1207 E Frye Ave · Peoria, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.7/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$44,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home! This adorable single level two bedroom home boasts a fully fenced, sunny backyard, three season porch and cozy front room/sunroom. Just off prospect, it sits within walking distance to Glen Oak Park, and five minutes drive to either the heart of Peoria Heights or OSF. House comes fully applianced; all appliances are included but not warrantied. Home is offered in "as-is" condition. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- New furnace
- New water heater
- New electric panel
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking (no garage)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Shingle roof; Has a partial, unfinished basement; Built in 1904
- Construction: Original construction (not new)
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Level lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Vinyl flooring in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (main level and upper/lower/additional levels listed); Each bedroom has hardwood flooring and egress windows on applicable rooms
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in living areas and bedrooms; Vinyl flooring in kitchen and laundry
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas water heater; Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Cable available; Ceiling fan(s); High speed internet
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry room with vinyl flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $425 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($919 rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Peoria High School (math 4% / reading 7%, grade F, #609 of 693 statewide, top 88%, 1,447 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 104 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $45k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.60%
- DSCR
- 2.81
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $45,120
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 803 Caroline St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 910 (-3%) | 4mo | $49,000 | $54 | 75 |
| 716 E Kansas St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (-5%) | 2mo | $26,666 | $30 | 71 |
| 412 E Republic St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 925 (-2%) | 1mo | $26,200 | $28 | 70 |
| 223 NE Rock Island Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 984 (+5%) | 0mo | $25,000 | $25 | 66 |
| 603 E Thrush Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+2%) | 3mo | $30,000 | $31 | 65 |
| 1305 NE Monroe St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 1,042 (+11%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $48 | 54 |
| 632 Haungs Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.5 | 1,005 (+7%) | 1mo | $29,900 | $30 | 53 |
| 2811 N Wisconsin Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 892 (-5%) | 1mo | $99,900 | $112 | 53 |
| 924 E Maywood Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (+6%) | 3mo | $70,000 | $70 | 53 |
| 1002 E Willcox Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,023 (+9%) | 1mo | $89,000 | $87 | 48 |
| 2507 NE Madison Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+6%) | 3mo | $24,000 | $24 | 48 |
| 1235 E Seneca Pl | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,062 (+13%) | 3mo | $62,000 | $58 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.49% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.61×
- Total profit
- $20,277
- Equity at exit
- $6,695
- IRR
- 44.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.33×
- Total profit
- $54,458
- Equity at exit
- $3,882
Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61603
- Home prices YoY
- -31.8%
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 104
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $919 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$235
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $556/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$193
- Net cashflow
- $425
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $451 | -5% $438 | +0% $425 | +5% $413 | +10% $400 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $353 | -5% $389 | +0% $425 | +5% $462 | +10% $498 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $448 | -0.5pp $437 | base $425 | +0.5pp $414 | +1.0pp $402 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,225
- Closing costs
- $1,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2121 N Prospect Rd Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 946 | $802 | $0.85 | 14d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 737 E Gift Ave Unit 737 Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,125 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 506 Caroline St Unit B Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2302 NE Monroe St Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $875 | $0.80 | 14d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 901 NE Glen Oak Ave Unit 2 Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 22d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1505 N Peoria Ave Peoria, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,006 | $1.92 | 14d | 4 | 0.92mi |
| 2207 N Ellis St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $999 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 511 W Elizabeth St Unit A Peoria, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $800 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 812 W Macqueen Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 822 | $795 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 416 W Main St Unit A Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $950 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-14statusdays on market $44,900 Pending 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $44,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 488-char remark
-
2026-06-10$44,900 Active 22 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $556 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $788 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- +$231/yr (+$19/mo · 41.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,026
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,515
- − Property taxes
- −$556
- − Insurance
- −$224
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$882
- − Management
- −$882
- − Depreciation
- −$1,306
- Taxable income
- $4,660
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,118
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,986/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peoria SD 150
- NCES district ID
- 1731230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 14% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,951
- Composite
- 10.92/100
- National rank
- #9751
- State rank
- #554 of 620 in IL
Livability — Peoria
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #5096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Peoria, IL
- County
- Peoria County · 120,495 people
- City population
- 114,670
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,356
- Household income
- $41,618
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 849.0
Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 183,007 people
- By 2030
- 179,643 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 171,782 · -6.1%
- By 2050
- 163,508 · -10.7%
- By 2075
- 140,178 · -23.4%
- By 2100
- 114,493 · -37.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 43% White 36% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Peoria
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.98%
- Current HPI
- 141.5343
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.49%
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+258.6% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-09 Relisted — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $52,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-09 Listed $54,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-24 Sold (MLS) $27,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-17 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-11 Price Changed $32,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-02 Price Changed $35,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-17 Price Changed $38,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-20 Listed $42,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-01-09 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
- 2012-06-29 Sold (MLS) $12,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-05-22 Listed $14,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $556 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…