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8690 Manion Dr
D Composite 42.61
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.3/30.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.6/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$167,500

8690 Manion Dr · Beaumont, TX 77706
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,612 sqft · Townhouse public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1978 5,168 sqft lot $104/sqft · 9% above area Est $154k · 9% over $110/mo HOA · 6% of rent ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 8690 Manion Dr! This charming townhouse was designed for both comfort and convenience. The open-concept layout creates a seamless flow between the living, dining, and kitchen areas—perfect for everyday living. The kitchen offers ample cabinetry and stainless steel appliances, while large windows fill the home with warm, natural light. The split floor plan allows for a spacious primary suite as well additional bedrooms that can easily accommodate family, guests, or a home office. Enjoy a private outdoor space ideal for relaxing at the end of the day, plus the added benefit of low-maintenance living. Situated in a desirable location close to shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home is a fantastic opportunity you won’t want to miss!

Key facts

  • Large windows
  • Ample cabinetry
  • Split floor plan

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTAMPLE CABINETRYSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESLARGE WINDOWSSPLIT FLOOR PLANPRIVATE OUTDOOR SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Residential property; Disclosures: Municipal Utility District Disclosure, Seller Disclosure; Annual tax information not included per instructions
  • Financial info: Lease not considered
  • HOA & community: Parkmeadow Townhouses homeowners association; Monthly association fee of $110

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 2 garage spaces
  • Security: No security features specified
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story residential property; Built in 1978; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Lot approximately 5,168 square feet

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
  • Bedrooms: Not specified
  • Flooring: Not specified
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $168k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $57 ($682/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $168k).
  • Recommended offer: $162k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 5.3% in Beaumont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#739 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Beaumont ISD (urban): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #789 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Amelia El (math 8% / reading 15%, grade F, #4,225 of 4,322 statewide, top 98%, 544 students, 84% FRL); Vincent Middle (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,616 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 688 students, 75% FRL); West Brook Sr H S (math 19% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,228 of 1,632 statewide, top 76%, 2,245 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools at 72% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 259 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $162,475 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
7.18%
Cash-on-cash
3.15%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$154,155
List price
$167,500
Delta
8.66%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1188 Green Meadow St 0.24mi 3/2.5 1,656 (+3%) 15mo $199,000 $120 70
1162 Green Meadow St 0.23mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,506 (-7%) 3mo $129,900 $86 69
1135 Green Meadow St 0.23mi 3/2.5 1,795 (+11%) 20mo $199,000 $111 52
488 Harbor Oaks Dr 0.36mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,772 (+10%) 12mo $220,000 $124 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.66% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.2%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-27,696
Equity at exit
$24,975
10-year hold
IRR
-15.5%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-35,771
Equity at exit
$14,482

Cash invested: $46,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77706

Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
259
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,905 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$878
Tax from tax record
$323 /mo · $3,877/yr
Insurance
$70
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$110
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$400
Net cashflow
$57

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,833
Max offer price $167,500
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $152 -5% $104 +0% $57 +5% $9 +10% $-38
Rent -10% $-94 -5% $-18 +0% $57 +5% $132 +10% $207
Rate -1.0pp $141 -0.5pp $99 base $57 +0.5pp $13 +1.0pp $-31

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,875
Closing costs
$5,025
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
976 Sunmeadow Dr Unit 05/04/26 Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.5 1656 $2,150 $1.30 45d 1 0.09mi
976 Sunmeadow Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.5 1656 $1,995 $1.20 15d 1 0.09mi
8960 Manion Dr Beaumont, TX 2.0 2.5 1358 $1,550 $1.14 45d 1 0.17mi
1069 Green Meadow St Beaumont, TX 2.0 2.0 1556 $1,795 $1.15 46d 1 0.23mi
9540 Glen Meadow Ln Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.5 2045 $2,295 $1.12 45d 1 0.27mi
1212 N Major Dr Unit 4820 Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.5 1692 $1,646 $0.97 25d 1 0.33mi
1212 N Major Dr Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.5 1232 $1,250 $1.01 15d 1 0.34mi
434 Harbor Oaks Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1844 $2,500 $1.36 25d 1 0.40mi
405 Harbor Oaks Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.5 1828 $2,600 $1.42 25d 1 0.43mi
8256 Heartfield Ln Beaumont, TX 2.0 2.0 1638 $1,450 $0.89 45d 1 0.52mi
1532 Bryant Way Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1628 $1,750 $1.07 15d 1 0.58mi
120 Smelker St Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,795 $1.38 15d 1 0.77mi
1170 Brandywine St Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 2100 $1,890 $0.90 25d 1 0.78mi
1915 Sams Way Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1696 $2,100 $1.24 25d 1 0.84mi
6795 Greenwood Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1650 $2,500 $1.52 25d 1 0.87mi
7575 Chelsea Pl Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 2193 $2,495 $1.14 46d 1 0.94mi
9225 Shepherd Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 1.0 1136 $1,495 $1.32 45d 1 1.01mi
9260 Josey St Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,100 $1.40 45d 1 1.10mi
880 Lockwood Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1819 $1,995 $1.10 45d 1 1.16mi
7996 Blue Bonnet Ln Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1635 $2,300 $1.41 15d 1 1.17mi
6561 Lexington Dr Beaumont, TX 2.0 2.0 1321 $1,011 $0.77 45d 1 1.23mi
379 Pinchback Rd Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.5 1254 $1,175 $0.94 45d 1 1.32mi
6286 Afton Ln Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.5 2024 $1,675 $0.83 25d 1 1.36mi
520 Dowlen Rd Beaumont, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 940 $1,050 $1.12 15d 10 1.37mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$110 · $1,320/yr

