13879 Carson St · Searles Valley, CA 93562

$67,900

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,123 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 138 Days on market

Built 1947 0.26 ac lot $60/sqft · 14% below area Est $79k · 14% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +23.6/30.0
• ARV discount +14.0/15.0
• DSCR +7.6/10.0
• 1% rule +5.3/10.0
• Appreciation +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Schools +3.0/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

Trona is a remote desert town in eastern San Bernardino County, sitting in the Searles Valley. The town is known for its mining industry. This property is located on a quiet, low-traffic street, providing privacy and a peaceful environment. The nearest larger town next to Trona is Ridgecrest which is approximately 30 minutes away. Surrounded by open desert and mountains, Trona is popular for dark skies and great for stargazing with rugged beauty. With its large backyard, it is perfect for hosting gatherings, barbecues, accommodating multiple seating areas for relaxation and socializing. The property enhances a sense of seclusion, security, and personal space. Extra space allows for adding structures like: Garages, workshops, sheds, guesthouses or ADUs (Accessory Dwelling Units). It is great for individuals seeking a peaceful environment and buyers who prioritize tranquility. The area attracts home buyers who appreciate a serene setting within a peaceful and private location. Carson St is a quiet residential street in Trona, not a main road and not commercial. It's mostly made up of older single-family homes with a calm, low-traffic feel. It promotes affordable housing and attractive for low-cost living or a rental/investment. Great Investment Opportunity!

Key facts

• Large backyard
• 0.26 acre lot
• Garage

Tags

• LARGE BACKYARD
• MULTIPLE SEATING AREAS
• QUIET LOW-TRAFFIC STREET

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($700 rent vs $68k).
• Recommended offer: $60k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#500 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
• Trona Joint Unified (rural): math 25% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #1,004 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($469 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
• San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $55k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $59,752 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.03% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.56%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.11%
• DSCR: 1.36
• GRM: 8.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $79,349
• List price: $67,900
• Delta: -14.43%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
84607 11th St	0.15mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,150 (+2%)	10mo	$160,000	$139	72
84537 9th St	0.11mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,227 (+9%)	1mo	$88,000	$72	70
84565 9th St St	0.14mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,020 (-9%)	13mo	$100,000	$98	63
13548 Dogwood St	0.51mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,134 (+1%)	11mo	$115,000	$101	60
13600 Elm St	0.50mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,132 (+1%)	9mo	$77,000	$68	59
13610 Elm St	0.49mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,116 (-1%)	12mo	$130,000	$116	57
13527 Cedar St	0.47mi	3/1.5 (+1)	1,084 (-4%)	10mo	$79,000	$73	57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 15.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.86×
• Total profit: $16,344
• Equity at exit: $30,531

10-year hold

• IRR: 16.8%
• Equity multiple: 3.46×
• Total profit: $46,705
• Equity at exit: $47,052

Cash invested: $19,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 93562

• Active inventory: 56
• Price-to-rent: 8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $700 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$356
• Tax from tax record: −$40 /mo · $482/yr
• Insurance: −$28
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$147
• Net cashflow: $128

Break-even live

Break-even rent $537

Max offer price $67,900

Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $16,975
• Closing costs: $2,037
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
13358 Verbena St Trona, CA	2.0	1.0	835	$700	$0.84	44d	1	1.44mi
13366 Verbena St Trona, CA	2.0	1.0	800	$700	$0.88	44d	1	1.44mi

Listing history 13 events

1. 2026-06-03
   days on market $67,900 Active 138 DOM
2. 2026-06-03
   days on market $67,900 Active 137 DOM
3. 2026-06-01
   days on market $67,900 Active 136 DOM
4. 2026-05-31
   days on market $67,900 Active 135 DOM
5. 2026-04-09
   price $67,900

   Show marketing remark (1276 chars)

   Trona is a remote desert town in eastern San Bernardino County, sitting in the Searles Valley. The town is known for its mining industry. This property is located on a quiet, low-traffic street, providing privacy and a peaceful environment. The nearest larger town next to Trona is Ridgecrest which is approximately 30 minutes away. Surrounded by open desert and mountains, Trona is popular for dark skies and great for stargazing with rugged beauty. With its large backyard, it is perfect for hosting gatherings, barbecues, accommodating multiple seating areas for relaxation and socializing. The property enhances a sense of seclusion, security, and personal space. Extra space allows for adding structures like: Garages, workshops, sheds, guesthouses or ADUs (Accessory Dwelling Units). It is great for individuals seeking a peaceful environment and buyers who prioritize tranquility. The area attracts home buyers who appreciate a serene setting within a peaceful and private location. Carson St is a quiet residential street in Trona, not a main road and not commercial. It's mostly made up of older single-family homes with a calm, low-traffic feel. It promotes affordable housing and attractive for low-cost living or a rental/investment. Great Investment Opportunity!

