28 Skyline Dr · Sicklerville, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$184,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in the highly sought-after 55+ community of Shenandoah Village! Enjoy resort-style amenities including a clubhouse, pool, and an active, friendly neighborhood atmosphere. This spacious home offers fresh paint throughout, generous room sizes, and multiple living areas—a formal living room, dining room, and a family room with a fireplace—giving you plenty of space to spread out. The stunning brand-new kitchen features all-new stainless steel appliances, modern cabinets, quartz countertops, and a stylish tile backsplash. Major home improvements also include new windows, sliding door, storm doors, and gutters/gutter guards (2022). Both bath
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Updated kitchen
- New sliding door
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $673 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $179k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 4.7% in Sicklerville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Gloucester Township Public Schools (suburban): math 14% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #351 of 472 in NJ (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Ann A. Mullen Middle School (math 17% / reading 46%, grade F, #289 of 431 statewide, top 69%, 933 students, 40% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 334 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.60%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $277,200
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 Skyline Dr | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 | 1,175 (-2%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $111 | 89 |
| 66 Skyline Dr | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (0%) | 10mo | $72,000 | $60 | 77 |
| 25 Loft Mountain Dr | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-12%) | 0mo | $165,000 | $156 | 71 |
| 90 Estates Rd | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,184 (-1%) | 7mo | $260,000 | $220 | 65 |
| 12 Hancock Ln | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,269 (+6%) | 4mo | $336,000 | $265 | 59 |
| 32 Swift Run Dr | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,104 (-8%) | 10mo | $149,900 | $136 | 58 |
| 23 Swift Run Dr | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-12%) | 10mo | $156,000 | $148 | 54 |
| 25 Congress Rd | 0.56mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,184 (-1%) | 13mo | $315,000 | $266 | 54 |
| 138 Saint Moritz | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,342 (+12%) | 6mo | $350,000 | $261 | 52 |
| 147 Country Club Rd | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (+10%) | 11mo | $350,000 | $265 | 49 |
| 1091 Grandview Dr | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,314 (+10%) | 6mo | $304,000 | $231 | 45 |
| 7 Breckenridge Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,342 (+12%) | 12mo | $349,000 | $260 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $13,957
- Equity at exit
- $27,569
- IRR
- 16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $71,724
- Equity at exit
- $15,987
Cash invested: $51,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08081
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 334
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,469 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$231 /mo · $2,774/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$519
- Net cashflow
- $673
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $801 | -5% $737 | +0% $673 | +5% $609 | +10% $545 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $478 | -5% $575 | +0% $673 | +5% $770 | +10% $868 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $766 | -0.5pp $720 | base $673 | +0.5pp $625 | +1.0pp $576 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,225
- Closing costs
- $5,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Grant Ln Berlin, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1360 | $2,400 | $1.76 | 0d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 33 Cottage Gate Rd Unit B Sicklerville, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,790 | $1.49 | 0d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 159 Cross Keys Rd Unit E Berlin, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,695 | $1.13 | 0d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 206 Bittlewood Ave Unit SFH Berlin, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,900 | $3.41 | 11d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 700 Renaissance Dr Pine Hill, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $2,225 | $2.07 | 0d | 4 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 6 events
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2026-05-01status Pending
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2026-04-30soldstatus Closed
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2026-02-02status Pending
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2025-12-15$184,900 Active
-
2000-03-30historical
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1999-11-30$76,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,631
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,357
- − Property taxes
- −$2,774
- − Insurance
- −$924
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,370
- − Management
- −$2,370
- − Depreciation
- −$5,379
- Taxable income
- $5,456
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,309
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,766/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gloucester Township Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3406030
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,539
- Composite
- 26.18/100
- National rank
- #7269
- State rank
- #351 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Sicklerville
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sicklerville, NJ
- County
- Camden County · 407,624 people
- City population
- 50,264
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,264
- Household income
- $105,800
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 979.0
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 507,964 people
- By 2030
- 502,182 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 485,602 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 465,630 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 419,986 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 369,492 · -27.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 34% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -176.48%
- Current HPI
- 303.1017
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+143.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-30 Sold (MLS) — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-02 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-15 Listed $184,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2000-03-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1999-11-30 Listed $76,000 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…