3851 36th St · Meridian, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming single-family home located in an established residential neighborhood. This property offers a functional layout with comfortable living spaces and a spacious yard, ideal for everyday living or investment potential. Conveniently situated near schools, shopping, and major roadways. Property is being sold as-is and competitively priced. A great opportunity for buyers seeking value with room to personalize. Agents see private remarks
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Near schools
- Near shopping
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $637 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#141 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Meridian Public Schools (town): math 13% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #109 of 130 in MS (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 18 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lauderdale County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.02%
- DSCR
- 2.74
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $99,900
- List price
- $70,000
- Delta
- -29.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $29,322
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 42.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.98×
- Total profit
- $78,104
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39301
- Active inventory
- 54
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,526 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$172 /mo · $2,066/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$321
- Net cashflow
- $637
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3315 N Hills St Meridian, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $1,320 | $1.35 | 43d | 8 | 1.01mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $70,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $70,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $70,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $70,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-04-21status Active 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
Charming single-family home located in an established residential neighborhood. This property offers a functional layout with comfortable living spaces and a spacious yard, ideal for everyday living or investment potential. Conveniently situated near schools, shopping, and major roadways. Property is being sold as-is and competitively priced. A great opportunity for buyers seeking value with room to personalize. Agents see private remarks
-
2026-04-09historical Active Under Contract 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
Charming single-family home located in an established residential neighborhood. This property offers a functional layout with comfortable living spaces and a spacious yard, ideal for everyday living or investment potential. Conveniently situated near schools, shopping, and major roadways. Property is being sold as-is and competitively priced. A great opportunity for buyers seeking value with room to personalize. Agents see private remarks
-
2026-01-15$70,000 Active 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
Charming single-family home located in an established residential neighborhood. This property offers a functional layout with comfortable living spaces and a spacious yard, ideal for everyday living or investment potential. Conveniently situated near schools, shopping, and major roadways. Property is being sold as-is and competitively priced. A great opportunity for buyers seeking value with room to personalize. Agents see private remarks
-
2023-06-16historical 146-char remark
Show marketing remark (146 chars)
Attractive, well maintained 3/2 on quiet street. Hot tub on glassed in porch. Large storage bldg. in fenced back yard. Agents see private remarks.
-
2015-07-31$66,000 146-char remark
Show marketing remark (146 chars)
Attractive, well maintained 3/2 on quiet street. Hot tub on glassed in porch. Large storage bldg. in fenced back yard. Agents see private remarks.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,066 · $172/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,066 · $172/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,315
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$2,066
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,465
- − Management
- −$1,465
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $7,011
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,683
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,965/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Meridian Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2802910
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,236
- Composite
- 11.87/100
- National rank
- #9673
- State rank
- #109 of 130 in MS
Livability — Meridian
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #141
- US rank
- #14839
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Meridian, MS
- County
- Lauderdale County · 42,445 people
- City population
- 42,445
- Metro
- Meridian, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,807
- Household income
- $41,766
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 566.0
Population outlook (Lauderdale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 75,158 people
- By 2030
- 72,770 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 67,309 · -10.4%
- By 2050
- 61,797 · -17.8%
- By 2075
- 49,790 · -33.8%
- By 2100
- 39,797 · -47.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (56%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 40% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lauderdale
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.2) · D 39.0% · R 60.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.9pp · 2024: -21.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.2 2020: R+16.0 2016: R+23.0 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.11%
- Current HPI
- 116.4831
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Meridian, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+6.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Relisted — EMR
- 2026-04-09 Contingent — EMR
- 2026-01-15 Listed $70,000 EMR
- 2023-06-16 Delisted — EMR
- 2015-07-31 Listed $66,000 EMR
Property tax history
+45.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,066 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…