210 S 20th St · Frederick, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$48,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * INVESTORS SPECIAL!! * * Do not miss the opportunity to make this home YOURS! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home sits on a corner lot and HAS SO MUCH POTENTIAL! With a little over 1000 sq ft, this home just needs your personal touches to make it home! Walk in to the living area with LVP flooring. All 3 bedrooms are spacious with ample closet space. Tons of storage throughout. Walk out to the back to a big yard perfect for kids to play or entertaining. In the back you will find a 36x24 metal garage with overhead door perfect for storage or projects! With a little TLC this home could be brought back to life and make a perfect 1st home or investment opportunity. Just a few blocks from the city
Key facts
- Big yard
- Pool
- Lvp flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1 covered parking space; 1 carport space; No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Composition roof
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Storm door(s); Chain link fencing; Workshop
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop
- Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Ceiling fan(s); Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Cooktop; Gas water heater; Crawl space basement; No fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $48k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $487 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $48k).
- Recommended offer: $42k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#304 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Frederick (town): math 41% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #46 of 270 in OK (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Frederick Es (math 57% / reading 27%, grade F, #84 of 845 statewide, top 11%, 386 students, 0% FRL); Frederick Ms (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #39 of 345 statewide, top 12%, 174 students, 0% FRL); Frederick Hs (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #274 of 447 statewide, top 66%, 250 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 68% district-wide (68 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $332 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tillman County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $11k; list at $48k implies a 336% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.52%
- DSCR
- 2.94
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $22,396
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215 S 21st St | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-2%) | 14mo | $22,000 | $22 | 84 |
| 407 S 21st | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,168 (+15%) | 1mo | $103,500 | $89 | 64 |
| 1021 E Gladstone | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-12%) | 3mo | $60,000 | $67 | 57 |
| 214 N 13th | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-2%) | 11mo | $18,000 | $18 | 56 |
| 215 N 16th | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,146 (+13%) | 11mo | $25,000 | $22 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.73×
- Total profit
- $23,285
- Equity at exit
- $7,157
- IRR
- 46.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.49×
- Total profit
- $60,317
- Equity at exit
- $4,150
Cash invested: $13,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73542
- Home prices YoY
- -2.0%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,037 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$252
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$60 /mo · $720/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$218
- Net cashflow
- $487
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,000
- Closing costs
- $1,440
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $48,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $48,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $48,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $48,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $48,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $48,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $48,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $48,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $48,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $48,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $48,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $48,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $48,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $48,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-01-21$48,000 Active
-
2025-11-17historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-07-30status Active
-
2025-03-25historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-03-10price $45,000
-
2025-01-14$55,000 Active
-
2007-02-23soldstatus $11,000
-
1995-03-17soldstatus $12,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,443
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,689
- − Property taxes
- −$720
- − Insurance
- −$240
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$995
- − Management
- −$995
- − Depreciation
- −$1,396
- Taxable income
- $5,407
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,298
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,552/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Frederick
- NCES district ID
- 4012150
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,495
- Composite
- 28.52/100
- National rank
- #6735
- State rank
- #46 of 270 in OK
Livability — Frederick
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #304
- US rank
- #17869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Frederick, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,167
Population outlook (Tillman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 6,949 people
- By 2030
- 6,737 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 6,402 · -7.9%
- By 2050
- 6,364 · -8.4%
- By 2075
- 7,335 · +5.6%
- By 2100
- 9,166 · +31.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 13% Black 9% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% European 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 12%
Political lean MEDSL · Tillman
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.5) · D 19.7% · R 79.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.8pp toward R · 2008: -35.6pp · 2024: -59.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.5 2020: R+54.6 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+33.4 2008: R+35.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.32%
- Current HPI
- 159.0458
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+300.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-21 Listed $48,000 LBRMLS
- 2025-11-17 Contingent — LBRMLS
- 2025-07-30 Relisted — LBRMLS
- 2025-03-25 Contingent — LBRMLS
- 2025-03-10 Price Changed $45,000 LBRMLS
- 2025-01-14 Listed $55,000 LBRMLS
- 2007-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records
- 1995-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $50 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…