1400 Howell Ave · Worland, WY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $564 – $1,046
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$157,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in a neighborhood near the hospital, this home offers hardwood floors, a sun porch, and a handy tool room perfect for projects or extra storage. The layout includes 2 bedrooms and a . 75 bath, with newer windows throughout for improved efficiency. A newer furnace and central air provide year-round comfort and peace of mind. The exterior features wood siding, a convenient access ramp, and established landscaping in both the front and back yards. Additional highlights include alley access, an RV hookup and dump, and a newer sewer line to the alley. Property sold in "as is" condition.
Key facts
- Newer furnace
- Sun porch
- Newer windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $157k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $115 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (14.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $134k (14.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.1% in Worland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#16 in WY, #4,423 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Washakie County School District #1 (town): math 59% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #10 of 41 in WY (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Worland Middle School (math 60% / reading 64%, grade B+, #14 of 55 statewide, top 28%, 249 students, 39% FRL); Worland High School (math 48% / reading 67%, grade C, #15 of 75 statewide, top 19%, 388 students, 26% FRL) — zoned schools at 33% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Washakie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washakie County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.13%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $225,609
- List price
- $157,000
- Delta
- -30.41%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1309 Coburn Ave Ave | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,456 (-1%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $158 | 74 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-18,205
- Equity at exit
- $23,409
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-6,721
- Equity at exit
- $13,574
Cash invested: $43,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Wyoming
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 82401
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,340 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$823
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $658/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$281
- Net cashflow
- $115
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $204 | -5% $159 | +0% $115 | +5% $70 | +10% $26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $9 | -5% $62 | +0% $115 | +5% $168 | +10% $220 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $194 | -0.5pp $155 | base $115 | +0.5pp $74 | +1.0pp $33 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,250
- Closing costs
- $4,710
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $157,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $157,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $157,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $157,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $157,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $157,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $157,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $157,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $157,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $162,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $162,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $162,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $162,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $162,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $162,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $162,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $162,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $162,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-05-11price $162,000 607-char remark
Show marketing remark (607 chars)
Located in a neighborhood near the hospital, this home offers hardwood floors, a sun porch, and a handy tool room perfect for projects or extra storage. The layout includes 2 bedrooms and a . 75 bath, with newer windows throughout for improved efficiency. A newer furnace and central air provide year-round comfort and peace of mind. The exterior features wood siding, a convenient access ramp, and established landscaping in both the front and back yards. Additional highlights include alley access, an RV hookup and dump, and a newer sewer line to the alley. Property sold in "as is" condition.
-
2026-05-11price $162,000 607-char remark
Show marketing remark (607 chars)
Located in a neighborhood near the hospital, this home offers hardwood floors, a sun porch, and a handy tool room perfect for projects or extra storage. The layout includes 2 bedrooms and a . 75 bath, with newer windows throughout for improved efficiency. A newer furnace and central air provide year-round comfort and peace of mind. The exterior features wood siding, a convenient access ramp, and established landscaping in both the front and back yards. Additional highlights include alley access, an RV hookup and dump, and a newer sewer line to the alley. Property sold in "as is" condition.
-
2026-04-14$170,000 Active 607-char remark
Show marketing remark (607 chars)
Located in a neighborhood near the hospital, this home offers hardwood floors, a sun porch, and a handy tool room perfect for projects or extra storage. The layout includes 2 bedrooms and a . 75 bath, with newer windows throughout for improved efficiency. A newer furnace and central air provide year-round comfort and peace of mind. The exterior features wood siding, a convenient access ramp, and established landscaping in both the front and back yards. Additional highlights include alley access, an RV hookup and dump, and a newer sewer line to the alley. Property sold in "as is" condition.
-
2026-04-14$170,000 Active 607-char remark
Show marketing remark (607 chars)
Located in a neighborhood near the hospital, this home offers hardwood floors, a sun porch, and a handy tool room perfect for projects or extra storage. The layout includes 2 bedrooms and a . 75 bath, with newer windows throughout for improved efficiency. A newer furnace and central air provide year-round comfort and peace of mind. The exterior features wood siding, a convenient access ramp, and established landscaping in both the front and back yards. Additional highlights include alley access, an RV hookup and dump, and a newer sewer line to the alley. Property sold in "as is" condition.
-
1988-07-31soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $658 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $958 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- +$299/yr (+$25/mo · 45.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,075
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,794
- − Property taxes
- −$658
- − Insurance
- −$785
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,286
- − Management
- −$1,286
- − Depreciation
- −$4,567
- Taxable loss
- −$1,302
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$313
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,688/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washakie County School District #1
- NCES district ID
- 5606240
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,118
- Composite
- 52.13/100
- National rank
- #1617
- State rank
- #10 of 41 in WY
Livability — Worland
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #4423
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Worland, WY
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,053
Population outlook (Washakie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,947 people
- By 2030
- 7,658 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 6,969 · -12.3%
- By 2050
- 6,237 · -21.5%
- By 2075
- 4,611 · -42.0%
- By 2100
- 2,994 · -62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 15%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Washakie
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.3) · D 17.1% · R 81.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -46.8pp · 2024: -64.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.3 2020: R+64.7 2016: R+64.0 2012: R+56.7 2008: R+46.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -113.46%
- Current HPI
- 186.0211
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-4.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $162,000 WMLS
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $162,000 NWBOR
- 2026-04-14 Listed $170,000 NWBOR
- 2026-04-14 Listed $170,000 WMLS
- 1988-07-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $658 · -51.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…