6. 2026-04-09
   price $67,900 1276-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1276 chars)

   Trona is a remote desert town in eastern San Bernardino County, sitting in the Searles Valley. The town is known for its mining industry. This property is located on a quiet, low-traffic street, providing privacy and a peaceful environment. The nearest larger town next to Trona is Ridgecrest which is approximately 30 minutes away. Surrounded by open desert and mountains, Trona is popular for dark skies and great for stargazing with rugged beauty. With its large backyard, it is perfect for hosting gatherings, barbecues, accommodating multiple seating areas for relaxation and socializing. The property enhances a sense of seclusion, security, and personal space. Extra space allows for adding structures like: Garages, workshops, sheds, guesthouses or ADUs (Accessory Dwelling Units). It is great for individuals seeking a peaceful environment and buyers who prioritize tranquility. The area attracts home buyers who appreciate a serene setting within a peaceful and private location. Carson St is a quiet residential street in Trona, not a main road and not commercial. It's mostly made up of older single-family homes with a calm, low-traffic feel. It promotes affordable housing and attractive for low-cost living or a rental/investment. Great Investment Opportunity!

7. 2026-02-21
   price $70,000

   Show marketing remark (1276 chars)

   Trona is a remote desert town in eastern San Bernardino County, sitting in the Searles Valley. The town is known for its mining industry. This property is located on a quiet, low-traffic street, providing privacy and a peaceful environment. The nearest larger town next to Trona is Ridgecrest which is approximately 30 minutes away. Surrounded by open desert and mountains, Trona is popular for dark skies and great for stargazing with rugged beauty. With its large backyard, it is perfect for hosting gatherings, barbecues, accommodating multiple seating areas for relaxation and socializing. The property enhances a sense of seclusion, security, and personal space. Extra space allows for adding structures like: Garages, workshops, sheds, guesthouses or ADUs (Accessory Dwelling Units). It is great for individuals seeking a peaceful environment and buyers who prioritize tranquility. The area attracts home buyers who appreciate a serene setting within a peaceful and private location. Carson St is a quiet residential street in Trona, not a main road and not commercial. It's mostly made up of older single-family homes with a calm, low-traffic feel. It promotes affordable housing and attractive for low-cost living or a rental/investment. Great Investment Opportunity!

8. 2026-02-21
   price $70,000 1276-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1276 chars)

   Trona is a remote desert town in eastern San Bernardino County, sitting in the Searles Valley. The town is known for its mining industry. This property is located on a quiet, low-traffic street, providing privacy and a peaceful environment. The nearest larger town next to Trona is Ridgecrest which is approximately 30 minutes away. Surrounded by open desert and mountains, Trona is popular for dark skies and great for stargazing with rugged beauty. With its large backyard, it is perfect for hosting gatherings, barbecues, accommodating multiple seating areas for relaxation and socializing. The property enhances a sense of seclusion, security, and personal space. Extra space allows for adding structures like: Garages, workshops, sheds, guesthouses or ADUs (Accessory Dwelling Units). It is great for individuals seeking a peaceful environment and buyers who prioritize tranquility. The area attracts home buyers who appreciate a serene setting within a peaceful and private location. Carson St is a quiet residential street in Trona, not a main road and not commercial. It's mostly made up of older single-family homes with a calm, low-traffic feel. It promotes affordable housing and attractive for low-cost living or a rental/investment. Great Investment Opportunity!

9. 2026-02-09
   price $85,000

   Show marketing remark (1276 chars)

   Trona is a remote desert town in eastern San Bernardino County, sitting in the Searles Valley. The town is known for its mining industry. This property is located on a quiet, low-traffic street, providing privacy and a peaceful environment. The nearest larger town next to Trona is Ridgecrest which is approximately 30 minutes away. Surrounded by open desert and mountains, Trona is popular for dark skies and great for stargazing with rugged beauty. With its large backyard, it is perfect for hosting gatherings, barbecues, accommodating multiple seating areas for relaxation and socializing. The property enhances a sense of seclusion, security, and personal space. Extra space allows for adding structures like: Garages, workshops, sheds, guesthouses or ADUs (Accessory Dwelling Units). It is great for individuals seeking a peaceful environment and buyers who prioritize tranquility. The area attracts home buyers who appreciate a serene setting within a peaceful and private location. Carson St is a quiet residential street in Trona, not a main road and not commercial. It's mostly made up of older single-family homes with a calm, low-traffic feel. It promotes affordable housing and attractive for low-cost living or a rental/investment. Great Investment Opportunity!

