.7 2016: R+67.4 2012: R+54.9 2008: R+44.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 37.19%
Current HPI
252.292
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+98.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $99,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $99,000 AHARMLS
  • 2017-01-18 Listed $68,900 AHARMLS
  • 2012-10-27 Sold (MLS) $26,000 AHARMLS
  • 2012-09-17 Listed $29,500 AHARMLS
  • 2009-12-01 Listed $55,000 AHARMLS
  • 2008-09-24 Sold (MLS) $47,000 AHARMLS
  • 2007-09-20 Listed $49,900 AHARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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