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1400 Howell Ave
C Composite 55.13
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$157,000

1400 Howell Ave · Worland, WY 82401
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,470 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 68 Days on market
Built 1955 7,405 sqft lot $107/sqft · 19% below area Est $226k · 30% under ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in a neighborhood near the hospital, this home offers hardwood floors, a sun porch, and a handy tool room perfect for projects or extra storage. The layout includes 2 bedrooms and a . 75 bath, with newer windows throughout for improved efficiency. A newer furnace and central air provide year-round comfort and peace of mind. The exterior features wood siding, a convenient access ramp, and established landscaping in both the front and back yards. Additional highlights include alley access, an RV hookup and dump, and a newer sewer line to the alley. Property sold in "as is" condition.

Key facts

  • Newer furnace
  • Sun porch
  • Newer windows

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSSUN PORCHTOOL ROOMNEWER WINDOWSNEWER FURNACECENTRAL AIR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $157k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $115 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (14.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $134k (14.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.1% in Worland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#16 in WY, #4,423 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Washakie County School District #1 (town): math 59% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #10 of 41 in WY (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Worland Middle School (math 60% / reading 64%, grade B+, #14 of 55 statewide, top 28%, 249 students, 39% FRL); Worland High School (math 48% / reading 67%, grade C, #15 of 75 statewide, top 19%, 388 students, 26% FRL) — zoned schools at 33% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Washakie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washakie County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $133,957 (14.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
7.17%
Cash-on-cash
3.13%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$225,609
List price
$157,000
Delta
-30.41%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1309 Coburn Ave Ave 0.33mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,456 (-1%) 4mo $230,000 $158 74

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.4%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-18,205
Equity at exit
$23,409
10-year hold
IRR
-2.3%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-6,721
Equity at exit
$13,574

Cash invested: $43,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Wyoming
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable; small market.

ZIP-level market 82401

Active inventory
65
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,340 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$823
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $658/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$115

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,194
Max offer price $157,000
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $204 -5% $159 +0% $115 +5% $70 +10% $26
Rent -10% $9 -5% $62 +0% $115 +5% $168 +10% $220
Rate -1.0pp $194 -0.5pp $155 base $115 +0.5pp $74 +1.0pp $33

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,250
Closing costs
$4,710
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $157,000 Active 68 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $157,000 Active 67 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $157,000 Active 65 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $157,000 Active 64 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $157,000 Active 63 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $157,000 Active 62 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $157,000 Active 61 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $157,000 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $157,000 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $162,000 Active 56 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $162,000 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $162,000 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $162,000 Active 52 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $162,000 Active 51 DOM
  15. 2026-06-03
    days on market $162,000 Active 50 DOM
  16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $162,000 Active 49 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $162,000 Active 48 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $162,000 Active 47 DOM
  19. 2026-05-11
    price $162,000 607-char remark
    Show marketing remark (607 chars)

    Located in a neighborhood near the hospital, this home offers hardwood floors, a sun porch, and a handy tool room perfect for projects or extra storage. The layout includes 2 bedrooms and a . 75 bath, with newer windows throughout for improved efficiency. A newer furnace and central air provide year-round comfort and peace of mind. The exterior features wood siding, a convenient access ramp, and established landscaping in both the front and back yards. Additional highlights include alley access, an RV hookup and dump, and a newer sewer line to the alley. Property sold in "as is" condition.

  20. 2026-05-11
    price $162,000 607-char remark
    Show marketing remark (607 chars)

    Located in a neighborhood near the hospital, this home offers hardwood floors, a sun porch, and a handy tool room perfect for projects or extra storage. The layout includes 2 bedrooms and a . 75 bath, with newer windows throughout for improved efficiency. A newer furnace and central air provide year-round comfort and peace of mind. The exterior features wood siding, a convenient access ramp, and established landscaping in both the front and back yards. Additional highlights include alley access, an RV hookup and dump, and a newer sewer line to the alley. Property sold in "as is" condition.

  21. 2026-04-14
    listed $170,000 Active 607-char remark
    Show marketing remark (607 chars)

    Located in a neighborhood near the hospital, this home offers hardwood floors, a sun porch, and a handy tool room perfect for projects or extra storage. The layout includes 2 bedrooms and a . 75 bath, with newer windows throughout for improved efficiency. A newer furnace and central air provide year-round comfort and peace of mind. The exterior features wood siding, a convenient access ramp, and established landscaping in both the front and back yards. Additional highlights include alley access, an RV hookup and dump, and a newer sewer line to the alley. Property sold in "as is" condition.

  22. 2026-04-14
    listed $170,000 Active 607-char remark
    Show marketing remark (607 chars)

    Located in a neighborhood near the hospital, this home offers hardwood floors, a sun porch, and a handy tool room perfect for projects or extra storage. The layout includes 2 bedrooms and a . 75 bath, with newer windows throughout for improved efficiency. A newer furnace and central air provide year-round comfort and peace of mind. The exterior features wood siding, a convenient access ramp, and established landscaping in both the front and back yards. Additional highlights include alley access, an RV hookup and dump, and a newer sewer line to the alley. Property sold in "as is" condition.

  23. 1988-07-31
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$658 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$958 · $80/mo
Expected delta
+$299/yr (+$25/mo · 45.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,075
− Mortgage interest
−$8,794
− Property taxes
−$658
− Insurance
−$785
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,286
− Management
−$1,286
− Depreciation
−$4,567
Taxable loss
−$1,302
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$313
After-tax cash flow
$1,688/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Washakie County School District #1
NCES district ID
5606240
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$48,118
Composite
52.13/100
National rank
#1617
State rank
#10 of 41 in WY

Livability — Worland

Score
74/100
State rank
#16
US rank
#4423

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Worland, WY
Population (ZIP)
7,053

Population outlook (Washakie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
7,947 people
By 2030
7,658 · -3.6%
By 2040
6,969 · -12.3%
By 2050
6,237 · -21.5%
By 2075
4,611 · -42.0%
By 2100
2,994 · -62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 15%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Washakie

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.3) · D 17.1% · R 81.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-17.5pp toward R · 2008: -46.8pp · 2024: -64.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.3 2020: R+64.7 2016: R+64.0 2012: R+56.7 2008: R+46.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -113.46%
Current HPI
186.0211
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-4.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $162,000 WMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $162,000 NWBOR
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $170,000 NWBOR
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $170,000 WMLS
  • 1988-07-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $658 · -51.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…