10. 2026-02-09
    price $85,000 1276-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1276 chars)

    Trona is a remote desert town in eastern San Bernardino County, sitting in the Searles Valley. The town is known for its mining industry. This property is located on a quiet, low-traffic street, providing privacy and a peaceful environment. The nearest larger town next to Trona is Ridgecrest which is approximately 30 minutes away. Surrounded by open desert and mountains, Trona is popular for dark skies and great for stargazing with rugged beauty. With its large backyard, it is perfect for hosting gatherings, barbecues, accommodating multiple seating areas for relaxation and socializing. The property enhances a sense of seclusion, security, and personal space. Extra space allows for adding structures like: Garages, workshops, sheds, guesthouses or ADUs (Accessory Dwelling Units). It is great for individuals seeking a peaceful environment and buyers who prioritize tranquility. The area attracts home buyers who appreciate a serene setting within a peaceful and private location. Carson St is a quiet residential street in Trona, not a main road and not commercial. It's mostly made up of older single-family homes with a calm, low-traffic feel. It promotes affordable housing and attractive for low-cost living or a rental/investment. Great Investment Opportunity!

11. 2026-01-12
    listed $100,000 Active

    Show marketing remark (1276 chars)

    Trona is a remote desert town in eastern San Bernardino County, sitting in the Searles Valley. The town is known for its mining industry. This property is located on a quiet, low-traffic street, providing privacy and a peaceful environment. The nearest larger town next to Trona is Ridgecrest which is approximately 30 minutes away. Surrounded by open desert and mountains, Trona is popular for dark skies and great for stargazing with rugged beauty. With its large backyard, it is perfect for hosting gatherings, barbecues, accommodating multiple seating areas for relaxation and socializing. The property enhances a sense of seclusion, security, and personal space. Extra space allows for adding structures like: Garages, workshops, sheds, guesthouses or ADUs (Accessory Dwelling Units). It is great for individuals seeking a peaceful environment and buyers who prioritize tranquility. The area attracts home buyers who appreciate a serene setting within a peaceful and private location. Carson St is a quiet residential street in Trona, not a main road and not commercial. It's mostly made up of older single-family homes with a calm, low-traffic feel. It promotes affordable housing and attractive for low-cost living or a rental/investment. Great Investment Opportunity!

12. 2026-01-12
    listed $100,000 Active 1276-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1276 chars)

    Trona is a remote desert town in eastern San Bernardino County, sitting in the Searles Valley. The town is known for its mining industry. This property is located on a quiet, low-traffic street, providing privacy and a peaceful environment. The nearest larger town next to Trona is Ridgecrest which is approximately 30 minutes away. Surrounded by open desert and mountains, Trona is popular for dark skies and great for stargazing with rugged beauty. With its large backyard, it is perfect for hosting gatherings, barbecues, accommodating multiple seating areas for relaxation and socializing. The property enhances a sense of seclusion, security, and personal space. Extra space allows for adding structures like: Garages, workshops, sheds, guesthouses or ADUs (Accessory Dwelling Units). It is great for individuals seeking a peaceful environment and buyers who prioritize tranquility. The area attracts home buyers who appreciate a serene setting within a peaceful and private location. Carson St is a quiet residential street in Trona, not a main road and not commercial. It's mostly made up of older single-family homes with a calm, low-traffic feel. It promotes affordable housing and attractive for low-cost living or a rental/investment. Great Investment Opportunity!

13. 2006-03-01
    soldstatus $55,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $482 · $40/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $516 · $43/mo
• Expected delta: +$34/yr (+$3/mo · 7.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $8,400
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,803
• − Property taxes: −$482
• − Insurance: −$340
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$672
• − Management: −$672
• − Depreciation: −$1,975
• Taxable income: $456
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$109
• After-tax cash flow: $1,432/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Trona Joint Unified
• NCES district ID: 0639840
• Math proficiency: 25% ▲ 5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 40% ▲ 5.00%
• Median HH income: $35,514
• Composite: 29.6/100
• National rank: #11751
• State rank: #1004 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Searles Valley

• Score: 62/100
• State rank: #500
• US rank: #16976

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Searles Valley, CA
• Population (ZIP): 1,822

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,300,329 people
• By 2030: 2,378,907 · +3.4%
• By 2040: 2,523,137 · +9.7%
• By 2050: 2,642,388 · +14.9%
• By 2075: 2,880,769 · +25.2%
• By 2100: 2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (65%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 65% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 14% Black 2% Native American 2% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 16% Cuban 2%
• Common ancestry: Italian 6% Slovak 2% Russian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: —
• Current HPI: —
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B

Price history

+23.5% since first listed

9 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-09 Price Changed $67,900 GEMLS
• 2026-04-09 Price Changed $67,900 TheMLS
• 2026-02-21 Price Changed $70,000 GEMLS
• 2026-02-21 Price Changed $70,000 TheMLS
• 2026-02-09 Price Changed $85,000 GEMLS
• 2026-02-09 Price Changed $85,000 TheMLS
• 2026-01-12 Listed $100,000 TheMLS
• 2026-01-12 Listed $100,000 GEMLS
• 2006-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $482 · -16.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.