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $167,500 Pending 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $167,500 Pending 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $167,500 Pending 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $167,500 Pending 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $167,500 Pending 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $167,500 Pending 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $167,500 Pending 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $167,500 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $167,500 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $167,500 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $167,500 Active 31 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $167,500 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $167,500 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $167,500 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $167,500 Active 24 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $167,500 Active 23 DOM
  17. 2026-05-15
    price $167,500 769-char remark
    Show marketing remark (769 chars)

    Welcome to 8690 Manion Dr! This charming townhouse was designed for both comfort and convenience. The open-concept layout creates a seamless flow between the living, dining, and kitchen areas—perfect for everyday living. The kitchen offers ample cabinetry and stainless steel appliances, while large windows fill the home with warm, natural light. The split floor plan allows for a spacious primary suite as well additional bedrooms that can easily accommodate family, guests, or a home office. Enjoy a private outdoor space ideal for relaxing at the end of the day, plus the added benefit of low-maintenance living. Situated in a desirable location close to shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home is a fantastic opportunity you won’t want to miss!

  18. 2026-05-15
    price $167,500 769-char remark
    Show marketing remark (769 chars)

    Welcome to 8690 Manion Dr! This charming townhouse was designed for both comfort and convenience. The open-concept layout creates a seamless flow between the living, dining, and kitchen areas—perfect for everyday living. The kitchen offers ample cabinetry and stainless steel appliances, while large windows fill the home with warm, natural light. The split floor plan allows for a spacious primary suite as well additional bedrooms that can easily accommodate family, guests, or a home office. Enjoy a private outdoor space ideal for relaxing at the end of the day, plus the added benefit of low-maintenance living. Situated in a desirable location close to shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home is a fantastic opportunity you won’t want to miss!

  19. 2026-05-07
    listed $175,000 Active 769-char remark
    Show marketing remark (769 chars)

    Welcome to 8690 Manion Dr! This charming townhouse was designed for both comfort and convenience. The open-concept layout creates a seamless flow between the living, dining, and kitchen areas—perfect for everyday living. The kitchen offers ample cabinetry and stainless steel appliances, while large windows fill the home with warm, natural light. The split floor plan allows for a spacious primary suite as well additional bedrooms that can easily accommodate family, guests, or a home office. Enjoy a private outdoor space ideal for relaxing at the end of the day, plus the added benefit of low-maintenance living. Situated in a desirable location close to shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home is a fantastic opportunity you won’t want to miss!

  20. 2026-05-07
    listed $175,000 Active 769-char remark
    Show marketing remark (769 chars)

    Welcome to 8690 Manion Dr! This charming townhouse was designed for both comfort and convenience. The open-concept layout creates a seamless flow between the living, dining, and kitchen areas—perfect for everyday living. The kitchen offers ample cabinetry and stainless steel appliances, while large windows fill the home with warm, natural light. The split floor plan allows for a spacious primary suite as well additional bedrooms that can easily accommodate family, guests, or a home office. Enjoy a private outdoor space ideal for relaxing at the end of the day, plus the added benefit of low-maintenance living. Situated in a desirable location close to shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home is a fantastic opportunity you won’t want to miss!

  21. 2018-02-09
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,877 · $323/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,877 · $323/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,855
− Mortgage interest
−$9,383
− Property taxes
−$3,877
− Insurance
−$1,635
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,828
− Management
−$1,828
− HOA
−$1,320
− Depreciation
−$4,873
Taxable loss
−$1,890
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$454
After-tax cash flow
$1,136/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beaumont ISD
NCES district ID
4809670
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,683
Composite
15.43/100
National rank
#9316
State rank
#789 of 826 in TX

Livability — Beaumont

Score
64/100
State rank
#739
US rank
#13710

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beaumont, TX
County
Jefferson County · 203,592 people
City population
125,901
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
Population (ZIP)
30,393
Household income
$73,185
Rent vs Own
41.7% rent · 58.3% own
Severe rent burden
1299.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
259,015 people
By 2030
260,685 · +0.6%
By 2040
263,309 · +1.7%
By 2050
265,237 · +2.4%
By 2075
270,193 · +4.3%
By 2100
255,628 · -1.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.9) · D 45.1% · R 54.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -8.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.9 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -180.53%
Current HPI
159.4053
Rent YoY
▲ 0.66%
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Pending BBOR
  • 2026-06-10 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $167,500 HARMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $167,500 BBOR
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $175,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $175,000 BBOR
  • 2018-02-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,877 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…